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RJ Kraft’s Fantasy Live lineup for race day at Charlotte: Playoff driver 1: Kyle Larson Playoff driver 2: Clint Bowyer Non-playoff driver 1: Jimmie Johnson Non-playoff driver 2: Matt DiBenedetto Garage: William Byron
RELATED: Odds for Charlotte | Lap averages | Weekend preview Analysis: This is an elimination race for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs, so it is important to know the agendas. Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. are locked into the Round of 12, while Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano and Denny Hamlin are pretty much set to advance as well -- but have not yet mathematically clinched their spots. With that said, I am avoiding those drivers for the most part because I am placing a premium on the drivers who need stage points and points to advance. Truex would have been the one exception to that rule -- due to his Round of 16 hot streak and past road-course success -- but a blown motor in final practice will drop him to the rear for an engine change. I am all-in for chasing stage points in this race and targeting drivers who need to grab points to advance. So that puts Byron, Kyle Larson, Clint Bowyer, Ryan Blaney and Chase Elliott squarely in my crosshairs. Larson has looked like one of the best cars in practice and led the most laps here last year, so I am playing him. Bowyer's combination of solid 1.5-mile results and road-racing ability plugs him into my lineup, too. Plus, at just four points out, I expect him to be on the aggressive end for stage points. For the garage, I want to take Elliott because he had the best car in final practice and is only starting 19th because he mucked up the qualifying lap Friday. That said, though, I am taking Byron in the garage as a pure stage-points play since he is starting from the pole. He was aggressive on the stage-points front at Sonoma Raceway and I expect more of the same Sunday. On the non-playoff side, I am taking Jimmie Johnson for one spot. He qualified fourth, ran well here last year and has had speed in recent weeks. The seven-time champion had an incident in final practice, but the team worked to repair the damage to avoid going to a backup. My second spot was a choice between Matt DiBenedetto and Chris Buescher. The JTG Daugherty Racing driver has the better starting spot, but I like DiBenedetto's road record a bit more. For the bonus picks, I am taking Logano to win Stage 1, Elliott to win Stage 2 and Larson for the win with Chevrolet as the manufacturer. Each week in this space, we’ll also highlight two Props Challenge items for players. MORE: Need Props help? The Action Network has you covered | Play the Props Challenge today 1. Which Team Penske driver will finish higher: Brad Keselowski or Ryan Blaney? Blaney has had two top-five finishes at road courses in 2019, and Keselowski has one top-10 finish. Blaney also won this race last year, and Keselowski was involved in a late-race wreck. I am taking BLANEY on this one, based on the better road record this year. 2. O/U 3.5 drivers earn at least 10 stage points. I am big on the OVER here. In last year's race, six drivers (Larson, Kurt Busch, Bowyer, Elliott, Johnson and Blaney) all got at least 10 stage points. Factor in that a slew of drivers starting in the top 10 are likely to be players on that front to improve their playoff position, I feel even better about taking the over on this one.6.2.5