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Chase-clinching scenarios for Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway

With four races remaining in the regular season, 10 drivers have clinched a spot in the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, assuming each start the remaining races.

The 10 clinchers: Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth, Kevin Harvick, Kurt Busch, Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

 

Everyone who has a win this season is locked in -- except for Tony Stewart and Chris Buescher, both of whom have yet to clinch a top-30 spot.

 

A number of drivers who currently have no wins can clinch this weekend, but only if they win at Bristol Motor Speedway and leave the race with at least a 136-point lead over Stewart and Buescher. There's also the potential for the points leader to be a guaranteed winner after race No. 26 at Richmond, the final regular-season race. If that's the case, the below drivers would only need to have a 136-point lead over Buescher.

 

The XFINITY Series clinch scenarios follow as well.

 

Possible to clinch:

Tony Stewart: (1 Win, 389 Points, +97 Points Ahead of 31st) -- Could clinch a Top 30 position with help

 

Possible to clinch at Bristol with a win:

Ryan Newman (0 Wins, 562 Points, +270 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Chase Elliott (0 Wins, 561 Points, +269 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Austin Dillon (0 Wins, 559 Points, +267 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Jamie McMurray (0 Wins, 550 Points, +258 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Kyle Larson (0 Wins, 520 Points, +228 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Trevor Bayne (0 Wins, 512 Points, +220 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Kasey Kahne (0 Wins, 509 Points, +217 Points Ahead of 31st

 

Ryan Blaney (0 Wins, 502 Points, +210 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

AJ Allmendinger (0 Wins, 486 Points, +194 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. (0 Wins, 475 Points, +183 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Dale Earnhardt Jr.* (0 Wins, 461 Points, +169 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Paul Menard (0 Wins, 422 Points, +130 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Possible to clinch at Bristol with a win plus help:

Greg Biffle (0 Wins, 416 Points, +124 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Danica Patrick (0 Wins, 413 Points, +121 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Clint Bowyer (0 Wins, 397 Points, +105 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

Aric Almirola (0 Wins, 379 Points, +87 Points Ahead of 31st)

 

*Not currently entered at Bristol

 

XFINITY Series

The following drivers have already clinched a spot in the top 30 of the points standings, so a win would lock them into the Chase field -- Ty Dillon, Justin Allgaier, Brendan Gaughan, Brennan Poole, Brandon Jones, Darrell Wallace Jr., Ryan Reed, Ryan Sieg, Blake Koch, Ross Chastain, Dakoda Armstrong and Jeremy Clements.

 

Ryan Preece would clinch a top 30 spot in the points with a win, so he'd be in the Chase, too, if that happened.

 

With a win, and some help in the points, Ray Black Jr. and BJ McLeod could qualify for the Chase.

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