Disregard Truex’s Brickyard history pre-2015. Over the past two seasons -- when his Furniture Row Racing team has really dialed it in -- he’s rocked Indianapolis to a tune of a 6.0 average finish. He hasn’t led any laps since 2008, but, like I said -- disregard. He’ll be out front at some point.
Even if he starts from the back of the pack -- as has been his m.o. lately -- Larson has an excellent shot at a win on Sunday. He’s taken to that track very well from the get-go, with an average finish of 7.0 that tops the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series.
Harvick is picking it up and rolls into Indianapolis as one of just six active drivers with a win there and a series-leading two poles. It’d be surprising to see him not compete for the win Sunday.
You know you’re talented when you can snap a 12-race manufacturer winning streak at a track like Chevrolet had at Indy. And do it mere weeks after returning from a major injury, like Busch did in 2015. You know you’re incredibly talented when you back that up a year later by winning two straight at the Brickyard.
Weirdly enough, Sunday’s Loudon winner has a nearly identical starting and finishing position at Indy, with figures of 13.3 and 13.4, respectively, across 11 starts. As Toyota has improved there, however, so has he. The Joe Gibbs Racing driver has three straight top-five finishes.
With Jeff Gordon no longer in the mix, Johnson’s four Brickyard victories are tops in the series. Despite the multitude of trips to Victory Lane, the seven-time champ has finished in the top 10 in less than half of his 15 races there (seven).
Despite this being Elliott’s sophomore campaign, it’s actually his third Brickyard 400. The first two were about average, but he did improve his finish from 18th to 15th with last year’s result. Expect him to continue moving that figure up, especially in historically Indy-friendly Hendrick Motorsports equipment.
Keselowski put an end to a two-race, sub-30 finishing position streak with a top-10 at New Hampshire. There’s a good chance he’ll keep it rolling at Indy, where he’s never finished worse than 21st in seven starts.
McMurray picked up one of his seven career wins by winning the 2010 Brickyard 400, then followed that with a fourth-place finish the following year. He has yet to land in the top 10 since.
Bowyer and Co. have certainly caught something over the past month. In the four races since running 26th at Michigan, the Stewart-Haas Racing driver has an average finish of 6.0.
For the second straight week, Kenseth heads to a track as the career leader in top-10 finishes among active drivers with 11. After a fourth-place finish at Loudon; what does he have in store for Indy?
After nearly cracking the top 10 with a 12th-place finish in his first Brickyard 400 in 2015, Blaney was running as high as 12th again last year before a wreck saddled him with a 36th-place finish. In need of a bit of a boost, the Brickyard could be just what his No. 21 team needs.
Hard to believe Logano is in the position he’s in, points-wise, but a win is almost a necessity at this point. His recent stats suggest Indy should be a good race for him -- four straight top 10s -- but a Ford hasn’t won the race since 1999.
Stenhouse historically has not been exceptional at Indy, with starting/finishing positions of 22.8/24.0, respectively. That said, the two-time 2017 winner -- on a pair of big tracks, nonetheless -- placed 12th last year.
Busch picked up just his second top-10 finish in five races at Loudon, but another one at Indy might be a stretch. He’s notched one at the Brickyard in less than 33 percent of his 16 starts.
Jones had a pair of top-three Indy starting spots in his XFINITY Series Brickyard career, but failed to capitalize on either of them, finishing 34th and 22nd. Toyota has been strong there lately, but there’s an obvious learning curve in racing action.
Suarez, on the other hand, has capitalized on his strong starting positions at Indy in the NXS, with an average finish of 5.0 in two starts. Coming off his first top 10 in five starts this past weekend, he should keep it rolling.
As an organization, Richard Childress Racing has experienced general success at Indy over the past few years, and Dillon himself already has a pair of top-10 finishes at the Cup level. He could be a sneaky good pick on Sunday.
Newman put together a nice two-race stretch at his home track from 2012-13, placing seventh and then taking home one of the biggest wins of his career in ‘13. His Indy stats otherwise -- just one top-10 in his other 14 starts -- don’t imply another good run, but you never know ... it’s a magical place.
Imagine the celebration if Junior picks up an all-important win at Indy -- which would be his first of any kind since 2015 -- to get into the playoffs and extend his shot at a championship in his final season. Given HMS’ overall success there and three straight top 10s from 2012-14, it could happen.