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Each week the staff at NASCAR.COM will pick a race winner, a dark horse for the checkers and the ain't-got-a-chance driver (no scrubs; someone with a Q score).
Our scoring system: Experts receive as many points as the "winner" pick gets in the race.
| Writer | Winner | Here's why ... | Dark Horse | No Chance | Points |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duane Cross | Jeff Gordon | He remains the unquestioned Road Warrior in the Cup Series. As Ric Flair says, "To be the man, you gotta beat the man." Ain't happening at Sonoma. | Robby Gordon | Kyle Busch | 2,231 |
| Joe Menzer | Jeff Gordon | He's won on road courses nine times, by far the most of any active driver. This is where he makes a stand and wins for the first time this season, setting himself up for a possible strong second half. | Scott Pruett | Jimmie Johnson | 2,170 |
| Bill Kimm | Jeff Gordon | Road-ringers don't win at road courses, Cup regulars who are strong on road courses do -- and there isn't anyone better than Gordon, who is more than due for a victory. | Kurt Busch | Kyle Busch | 2,167 |
| Raygan Swan | Tony Stewart | Stewart has six road course victories in the Cup Series, but he hasn't found an oval win on the Cup side yet this season, so he'll start his summer stride in Sonoma. | Juan Montoya | Kasey Kahne | 2,166 |
| Josh Pate | Jeff Gordon | His daughter just turned 1 last week, and Sonoma is where he proposed to Ingrid. And oh yeah, he's won there five times. His little "drought" that he's on [four top-fives in the last six races] ends Sunday. | Marcos Ambrose | Matt Kenseth | 2,150 |
| Dave Rodman | Kevin Harvick | Harvick's a former road course winner, has been pretty consistent with NASCAR's new car and has fewer distractions than some of the other expected favorites; so he'll balance his East Coast road race win with one in the West. | Jamie McMurray | Kasey Kahne | 2,011 |
| David Caraviello | Jeff Gordon | His Northern California roots, a road course, his daughter's first birthday -- all the planets are aligned for a first and long-overdue victory. | Juan Montoya | Carl Edwards | 1,998 |
| Mark Aumann | Robby Gordon | If there's a track on the circuit where he could be considered a favorite, it's Infineon, where he won in 2003. | Scott Pruett | Matt Kenseth | 1,952 |
| Jarrod Breeze | Kurt Busch | He needs a win as bad as I do. | Greg Biffle | Elliott Sadler | 1,946 |