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BackOne and only Indy makes winning paramount (cont'd)

Dark Horses

With a little more momentum on his side, Tony Stewart easily would be one of our favorites in light of his Indy record. Since 2004, he's won this race twice -- in '05 and '07 -- and finished worse than eighth only one time. Since Dover eight weeks ago, he's managed to get the results fantasy owners anticipate during the hot summer months with top-10s in all but two races, but he hasn't shown any of the authority you've grown to expect at this time of year. Still, the last two times the series was on a flat track, Stewart finished second most recently at New Hampshire and third at Pocono.

Speculation about where he will race in 2011 is not distracting Kasey Kahne and he's managed to deflect those questions by running at the front of the pack in four of his past five races. Second-place finishes at Michigan and Daytona gave the media something entirely different to talk about and the former sprint-car racer certainly has been immune to short-timer's disease. Better still, Kahne's record at Indy has been more "hit" than "miss." In six attempts there, he's earned two top-fives and four top-10s. Still, he hasn't been untouched by trouble with a pair of sub-35th-place results in back-to-back Brickyards in '06 and '07.

Underdogs

With a failure to qualify in 2003 and back-to-back results in the 30s in '07 and '08, David Reutimann certainly would not be on fantasy owners' radar screens this week if not for his victory in at Chicagoland in NASCAR's most recent contest. That was his second career Cup victory, but the first time he ran away from the field and crossed under the checkers in green-flag conditions. Last year, he was an equally pleasant surprise in the Brickyard 400 with an eighth-place finish, and players can expect even better things from him this week.

Stranger things have happened on this historic track, so this week we are going to offer up Jacques Villeneuve as a dark horse. No one expected Montoya to finish second in his first stock-car race at Indy and undoubtedly no one expects much from the part-time entry of Braun Racing, but that could play into your favor. With long straightaways, horsepower is important at Indy, but it is useless unless the driver can get through Turns 2 and 4 perfectly. Former open-wheel racers have a penchant for doing just that on flat tracks and while Villeneuve won't battle for the win, he could earn a surprising top-15.

Fantasy Power Ranking

Flat tracks (past three years)
Pos. Driver PA*   Pos. Driver PA*   Pos. Driver PA*
1. Jimmie Johnson 4.73   17. Kasey Kahne 17.31   33. Travis Kvapil 31.05
2. Jeff Gordon 7.07   18. Matt Kenseth 17.77   34. David Gilliland 31.17
3. Mark Martin 8.91   19. David Reutimann 21.46   35. Regan Smith 32.96
4. Tony Stewart 8.98   20. Jamie McMurray 21.99   36. Paul Menard 33.04
5. Denny Hamlin 9.03   21. Casey Mears 22.04   37. Scott Speed 33.11
6. Dale Earnhardt Jr. 12.07   22. Joey Logano 22.60   38. Bill Elliott 33.20
7. Jeff Burton 12.76   23. Marcos Ambrose 23.75   39. Mike Bliss 33.68
8. Carl Edwards 12.93   24. A.J. Allmendinger 24.06   40. Robby Gordon 34.14
9. Kyle Busch 13.02   25. Brad Keselowski 24.51   41. Dave Blaney 34.27
10. Clint Bowyer 13.26   26. David Ragan 25.89   42. Todd Bodine 34.86
11. Ryan Newman 14.90   27. Reed Sorenson 26.04   43. Michael McDowell 36.00
12. Kurt Busch 14.91   28. Bobby Labonte 26.99   44. Kevin Conway 36.58
13. Greg Biffle 15.31   29. David Stremme 28.52   45. Max Papis 37.95
14. Kevin Harvick 15.42   30. Sam Hornish Jr. 28.63   46. Joe Nemechek 38.42
15. Martin Truex Jr. 16.91   31. Elliott Sadler 29.41   47. Andy Lally 40.88
16. Juan Montoya 16.98   32. J.J. Yeley 30.48  
* The Power Average is the average finish during the past three years, plus the number of laps spent in the lead, in the top five, and in the top 10 expressed as if they were finishing results. For example a driver who has led the most laps receives a hypothetical first-place finish, the driver who leads the second most laps receives a hypothetical second-place finish, and so on. This rewards drivers who competed at the front of the pack for the majority of the race, even if an unfortunate event takes them out of contention at the very end of the race. A driver's recent record in the support series is also factored in, as is his average running position as provided by NASCAR Statistical Services. Failures to qualify are credited to the driver as if they were a finishing position (i.e. the first non-qualifier is assigned a 44th-place finish).
• The flat tracks are Martinsville, Richmond, New Hampshire, Phoenix, Indianapolis and Pocono.

The End

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