BACK TO GALLERIES
Fantasy Fastlane: 2019 TicketGuardian 500
By RJ Kraft | Published: March 8, 2019 16
Robert Laberge | Getty Images
1 of 16

NASCAR Digital Media
Editor's note: Fantasy Fastlane will look at each race from a fantasy perspective, examining the top plays, sleepers and plays to avoid for NASCAR Fantasy Live. Garage driver will lock at end of Stage 2. Odds come from Westgate.
PLAY NOW: Set your Fantasy Live lineup today
PLAY NOW: Set your Fantasy Live lineup today
2 of 16

Jonathan Ferrey | Getty Images
Kevin Harvick | View stats
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 4 Ford
Odds: 7-2
Fastlane forecast: You know the success Harvick has had at Phoenix -- nine wins, defending race winner, 11 straight top-six finishes. The only reason to not play him is if you are trying to limit uses, but he's too good here to pass up.
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 4 Ford
Odds: 7-2
Fastlane forecast: You know the success Harvick has had at Phoenix -- nine wins, defending race winner, 11 straight top-six finishes. The only reason to not play him is if you are trying to limit uses, but he's too good here to pass up.
3 of 16

Robert Laberge | Getty Images
Kyle Busch | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 18 Toyota
Odds: 7-2
Fastlane forecast: Busch has two victories at Phoenix -- including a win in the most recent race on the reconfigured track. He has been stout here with seven straight top-seven finishes, including six top-four finishes in that stretch. He's a must start here.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 18 Toyota
Odds: 7-2
Fastlane forecast: Busch has two victories at Phoenix -- including a win in the most recent race on the reconfigured track. He has been stout here with seven straight top-seven finishes, including six top-four finishes in that stretch. He's a must start here.
4 of 16

Robert Laberge | Getty Images
Chase Elliott | View stats
Hendrick Motorsports, No. 9 Chevrolet
Odds: 12-1
Fastlane forecast: Phoenix has been one of Elliott's better tracks as evidenced by the fact that he holds the top average running position (6.239). He has two stage wins and scored stage points in seven of eight stages here. The young star is a top play.
Hendrick Motorsports, No. 9 Chevrolet
Odds: 12-1
Fastlane forecast: Phoenix has been one of Elliott's better tracks as evidenced by the fact that he holds the top average running position (6.239). He has two stage wins and scored stage points in seven of eight stages here. The young star is a top play.
5 of 16

Robert Laberge | Getty Images
Brad Keselowski | View stats
Team Penske, No. 2 Ford
Odds: 8-1
Fastlane forecast: Keselowski is coming off a second-place finish at Las Vegas, which came after his win at Atlanta. While he's yet to win at Phoenix, he's found success with six top 10s in his last 10 starts -- including a runner-up finish last fall.
Team Penske, No. 2 Ford
Odds: 8-1
Fastlane forecast: Keselowski is coming off a second-place finish at Las Vegas, which came after his win at Atlanta. While he's yet to win at Phoenix, he's found success with six top 10s in his last 10 starts -- including a runner-up finish last fall.
6 of 16

Sean Gardner | Getty Images
Denny Hamlin | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 11 Toyota
Odds: 14-1
Fastlane forecast: Hamlin has one career victory at Phoenix. In his last seven starts here, he has five top 10s -- one of the finishes outside the top 10 saw him lead 193 laps before a crash-induced 35th-place finish. I have a feeling about the 11; I like the play.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 11 Toyota
Odds: 14-1
Fastlane forecast: Hamlin has one career victory at Phoenix. In his last seven starts here, he has five top 10s -- one of the finishes outside the top 10 saw him lead 193 laps before a crash-induced 35th-place finish. I have a feeling about the 11; I like the play.
7 of 16

Sarah Crabill | Getty Images
Kyle Larson | View stats
Chip Ganassi Racing, No. 42 Chevrolet
Odds: 12-1
Fastlane forecast: Qualifying has never been an issue for Larson at Phoenix (6.0 average starting position). And while he has three top-three finishes in his last five starts there, he does have a 40th- and 18th-place finish in the middle of those.
Chip Ganassi Racing, No. 42 Chevrolet
Odds: 12-1
Fastlane forecast: Qualifying has never been an issue for Larson at Phoenix (6.0 average starting position). And while he has three top-three finishes in his last five starts there, he does have a 40th- and 18th-place finish in the middle of those.
8 of 16

Sean Gardner | Getty Images
Erik Jones | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 20 Toyota
Odds: 25-1
Fastlane forecast: Jones has made five starts at Phoenix and notched three top 10s in that stretch. His 11.4 average finish is his fifth-best in the series. Some added value: He's scored stage points in five of the eight stages at the 1-mile track.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 20 Toyota
Odds: 25-1
Fastlane forecast: Jones has made five starts at Phoenix and notched three top 10s in that stretch. His 11.4 average finish is his fifth-best in the series. Some added value: He's scored stage points in five of the eight stages at the 1-mile track.
9 of 16

Sarah Crabill | Getty Images
Aric Almirola | View stats
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 10 Ford
Odds: 25-1
Fastlane forecast: Almirola has three straight top 10s at Phoenix -- that stretch includes a start from his time at Richard Petty Motorsports. He also has two straight top 10s in 2019. The veteran is a reliable play that should net owners at least 30 points.
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 10 Ford
Odds: 25-1
Fastlane forecast: Almirola has three straight top 10s at Phoenix -- that stretch includes a start from his time at Richard Petty Motorsports. He also has two straight top 10s in 2019. The veteran is a reliable play that should net owners at least 30 points.
10 of 16

Chris Graythen | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: William Byron | View stats
Hendrick Motorsports, No. 24 Chevrolet
Odds: 50-1
Fastlane forecast: In a trying rookie season, two of Byron's best results came at Phoenix. He finished ninth in the fall and 12th in the spring. Reasonable to expect the same with Chad Knaus atop the box.
Hendrick Motorsports, No. 24 Chevrolet
Odds: 50-1
Fastlane forecast: In a trying rookie season, two of Byron's best results came at Phoenix. He finished ninth in the fall and 12th in the spring. Reasonable to expect the same with Chad Knaus atop the box.
11 of 16

Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Daniel Suarez | View stats
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 41 Ford
Odds: 60-1
Fastlane forecast: In the two spring races at Phoenix, Suarez has notched two top 10s. An added factor with Suarez is that he has already earned stage points in three of six stages this season.
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 41 Ford
Odds: 60-1
Fastlane forecast: In the two spring races at Phoenix, Suarez has notched two top 10s. An added factor with Suarez is that he has already earned stage points in three of six stages this season.
12 of 16

Sarah Crabill | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | View stats
Roush Fenway Racing, No. 17 Ford
Odds: 40-1
Fastlane forecast: Stenhouse is fresh off a sixth-place finish at Las Vegas. While the two races at Phoenix were forgettable for him last year, both 2017 races produced top 10s for him.
Roush Fenway Racing, No. 17 Ford
Odds: 40-1
Fastlane forecast: Stenhouse is fresh off a sixth-place finish at Las Vegas. While the two races at Phoenix were forgettable for him last year, both 2017 races produced top 10s for him.
13 of 16

Chris Graythen | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Matt DiBenedetto | View stats
Leavine Family Racing, No. 95 Toyota
Odds: 100-1
Fastlane forecast: In less-than-stellar equipment, DiBenedetto has been a top-25 car at Phoenix in recent years. With crew chief Mike Wheeler's strong work with Denny Hamlin here, I expect an uptick.
Leavine Family Racing, No. 95 Toyota
Odds: 100-1
Fastlane forecast: In less-than-stellar equipment, DiBenedetto has been a top-25 car at Phoenix in recent years. With crew chief Mike Wheeler's strong work with Denny Hamlin here, I expect an uptick.
14 of 16

Chris Graythen | Getty Images
STAY AWAY FROM: Ryan Blaney | View stats
Team Penske, No. 12 Ford
Odds: 20-1
Fastlane forecast: In his last four starts at Phoenix, Blaney has an average finish of 22.5; a bit surprising with an average start of 4.8 in that stretch. Throw in his slow start to 2019 and it's worth saving him.
Team Penske, No. 12 Ford
Odds: 20-1
Fastlane forecast: In his last four starts at Phoenix, Blaney has an average finish of 22.5; a bit surprising with an average start of 4.8 in that stretch. Throw in his slow start to 2019 and it's worth saving him.
15 of 16

Sarah Crabill | Getty Images
STAY AWAY FROM: Joey Logano | View stats
Team Penske, No. 22 Ford
Odds: 9-1
Fastlane forecast: Feels weird to advise against playing the reigning champ and last week's winner at Las Vegas. However, since winning at Phoenix in 2016, he has no top 10s here. Save the use.
Team Penske, No. 22 Ford
Odds: 9-1
Fastlane forecast: Feels weird to advise against playing the reigning champ and last week's winner at Las Vegas. However, since winning at Phoenix in 2016, he has no top 10s here. Save the use.
16 of 16

Christian Petersen | Getty Images
My lineup heading into the weekend: Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch, Chase Elliott, Denny Hamlin, Aric Almirola; Garage: William Byron. Check back for our "Fantasy Update" piece this weekend for the final lineup. Tweet at me @kraftdaddy85
with your lineups and questions ahead of Sunday's race at 3:30 p.m. ET on FOX.
with your lineups and questions ahead of Sunday's race at 3:30 p.m. ET on FOX.