Follow Stewart on his traditional summer roll

The two races at Pocono Raceway are the closest on the schedule of any track that hosts more than one event, and many of the same drivers who ran strong in the first weekend were contenders this time around as well. Closer still than those contests, however, are NASCAR's two road-course races at Infineon Raceway and Watkins Glen International.

Six races were run between Pocono's two shows, but fantasy owners were faced with the conundrum of who to start on the twisty confines of Infineon only five weeks ago, and since then there have been races held at a restrictor-plate superspeedway, cookie-cutters and two flat tracks. Several of the same drivers who were strong on the flat tracks will be this week's top contenders as well, and that gives both the players and drivers a chance to build some momentum after back-to-back races at Indianapolis Motor Speedway and Pocono.

Watkins Glen

This week's fantasy studs, duds and sleepers.

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Of course, in NASCAR nothing is ever that simple, and with the running order of last week's Pennsylvania 500 shuffled a bit by late-race rain and restarts, there were several surprises at the front of the field. Last week's favorites Denny Hamlin, Tony Stewart, and Kevin Harvick overcame those challenges and finished in the top five. Better still, the driver we described as the best value in the game, nearly stole victory with some late-race strategy before Sam Hornish Jr. settled for 11th.

Determining who will run strong on road courses will be just as predictable as it was last week on the flat track, but that doesn't necessarily mean that some strange occurrence in the closing laps won't intervene this week as well, and with the added problem of how difficult passing can be on road courses, that could shuffle the order even more.

The Favorites

Stewart is on his traditional summer roll. He's quietly amassed five top-fives and seven top-10s in the past eight weeks without scoring a single victory. That could change this week on a track where he's been unstoppable in the past. All five of Stewart's trophies from this track have come in the past eight years and when he's missed Victory Lane, it hasn't been by much, with two second-place results in that same span. If he had been able to pick his way through traffic a little faster last week in Pocono, he might have ran Greg Biffle down for the win, but he shouldn't have that same problem at The Glen because he's more likely to be the one they are chasing.

No one knew precisely what the problem was going to be last week at Pocono, but with the luck Juan Montoya has been experiencing in recent races, you knew it was going to be something. He raced with the leaders for much of the afternoon before rain interrupted the event near its end and he was not able to make up the distance. Instead of the back-to-back top-fives he should have recorded in the Brickyard 400 and Pennsylvania 500, he's still searching for his first top-10 since finishing 10th at Infineon. It's a fair bet that will happen since he's only failed to finish that well in one of his seven previous twisty track attempts. His single poor finish came at The Glen when he and Kevin Harvick tangled in Turn 1 midway through his rookie campaign, but he's been nearly perfect at this track since with a third-place finish in 2008 and a second last year. He only needs to improve by one spot to take the trophy home this week.

Marcos Ambrose hasn't been the pleasant surprise we expected this year and that feeling apparently was shared by both the driver and team. Prior to Pocono, he announced he would be leaving the No. 47 at the end of the season and his plans for next year are uncertain. That makes him a risky proposition on the ovals, but the road race at The Glen may well be his last, best chance to shine. There is no doubt that he can wheel a car at NASCAR's top level, especially on this track type, and while his imminent departure will prove to be a distraction elsewhere, it's not going to slow him down at The Glen. He is one of a half -dozen drivers capable of winning if he has the track position late in the race. (Continued)