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Chase-clinching scenarios for Michigan and Road America

Ryan Blaney

With three races remaining in the regular season, 10 drivers have clinched a spot in the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, assuming each driver starts the remaining races.

The 10 clinchers: Brad Keselowski, Kyle Busch, Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson, Matt Kenseth, Kevin Harvick, Kurt Busch, Joey Logano, Martin Truex Jr. and Denny Hamlin.

 

Everyone who has a win this season is locked in -- except for Tony Stewart and Chris Buescher, both of whom have yet to clinch a top-30 spot. Stewart can clinch a top 30 spot at Michigan with some help as he must be 91 points ahead of the 31st position in the standings.

 

A number of drivers who currently have no wins can clinch this weekend, but only if they win the Pure Michigan 400 at Michigan International Speedway (Sunday, 2 p.m. ET, NBCSN, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio). Winless drivers in the standings from Austin Dillon all the way to Aric Almirola could lock in a spot with a victory. See the Sprint Cup standings here.

 

Possible to Clinch:

-- Tony Stewart (1 Win, 400 Points, +85 Points Ahead of 31st): Could Clinch a Top 30 spot with help (magic number is 91 points), which is all he needs to do to clinch on wins. 

 

The following drivers would clinch with a win:

-- Austin Dillon (0 Wins, 596 Points, +281 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Chase Elliott (0 Wins, 588 Points, +273 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Jamie McMurray (0 Wins, 583 Points, +268 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Ryan Newman (0 Wins, 576 Points, +261 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Trevor Bayne (0 Wins, 541 Points, +226 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Kyle Larson (0 Wins, 537 Points, +222 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Kasey Kahne (0 Wins, 537 Points, +222 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- AJ Allmendinger (0 Wins, 518 Points, +203 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Ricky Stenhouse Jr (0 Wins, 514 Points, +199 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Ryan Blaney (0 Wins, 508 Points, +193 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Dale Earnhardt Jr (0 Wins, 461 Points, +146 Points Ahead of 31st)**

-- Greg Biffle (0 Wins, 441 Points, +126 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Danica Patrick (0 Wins, 432 Points, +117 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Paul Menard (0 Wins, 431 Points, +116 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Clint Bowyer (0 Wins, 407 Points, +92 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Aric Almirola (0 Wins, 406 Points, +91 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Casey Mears (0 Wins, 375 Points, +60 Points Ahead of 31st): With a win, he could clinch a Chase spot on wins if he got help with clinching a Top 30 spot.

 

**Not entered at Michigan

 

XFINITY

The following drivers have already clinched a spot in the top 30 of the points standings, so a win at Road America (Saturday, 3 p.m. ET, NBCSN, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) would lock them into the Chase field -- Justin AllgaierTy Dillon, Brendan Gaughan, Brennan Poole, Brandon Jones, Darrell Wallace Jr., Ryan Reed, Blake Koch, Ryan SiegRoss Chastain, Dakoda ArmstrongJeremy Clements, Ryan Preece, Ray Black Jr. and BJ McLeod. Joey Gase would also clinch a Chase spot with a win.

Camping World Truck

With a win at Michigan (Saturday, 1 p.m. ET, FS1, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio), any of the four drivers currently sitting with one win would clinch their Chase spot.

-- Johnny Sauter (1 Win, 306 Points, +243 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Christopher Bell (1 Win, 296 Points, +233 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- Ben Kennedy (1 Win, 287 Points, +224 Points Ahead of 31st)

-- John Hunter Nemechek (1 Win, 281 Points, +218 Points Ahead of 31st)  


Daniel Hemric (0 Wins, 312 Points, +249 Points Ahead of 31st) -- With a win and help, he would clinch a Chase spot on wins. (The help would be in the form of all winless drivers being eliminated from leading the standings after Chicago.)

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