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BackFantasy Preview: Kansas (cont'd)

Best of the rest

Edwards has not always been the greatest on the similarly configured 1.5-mile tracks. In fact, in the past two years, he has only two top-fives in the past 14 races and his average finish in that span is 14.5, but he has something to prove. After getting penalized 25 points for failing post-race inspection at Dover when his Ford was too low, he wants to show the fans what NASCAR already knows -- the problem was not intentional and likely had little or no impact on the outcome, and the lack of severity in the penalty from the sanctioning body suggests as much in any event.

Edwards was dominant on the high banks and he moved to within less than a handful of points from the leader. After the penalty, he slipped to sixth in the standings, but he's still well within reach of the top spot and he's never had this much momentum. Specifically on the "cookie-cutter" tracks, Edwards finished third in his last outing at Chicagoland.

Racer's Edge

Kenseth continues to be a blue-chip stock on every type of track. On the "cookie cutters," he's earned four top-fives in five starts and his other attempt ended in a respectable 12th. He used his mulligan last week in the Dodge Dealers 400 when he blew up in the closing laps to finish well down the order, which means he cannot afford another poor finish. The Roush Fenway Racing team might detune the car just a bit to improve its reliability, but even if that happens, he's still a strong candidate to earn a top-10.

Mark Martin won this race in 2005, snapping a four-race streak in which he'd finished in the 20s at Kansas. In his next attempt last year, he finished third to suggest he's found a setup he likes. This track is good to dark horses and two of the three playoff races on it have rewarded drivers outside the championship cutoff. This No. 01 team won in 2004 with Joe Nemechek behind the wheel and that convergence is going to work in Martin's favor this week. Last week, Martin ran strong on a Car of Tomorrow track -- where he has struggled all season -- so his confidence has to be at an all-time high.

Limits of the lend/lease program

Drivers to avoid this week include those who lease their engines from the super teams. While Hendrick Motorsports, Joe Gibbs Racing and others do their best to provide everyone with equal equipment, small changes made by the teams receiving the engines often have a major impact. Teams like the ones owned by Gene Haas driven by Jeff Green and Johnny Sauter have been great on short, flat tracks from time to time this season, but the big tracks have been mostly deadly.

Gillette Evernham Motorsports can also be discounted as a group this week. This was one of the races during which everything began to go south for Kasey Kahne last year when he finished in the 30s. He staged a comeback at Lowe's later in the Chase, but every other result on the similarly configured, mile-and-a-half tracks at the end of 2006 and the beginning of 2007 has been 20th or worse. In fact, even with his Charlotte victory factored into the equation, Kahne has an average result of only 28.2 in the past nine races.

Elliott Sadler and Scott Riggs have not been any better this season, and the unrestricted, intermediate speedways are the tracks on which Evernham has struggled the most. Perhaps their fortunes will improve next season when the series converts to the COT full time, but for the remainder of this season, the new body style will give them their best results and they should be avoided in the old-style car.

The End

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