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Cross' Words: Phoenix

By Duane Cross, NASCAR.COM
November 16, 2007
11:34 AM EST
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The season has come down to the final 267 laps. It's man and machine vs. man and machine for two drivers -- Jimmie Johnson, seeking consecutive Cup Series championships, and Jeff Gordon, in hot pursuit of his fifth series title.

The Cliff's Notes version of the Countdown to Coronation for Johnson:

JJ clinches ...
• 18th place or better, even if Jeff Gordon wins and leads the most laps
• 19th place or better if he leads one lap
• 21st place or better if he leads the most laps

Sounds like NASCAR should just hand Johnson the title, after all the No. 48 has finished worse than 18th only seven times this season. He's also finished 19th once and 21st once.

But there is hope for Gordon:

6 -- Times Johnson and Gordon have raced at Homestead against each other.

1 -- Times Gordon has out-pointed Johnson by 87 or more points at Homestead (100 points in 2005).

4 -- Times this year Gordon has out-pointed Johnson by 87 or more points:
• Daytona on Feb. 18 -- 88 points
• Texas on April 15 -- 121 points
• Pocono on June 10 -- 153 points
• Indianapolis on July 29 -- 119 points

Certainly it ain't over 'til it's over, but there's a fat lady sitting right over there who's ready to take the stage.

Nonetheless, I'm sticking with Gordon (hey, Clint Bowyer's eliminated). Even after four consecutive victories, Johnson's average finish in the Chase is 4.7. Gordon's is 5.2. That adds up to 86 points? A 0.5 difference, in nine races, equates to 9.5 points per finish?

Again, it's the point system that needs to be tweaked. That's all I'm saying ...

Did you know

Of the 17 modern-era Cup Series champions that 10 were born on race weeks? Five were born before the series began and two were born in the offseason.

Born to be Wild

Race following the birth of Modern Era champions
Driver Born Race Winner
B. Allison Dec. 3, 1937 Born before series started  
Ku. Busch Aug. 4, 1978 Aug. 6, 1978, at Talladega L. Pond
D. Earnhardt April 29, 1951 April 29, 1951, at North Wilkesboro (N.C.) Speedway F. Flock
B. Elliott Oct. 8, 1955 Oct. 9, 1955, at Memphis-Arkansas Speedway S. Thompson
J. Gordon Aug. 4, 1971 Aug. 6, 1971, at Bowman-Gray Stadium B. Allison
D. Jarrett Nov. 26, 1956 Season ended Nov. 18, 1956  
J. Johnson Sept. 17, 1975 Sept. 21, 1975, at North Wilkesboro (N.C.) Speedway R. Petty
M. Kenseth March 10, 1972 March 12, 1972, at North Carolina Speedway B. Isaac
A. Kulwicki Dec. 14, 1954 Season ended Oct. 24, 1954  
B. Labonte May 8, 1964 May 9, 1964, at Darlington (S.C.) Raceway F. Lorenzen
T. Labonte Nov. 16, 1956 Nov. 18, 1956, at Wilson (N.C.) Speedway B. Baker
B. Parsons July 12, 1941 Born before series started  
R. Petty July 2, 1937 Born before series started  
T. Stewart May 20, 1971 May 21, 1971, at New Asheville (N.C.) Speedway R. Petty
R. Wallace Aug. 14, 1956 Aug. 17, 1956, at Old Bridge (N.J.) Stadium R. Moody
D. Waltrip Feb. 5, 1947 Born before series started  
C. Yarborough March 27, 1939 Born before series started  
Note: NASCAR's first race: June 19, 1949, at Charlotte (N.C.) Speedway
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High Five

Jeff Gordon's quest for a fifth series championship isn't the only drive for five at Homestead:

Inside the Numbers

Drivers in the Modern Era who have won four consecutive races
Year Driver Tracks
1976 Cale Yarborough * Richmond, Dover, Martinsville, North Wilkesboro
1981 Darrell Waltrip * Martinsville, North Wilkesboro, Charlotte, Rockingham
1987 Dale Earnhardt * Darlington, North Wilkesboro, Bristol, Martinsville
1991 Harry Gant Darlington, Richmond, Dover, Martinsville
1992 Bill Elliott Rockingham, Richmond, Atlanta, Darlington
1993 Mark Martin Watkins Glen, Michigan, Bristol, Darlington
1998 Jeff Gordon * Pocono, Indianapolis, Watkins Glen, Michigan
2007 Jimmie Johnson Martinsville, Atlanta, Texas, Phoenix
* -- won the Cup Series championship

The last driver to win five in a row was Richard Petty in 1971: Malta, Islip, Trenton, Nashville and Atlanta. He won 21 races that year, and did not finish worse than fourth in his last 22 starts (12 wins, five second-place finishes, four third-place finishes and one fourth-place finish).

In 46 starts (out of 48 races) in '71, Petty's average finish was 4.2 -- including five DNFs: 13th, 17th, 20th, 20th and 38th. His worst finish in the other 41 races? Two seventh-place finishes; he had 38 top-fives.

King's reign

Richard Petty's 1971 season stats
Track Start Finish Status
Riverside 1 20 engine
Daytona 3 3 running
Daytona 5 1 running
Ontario 3 3 running
Richmond 30 1 running
Rockingham 2 1 running
Hickory 4 1 running
Bristol 2 2 running
Atlanta 3 2 running
Columbia 4 1 running
Greenville 4 7 running
Maryville 2 1 running
North Wilkesboro 3 1 running
Martinsville 3 1 running
Darlington 4 20 engine
South Boston 3 2 running
Talladega 5 38 crash
Asheville 1 1 running
Kingsport 2 17 rear end
Charlotte 5 4 running
Dover 1 3 running
Michigan 7 6 running
Riverside 2 13 engine
Houston 2 7 running
Greenville 2 1 running
Daytona 4 2 running
Bristol 1 3 running
Malta 1 1 running
Islip 1 1 running
Trenton 2 1 running
Nashville 1 1 running
Atlanta 3 1 running
Winston-Salem 1 2 running
Ona 2 1 running
Michigan 6 2 running
Talladega 5 2 running
Columbia 1 1 running
Hickory 4 3 running
Darlington 6 2 running
Martinsville 2 3 running
Charlotte 5 4 running
Dover 4 1 running
Rockingham 5 1 running
Richmond 11 1 running
North Wilkesboro 2 3 running
College Station 3 1 running
Averages 3.8 4.2  
Note: Petty won the '71 Cup Series title by 364 points over James Hylton -- yes, the same James Hylton who attempted to qualify for the 2007 Daytona 500.
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Say What?

"It's over."
-- Jeff Gordon, conceding the championship to Jimmie Johnson after Phoenix

• Menzer: Gordon, facing 86-point deficit, concedes to Johnson

Figuratively Speaking

2 -- Tunnels at Homestead-Miami Speedway. Why is that important? Read on (bar-bet material alert, from Bill Marx of the Sports News Wire Service):

Both tunnels are below sea level, but that's not where you are going to win your bet. But you will on this: The back tunnel is the southern-most tunnel in the continental United States, according to the speedway. It is large enough to accommodate two tractor-trailer trucks.

218 -- Races in which Jimmie Johnson and Jeff Gordon have raced against each other:

• Wins -- Johnson leads 33-23
• Top-five finishes -- Tied with 86
• Top-10 finishes -- Johnson leads 133-127
• Average finish -- Johnson leads 12.0-13.1

Up Next

Ford 400 | Homestead | 3 p.m. ET Sunday | ABC
Race No. 36 of 36 | Get ticketsexternal link | Book travel

• Defending race winner: Greg Biffle
• Most victories at the track: Biffle (3 -- 2004-06, active win streak)
• Best average finish (minimum five starts): Kevin Harvick (8.7 in six starts)
Active drivers only

2007 Chase for the Nextel Cup

Championship-eligible drivers' finishing positions
Pos. Driver N.H. Dover Kan. 'Dega Char. Mart. Atl. Tex. Pho. H'stead Pts. Behind
1. J. Johnson 6 14 3 2 14 1 1 1 1   6,572 --
2. J. Gordon 2 11 5 1 1 3 7 7 10   6,486 -86
3. C. Bowyer 1 12 2 11 2 9 6 19 11   6,331 -241
4. Ky. Busch 4 5 41 36 3 4 20 4 8   6,185 -387
5. T. Stewart 3 9 39 8 7 13 30 11 4   6,169 -403
6. M. Kenseth 7 35 35 26 34 5 4 2 3   6,103 -469
7. K. Harvick 17 20 6 20 33 10 15 10 6   6,093 -479
8. J. Burton 18 7 36 43 4 12 5 6 9   6,089 -483
9. C. Edwards 12 1 37 14 5 11 2 26 42   6,067 -505
10. Ku. Busch 25 29 11 7 26 31 8 8 12   6,056 -516
11. M. Truex Jr. 5 13 38 42 17 19 31 3 7   6,009 -563
12. D. Hamlin 15 38 29 4 20 6 24 29 16   5,973 -599

Odds 'n' Ends

• Watch the Truck Series finale at 7:30 p.m. ET Friday on SPEED. Mike Skinner has a 29-point advantage on Ron Hornaday and this will be a 134-lap shootout.

Skinner will carry the flag for Toyota, which is making its 100th race start in the series. He's the only driver who has been entered in each of those races for Toyota.

At Homestead, Skinner has one top-five finish and two top-10s in five starts; Hornaday has one win, three top-fives and six top-10s in seven races.

Hornaday already has a leg up, winning two Truck Series titles (1996 and '98) but Skinner will always be the inaugural series champion (1995).

Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images
Mark Martin

• And give the Busch Series its due. Saturday's race (4 p.m. ET on ESPN2) is the finale for series sponsor Anheuser-Busch.

In 26 years there have been many memories:

By the Numbers
Greatest Driver
Birth of a series
Gone but not forgotten
Where are they now
Tale of a Busch lifer
Whatever happened to ...
Keller looks back -- and forward
Keller: By the Numbers
Where is ... T. Houston

We'll have more on the Busch Series on Thursday. Until then, this Bud's for you, A-B.

• OK, so Petty Enterprises is moving into Yates Racing's building in Mooresville, N.C. So where will Yates' cars be built? At Roush Fenway.

"We're making preparations to enter into a service agreement with them that will avail them of the technology and of the vehicles with the engineering essence and the vehicles that are coming out of our construction activities," Jack Roush said at Phoenix.

"If, taken to the other extreme, an IROC scenario where all the cars were completely identical coming out of the factory, then the cost to the teams and the value to the sponsors would be maximized. This is something in between."

It's called the Car of Tomorrow.

• It was good to see Sterling Marlin back behind the wheel at Phoenix.

Kyle Petty, currently 34th in points, is locked into the top 35 for 2008. ... Dave Blaney isn't -- yet. The No. 22 Toyota is 136 owner points ahead of the No. 21 Ford.

• Roger Penske has not decided if he'll move Kurt Busch's points to Sam Hornish Jr. to guarantee the driver a spot in the first five races of next season. Busch, of course, has the past champion provisional as a fall back.

And there's actually debate over whether the Top 35 rule is antiquated, three years after its inception?

Stock-car racing is high-dollar business. NASCAR should treat it as such and make the rules fair for everyone who wants to go racing.

• If Jimmie Johnson vs. Jeff Gordon doesn't stoke your fire, try keeping up with who's in 10th place. That's the cutoff for booking a reservation in New York for Champions Week.

The top 10 get a pass to the Big Apple. Nos. 11 and 12 get a jump on vacation.

Sandbag, anyone?

The opinions expressed are solely of the writer.

The End

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Checker Auto Parts 500

Official Results
Pos. Driver Make
1. Jimmie Johnson Chevrolet
2. Greg Biffle Ford
3. Matt Kenseth Ford
4. Tony Stewart Chevrolet
5. Ryan Newman Dodge
6. Kevin Harvick Chevrolet
7. Martin Truex Jr. Chevrolet
8. Kyle Busch Chevrolet
9. Jeff Burton Chevrolet
10. Jeff Gordon Chevrolet

Nextel Cup Series

Official Standings
Pos. +/- Driver Points Behind
1. -- Jimmie Johnson 6572 Leader
2. -- Jeff Gordon 6486 -86
3. -- Clint Bowyer* 6331 -241
4. -- Kyle Busch* 6185 -387
5. +1 Tony Stewart* 6169 -403
6. +4 Matt Kenseth* 6103 -469
7. +1 Kevin Harvick* 6093 -479
8. -1 Jeff Burton* 6089 -483
9. -4 Carl Edwards* 6067 -505
10. -1 Kurt Busch* 6056 -516
11. +1 Martin Truex Jr.* 6009 -563
12. -1 Denny Hamlin* 5973 -599
Complete Standings | Inside the Chase
* Eliminated from championship contention
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