Fantasy Update: Last-minute lineup advice for Chicago
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Paul Menard won the Busch Pole Qualifying Award and will start in the top position in Sunday's Overton's 400 (2:30 p.m. ET on NBCSN, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) at Chicagoland Speedway. After two practice sessions and qualifying, we've dissected the numbers and 10-lap averages to offer a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live consideration as you go to make roster decisions for the 17th Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race of 2018. Remember that the garage locks at the end of Stage 2.
Cars to the rear: Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Daniel Suarez, Timmy Hill and Reed Sorenson (unapproved adjustments)
RJ Kraft's revised Fantasy Live lineup following practices and the lineup being set:
1: Kevin Harvick
2: Brad Keselowski
3: Ryan Blaney
4: Chase Elliott
5: Aric Almirola
Garage: Kyle Larson
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MORE: Fantasy analysis for Chicago | Driver stats | Full lineup | 10-lap averages
Analysis: It's been a jammed packed weekend with two practices and qualifying on Saturday before Sunday's race. In case you only saw qualifying on TV, the times of Martin Truex Jr., Denny Hamlin, Jimmie Johnson and Chris Buescher were disallowed after they failed post-qualifying inspection at Chicagoland Speedway. Those four cars will start 36th through 39th, respectively.
Going into the weekend, I was planning to build a lineup around Harvick, Keselowski, Truex Jr. and Larson. I'm sticking with three of those four. Harvick topped the board in 10-lap averages for final practice and has three 1.5-mile wins on the season. Keselowski has been strong points-wise at the 1.5-mile tracks as has Larson. While I would have liked a better qualifying effort from Larson, this track fits his style so I expect him to get into the top five. I'm starting with him in the garage, but fully expect to plug him in before the end of Stage 2. I'm electing to sit Truex Jr. despite the fact he is two-time defending race winner. I don't like the 36th-place starting spot and the No. 78 hasn't been what it was last year on the 1.5-mile tracks. Still have some great places to play him moving forward -- Kentucky, New Hampshire, Pocono, Watkins Glen, Darlington.
Blaney has been fast this weekend as he has for most of the 1.5-mile weekends. I was on the fence about Elliott coming into the weekend, but a good qualifying effort, plus his Chicagoland history has me giving him the starting nod. The last spot in my lineup came down to Almirola and pole-sitter Paul Menard. The qualifying effort out of Menard was impressive, but I just don't think he is going to have the staying power to get significant stage points and frankly, at this point in the season I trust Almirola more.
For the stage and race wins, I've got Blaney in Stage 1, followed by Harvick the rest of the way.