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| All projected scenarios assume a driver will start all remaining races. |
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| Driver |
| 63 | -2 | Willie Allen | 211 | -3324 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $13,990 |
| 58 | -- | Justin Allgaier | 304 | -3231 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $31,805 |
| 48 | -2 | Aric Almirola | 410 | -3125 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | $35,315 |
| 46 | -5 | John Andretti | 465 | -3070 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | $42,860 |
| 52 | -- | Casey Atwood | 348 | -3187 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $33,080 |
| 44 | +4 | Jack Bailey | 477 | -3058 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $48,677 |
| 75 | -2 | T.J. Bell | 115 | -3420 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $12,190 |
| 10 | +3 | Johnny Benson | 3076 | -459 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | $345,790 |
| 47 | -5 | Rich Bickle | 458 | -3077 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | $43,079 |
| 41 | +4 | Mike Bliss | 581 | -2954 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | $49,040 |
| 3 | -- | Todd Bodine | 3462 | -73 | 25 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 15 | $649,357 |
| 27 | -- | Kyle Busch | 1734 | -1801 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | $279,270 |
| 26 | -1 | Chad Chaffin | 2068 | -1467 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | $201,120 |
| 57 | -- | Johnny Chapman | 317 | -3218 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $42,434 |
| 15 | -- | Terry Cook | 2936 | -599 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | $311,505 |
| 9 | -- | Matt Crafton | 3095 | -440 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | $297,705 |
| 14 | -- | Ricky Craven | 2976 | -559 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | $344,905 |
| 16 | -- | Rick Crawford | 2917 | -618 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | $323,770 |
| 91 | +1 | Erin Crocker | 55 | -3480 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $15,604 |
| 67 | -1 | Kerry Earnhardt | 175 | -3360 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $26,305 |
| 83 | -1 | Bobby East | 73 | -3462 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $6,890 |
| 33 | -- | Wayne Edwards | 731 | -2804 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $93,025 |
| 32 | -- | Tim Fedewa | 749 | -2786 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $54,890 |
| 74 | -2 | Blake Feese | 118 | -3417 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $15,140 |
| 85 | -1 | Rob Ferguson | 64 | -3471 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $7,365 |
| 60 | -1 | Chris Fontaine | 276 | -3259 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $27,800 |
| 19 | -- | Brendan Gaughan | 2564 | -971 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | $253,914 |
| 79 | -2 | David Gilliland | 97 | -3438 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $8,640 |
| 6 | -- | Bobby Hamilton | 3164 | -371 | 25 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | $455,245 |
| 80 | -1 | Kevin Hamlin | 94 | -3441 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $9,915 |
| 54 | -- | Mike Harmon | 337 | -3198 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $43,335 |
| 55 | -- | Kevin Harvick | 335 | -3200 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | $37,020 |
| 35 | -- | Shigeaki Hattori* | 703 | -2832 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $88,313 |
| 25 | -1 | Tracy Hines | 2108 | -1427 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | $221,759 |
| 42 | -2 | Shane Hmiel | 513 | -3022 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | $45,670 |
| 69 | +9 | Justin Hobgood | 152 | -3383 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $22,895 |
| 4 | -- | Ron Hornaday | 3369 | -166 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 13 | $384,480 |
| 86 | -1 | Andy Houston | 64 | -3471 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $6,615 |
| 30 | -- | Robert Huffman | 1271 | -2264 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | $147,890 |
| 93 | -2 | Roland Isaacs | 55 | -3480 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $8,092 |
| 68 | -1 | Jarit Johnson | 167 | -3368 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $12,880 |
| 21 | +1 | Brad Keselowski | 2367 | -1168 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $248,540 |
| 92 | -2 | Casey Kingsland | 55 | -3480 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $6,613 |
| 49 | -2 | Jimmy Kite | 403 | -3132 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $38,885 |
| 11 | -- | Todd Kluever* | 3074 | -461 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | $367,589 |
| 36 | -- | Bobby Labonte | 679 | -2856 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | $98,415 |
| 65 | -1 | Burney Lamar | 179 | -3356 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $15,330 |
| 76 | -2 | Kevin Lepage | 106 | -3429 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $13,265 |
| 17 | +1 | Bill Lester | 2672 | -863 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | $270,960 |
| 84 | -1 | Garrett Liberty | 70 | -3465 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $7,260 |
| 45 | +4 | Scott Lynch | 476 | -3059 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $46,645 |
| 87 | -1 | Blake Mallory | 61 | -3474 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $9,265 |
| 88 | -1 | Bill Manfull | 61 | -3474 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $6,590 |
| 70 | -- | Mark Martin | 147 | -3388 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $12,975 |
| 82 | -1 | Mark McFarland | 73 | -3462 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $7,135 |
| 81 | -1 | John Mickel | 76 | -3459 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $7,235 |
| 40 | +3 | Joey Miller | 587 | -2948 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $56,905 |
| 53 | -- | Butch Miller | 343 | -3192 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $30,480 |
| 23 | -- | Chase Montgomery | 2230 | -1305 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $238,680 |
| 37 | -- | Sean Murphy | 657 | -2878 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $73,980 |
| 1 | -- | Ted Musgrave | 3535 | Leader | 25 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 15 | $460,910 |
| 50 | -- | Eric Norris | 360 | -3175 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $42,630 |
| 22 | -1 | Steve Park | 2275 | -1260 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | $275,282 |
| 28 | -- | Timothy Peters* | 1568 | -1967 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | $161,435 |
| 90 | -1 | Chase Pistone | 58 | -3477 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $5,365 |
| 20 | -- | Robert Pressley | 2493 | -1042 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | $243,130 |
| 72 | -2 | Jose Luis Ramirez | 131 | -3404 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $14,034 |
| 24 | +2 | Deborah Renshaw | 2123 | -1412 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $221,975 |
| 13 | -1 | David Reutimann | 2979 | -556 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9 | $379,915 |
| 62 | +6 | Robert Richardson, Ii | 216 | -3319 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $23,390 |
| 34 | -- | Clay Rogers | 723 | -2812 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | $61,935 |
| 78 | -2 | Bradley Rogers | 106 | -3429 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $8,565 |
| 89 | -1 | Boris Said | 58 | -3477 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $10,690 |
| 59 | +4 | Johnny Sauter | 288 | -3247 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $31,975 |
| 31 | -- | Ken Schrader | 1013 | -2522 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $82,348 |
| 2 | -- | Dennis Setzer | 3480 | -55 | 25 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | $575,865 |
| 5 | -- | Mike Skinner | 3273 | -262 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 13 | $432,465 |
| 38 | +1 | Regan Smith* | 640 | -2895 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $81,190 |
| 12 | -2 | Jimmy Spencer | 3050 | -485 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | $331,285 |
| 8 | -- | Jack Sprague | 3137 | -398 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 11 | $407,315 |
| 7 | -- | David Starr | 3148 | -387 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | $318,600 |
| 61 | -1 | Tony Stewart | 234 | -3301 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | $36,565 |
| 71 | -2 | J C Stout | 143 | -3392 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $13,250 |
| 29 | -- | Kelly Sutton | 1315 | -2220 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $143,949 |
| 66 | -1 | Tam Topham | 177 | -3358 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $20,135 |
| 77 | -2 | Martin Truex Jr. | 106 | -3429 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $7,740 |
| 56 | -- | Nick Tucker | 334 | -3201 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $34,785 |
| 39 | -1 | Mike Wallace | 604 | -2931 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | $42,220 |
| 73 | -2 | Darrell Waltrip | 124 | -3411 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $8,915 |
| 51 | -- | Ken Weaver | 357 | -3178 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | $47,745 |
| 18 | -1 | Brandon Whitt | 2602 | -933 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | $327,595 |
| 43 | +1 | Chris Wimmer | 504 | -3031 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $51,080 |
| 64 | -2 | Alex Yontz | 198 | -3337 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | $28,210 |
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| * Denotes Rookie |
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