Ambrose is as close to being perfect as possible on road courses. He has an average finish of 2.0 in five races at Watkins Glen and a 5.5 in his last four Sonoma races. The only thing keeping him from being absolutely perfect was a crash in his inaugural attempt on this track in 2008 when he was clobbered from behind and crashed while running in the top five. Ambrose is more than $9 cheaper than the most expensive drivers in the game. Taking him opens up a lot of salary cap room and removes budget management from the equation, but most importantly, Ambrose has a chance to win the race outright and earn maximum points.
Juan Pablo Montoya fell on hard times last year on the road courses. He developed an electrical problem in the Toyota/Save Mart 350 and crashed in the Finger Lakes 355 at the Glen, but no one doubts his ability to score a top-10 finish. He won in his first Sonoma attempt in 2007 after coming from deep in the field. He also has a victory at Watkins Glen in 2010, but while he is strong, most of his efforts end in results of sixth through 10th. If a player choses to have only one of the favorites on their roster it should be Ambrose, but Montoya is a close second.
Clint Bowyer is not necessarily the first name that comes to mind on a road course, but that is rapidly changing. He won this race last year and held off a hard charge by one of the best road racers in the series as Tony Stewart nipped at his back bumper. Bowyer finished fourth in the Finger Lakes 355 at the Glen and enters the weekend with four consecutive road race finishes of 11th or better. All of the money saved by players selecting modestly priced regulars with road experience and one or two ringers will be well spent on the No. 15.
If Jimmie Johnson is on one’s roster there is no reason to take him off. Last year, he swept the top five on the two road courses and has scored top-10 finishes in seven of his last nine attempts on this track type. Often, winning means being in the right place to take advantage of another driver’s mistake and that is precisely what happened in 2010 at Sonoma. Johnson was running second to Ambrose as he stalled his car. Johnson inherited the lead, and may have otherwise had a difficult time passing Ambrose under green -- though second place still earns a lot of points in the NASCAR Fantasy Live game.
Greg Biffle will probably keep his momentum alive this week. He swept the top 10 last year on road courses with a seventh at Sonoma and a sixth at the Glen. That makes him one of only four drivers to perform that feat last year and he is a driver to watch. However, fantasy players should also be aware that he scored three consecutive results outside the top 20 on NASCAR’s twisty tracks before that surge of speed.
Road ringers have a place in the game, even though they have struggled to earn top-10s in recent seasons. James Finch likes aggressive drivers who are constantly up on the wheel and he found a perfect example in Jacques Villeneuve. The former F1 star attacks every lap like it owes him money and he wants to prove that he can run just as hard in the Cup series as he has in Nationwide competition in recent seasons. He has four top-fives and six top-10s in nine starts there. This will be his first Cup start on a road course, but he could easily challenge to become the first road ringer to score a top-10 since Boris Said finished eighth in the 2010 Toyota/Save Mart 350.
NASCAR’s two road courses are actually quite different to one another. Sonoma is a technical course with tight corners where Watkins Glen is a fast track that allows drivers to charge the turns hard and is forgiving of minor errors. This difference is not felt as acutely by Cup regulars as it is by road ringers and Ron Fellows will be a better value at the Glen than Sonoma, but he cannot be ignored this week with a salary cap of only $10. Fellows already has a pair of top-10 finishes on this track with a seventh in 2003 and an eighth in 2005.
Three drivers will be making their Cup debuts this week and can also be used to stretch a player’s budget. Paulie Harraka, Alex Kennedy and Victor Gonzalez Jr. have all had a measure of success in the developmental series, but Gonzalez might be the best value this week. In six road course starts in Nationwide competition, he has finished 17th or better four times and with a little track position late in the Toyota/Save Mart 350, he could challenge for a top 25.