DraftKings Rankings: Miami

Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by the value of each driver.

(FPPK = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary.)

1. Martin Truex, Jr. ($11,100)
— He is the best intermediate track driver in NASCAR, but Homestead is a little different. The Furniture Row team is prepared for this moment, though, and was happy with its Homestead test in October. At intermediate tracks, Truex is averaging 94 points per race. That sounds fake. (6.5 FPPK)

2. Kyle Busch ($10,500) — Busch claimed the 2015 championship by winning at Homestead. It doesn’t matter if he wins the championship — fantasy NASCAR players want fast-lap points. After securing a playoff spot, Busch didn’t even try at Texas, and he still ran 20 fast laps. (5.6 FPPK)

3. Kyle Larson ($9,500) — There are two possible outcomes: Larson earns his fifth consecutive DNF, or he scores the most fantasy points. He scored the most points in each of the last two Homestead races, and the high-groove track is tailor-made for him. (4.9 FPPK)

4. Kevin Harvick ($9,700) — No one has been better at Homestead over the last three years — his average running position in each race is third. No one has been faster in the playoffs. In the last intermediate track race, Harvick passed the presumptive champion Martin Truex Jr. for the win. (4.5 FPPK)

5. Denny Hamlin ($8,900) — Everyone knew payback was coming at Phoenix. It’s too bad for Hamlin, but it’s less worrisome for fantasy NASCAR players. Hamlin has two wins at Homestead and eight top 10s in 12 races. (4.3 FPPK)

6. Brad Keselowski ($9,900) — He’s a long shot to win the championship, but Johnson pulled off a similar feat last season. Of course, that was aided by the liberal use of the caution flag at the end of the race. BK has a chance to win but not to lead laps. (4.4 FPPK)

7. Chase Elliott ($9,400) — Phoenix was Elliott’s fifth second-place finish this season. It also was his 11th top-five finish — the most by a driver without a win. The assumption is that the fast laps and laps led points will go to a championship contender, but that has not been the case in past Homestead races. (4.4 FPPK)

8. Matt Kenseth ($9,100) — Short tracks have been Kenseth’s strength this season, but he’s no slouch at intermediate tracks. He has a top-10 average running position in each of the last nine intermediate track races. He also has a top-10 average running position in each of the last six Homestead races. (3.9 FPPK)

9. Jamie McMurray ($7,700) — He has finished with top-10 fantasy points in each of the last three Homestead races. If he’s fast in practice, then he’ll be fast in the race. McMurray’s average running position has matched his long run practice speed 83 percent of the time at intermediate tracks (highest correlation in NASCAR). (3.3 FPPK)

10. Jimmie Johnson ($9,600) — The No. 48 Lowe’s car hasn’t been fast since the spring. Johnson ran 10 fast laps at Charlotte in October. Since the spring, in the other seven intermediate track races combined, he has run a total of 10 fast laps. (3.5 FPPK)

11. Ryan Newman ($7,600) — Last year at Homestead, Newman finished 25th. There was chaos at the end. Newman ran 96.6 percent of his laps inside the top 15. Going back to 2011, Newman always has an average running position inside the top 15 at Homestead. (4.2 FPPK)

12. Joey Logano ($9,200) — Team Penske does not have intermediate track speed. The April Texas race was the only time Logano has led laps, and he only led the fourth-most laps. Logano and his team likely will experiment, or part of his team will be assisting Keselowski’s team. (3.4 FPPK)

13. Daniel Suarez ($7,000) — A year ago at Homestead, Suarez started on the pole, led 133 laps and won the race and the XFINITY championship. He likely won’t win this weekend, but he has enough skill to earn his 13th top-10 finish. (3.9 FPPK)

14. Erik Jones ($8,100) — It doesn’t matter what happens at Homestead — Jones has the rookie of the year award locked up. It might seem like a meaningless race, but there might be some fire in his belly this weekend. Homestead is where Jones lost the XFINITY championship last season. (3.9 FPPK)

15. Ryan Blaney ($8,700) — Employ simple logic. Blaney nearly qualified for the championship race. The majority of tracks on the NASCAR circuit are intermediate tracks. He must be good at the intermediate tracks (eighth-best average finish). (3.1 FPPK)

16. Austin Dillon ($7,400) — This has been another forgettable season for Dillon. Other than winning his first career Monster Energy Series race at Charlotte, it was another season of 15th- to 20th-place finishes. At his price, 15th will work in daily fantasy NASCAR. (3.6 FPPK)

17. Clint Bowyer ($8,500) — Last year, Bowyer raced for a small, non-competitive team. The year before that, his Homestead race was the last before Michael Waltrip Racing shut down shop. In decent equipment, Bowyer has finished 12th or better in eight of nine Homestead races. (3.3 FPPK)

18. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. ($7,800) — No one will mind if the NASCAR inspection team overlooks a jet engine under the No. 88 car’s hood. Junior fans want one more win, but Tony Stewart fans and Jeff Gordon fans wanted that, too. Junior’s last win at a 1.5-mile track came in 2005. (2.9 FPPK)

19. Kurt Busch ($8,300) — In the 2016 Homestead race, Busch drove from 16th to 13th. The year before that, he raced from 15th to eighth. Those races don’t look like great performances, but they both resulted in top-10 fantasy scores. (3.0 FPPK)

20. Aric Almirola ($6,200) — Everyone is ready for the offseason, but Almirola would like for the 2018 season to start the day after Homestead. Almirola has been competitive in average equipment (seven top-20 finishes in 11 intermediate track races), so just wait until he jumps into an Stewart-Haas Racing car. (4.7 FPPK)

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