BACK TO GALLERIES
So you’re saying there’s a chance: Playoff hopefuls that could still win
By Pat DeCola | Published: June 19, 2019 12
Sean Gardnerhis be | Getty Images
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It's hard to believe, but we're closing in on the NASCAR Playoffs being just around the corner. After this Sunday's race at Sonoma Raceway (3 p.m. ET, FS1, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio), there will be just 10 races remaining in the regular season. NASCAR.com's Pat DeCola takes a look at each race left to clinch a Playoffs berth and picks one currently winless driver that could sneak into Victory Lane and punch a ticket.
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Track: Sonoma Raceway
Driver: Alex Bowman
Best track finish: 9th (2018)
Average track finish: 23.0 (three starts)
Outlook: Bowman could really put a bow on his breakout season with a win this weekend. The Hendrick Motorsports driver notched a top 10 at Sonoma last year and followed it up with a top-15 run at Watkins Glen and fourth-place result at the Roval. He's established himself as a road course threat and the way he's been running lately has to put him in consideration for the win on Sunday.
Driver: Alex Bowman
Best track finish: 9th (2018)
Average track finish: 23.0 (three starts)
Outlook: Bowman could really put a bow on his breakout season with a win this weekend. The Hendrick Motorsports driver notched a top 10 at Sonoma last year and followed it up with a top-15 run at Watkins Glen and fourth-place result at the Roval. He's established himself as a road course threat and the way he's been running lately has to put him in consideration for the win on Sunday.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Track: Chicagoland Speedway
Driver: Kyle Larson
Best track finish: 2nd (2018)
Average track finish: 7.9 (five starts)
Outlook: Larson has had some pretty mixed results on intermediate tracks this year, but those pains should all be soothed at Chicagoland, his best track in terms of average finish. With four top-seven finishes in five starts there and a near-win last season, Chicago offers the best shot at a playoff clincher for a driver in the midst of an underwhelming season.
Driver: Kyle Larson
Best track finish: 2nd (2018)
Average track finish: 7.9 (five starts)
Outlook: Larson has had some pretty mixed results on intermediate tracks this year, but those pains should all be soothed at Chicagoland, his best track in terms of average finish. With four top-seven finishes in five starts there and a near-win last season, Chicago offers the best shot at a playoff clincher for a driver in the midst of an underwhelming season.
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Sean Gardner | Getty Images
Track: Daytona International Speedway
Driver: Austin Dillon
Best track finish: 1st (2018)
Average track finish: 13.6
Outlook: Dillon is a driver that lives for big moments -- and big tracks. The 2018 Daytona 500 winner lists Daytona as second on his best tracks in terms of average finish and he seems to always find a way to be in contention at some point in every superspeedway race.
Driver: Austin Dillon
Best track finish: 1st (2018)
Average track finish: 13.6
Outlook: Dillon is a driver that lives for big moments -- and big tracks. The 2018 Daytona 500 winner lists Daytona as second on his best tracks in terms of average finish and he seems to always find a way to be in contention at some point in every superspeedway race.
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Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
Track: Kentucky Speedway
Driver: Erik Jones
Best track finish: 6th (2017)
Average track finish: 6.5
Outlook: Jones has had an up-and-down, unlucky season to date and needs to get it going at some point. Kentucky offers a great shot for him, with a pair of top-seven finishes and a front row starting spot in his two starts there. The track typically fares very well for Joe Gibbs Racing and he should contend for the win.
Driver: Erik Jones
Best track finish: 6th (2017)
Average track finish: 6.5
Outlook: Jones has had an up-and-down, unlucky season to date and needs to get it going at some point. Kentucky offers a great shot for him, with a pair of top-seven finishes and a front row starting spot in his two starts there. The track typically fares very well for Joe Gibbs Racing and he should contend for the win.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Track: New Hampshire Motor Speedway
Driver: Ryan Newman
Best track finish: 1st (2002, '05, '11)
Average track finish: 13.7
Outlook: Newman has been racing -- and winning -- at Loudon for a long, long time. His three wins there are tied with Dover for most at any track in his career and his 722 laps led are second (to Dover). Must be something about 1-mile tracks for "Rocket Man."
Driver: Ryan Newman
Best track finish: 1st (2002, '05, '11)
Average track finish: 13.7
Outlook: Newman has been racing -- and winning -- at Loudon for a long, long time. His three wins there are tied with Dover for most at any track in his career and his 722 laps led are second (to Dover). Must be something about 1-mile tracks for "Rocket Man."
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Track: Pocono Raceway
Driver: William Byron
Best track finish: 6th (2018)
Average track finish: 11.0
Outlook: Pocono ranks second on Byron's list in terms of average finish at tracks with more than one start and 17 percent of his career laps led have come at the "Tricky Triangle." He won the pole there earlier this season, too.
Driver: William Byron
Best track finish: 6th (2018)
Average track finish: 11.0
Outlook: Pocono ranks second on Byron's list in terms of average finish at tracks with more than one start and 17 percent of his career laps led have come at the "Tricky Triangle." He won the pole there earlier this season, too.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Track: Watkins Glen International
Driver: Daniel Suarez
Best track finish: 3rd (2017)
Average track finish: 3.5 (two starts)
Outlook: While Suarez's Sonoma finishes have been fine, though not outstanding (16th, 15th), he's really taken to Watkins Glen immediately. The Stewart-Haas Racing driver notched a pair of top-four finishes in his only two starts, even leading 14 laps in his first attempt.
Driver: Daniel Suarez
Best track finish: 3rd (2017)
Average track finish: 3.5 (two starts)
Outlook: While Suarez's Sonoma finishes have been fine, though not outstanding (16th, 15th), he's really taken to Watkins Glen immediately. The Stewart-Haas Racing driver notched a pair of top-four finishes in his only two starts, even leading 14 laps in his first attempt.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Track: Michigan International Speedway
Driver: Daniel Hemric
Best track finish: 12th (2019)
Average track finish: 12.0 (one start)
Outlook: Hemric just placed 12th at Michigan -- which is good, not great -- but has improved greatly over his last five races (18.8 average finish; 26.33 over first 10). If he continues to hit his stride, he could find a way to win in the Irish Hills, where he had success at lower levels (6.0 average finish in four starts).
Driver: Daniel Hemric
Best track finish: 12th (2019)
Average track finish: 12.0 (one start)
Outlook: Hemric just placed 12th at Michigan -- which is good, not great -- but has improved greatly over his last five races (18.8 average finish; 26.33 over first 10). If he continues to hit his stride, he could find a way to win in the Irish Hills, where he had success at lower levels (6.0 average finish in four starts).
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Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
Track: Bristol Motor Speedway
Driver: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Best track finish: 2nd (2014, '16)
Average track finish: 13.0 (13 starts)
Outlook: Though he's finished 24th and 33rd in the last two Bristol races, the short track will be a site for sore eyes for the Roush Fenway Racing driver. He's never led a lap but it's always felt like his best shot to win on a non-superspeedway, with a pair of runner-ups and several other bright spots (five top-six finishes)
Driver: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Best track finish: 2nd (2014, '16)
Average track finish: 13.0 (13 starts)
Outlook: Though he's finished 24th and 33rd in the last two Bristol races, the short track will be a site for sore eyes for the Roush Fenway Racing driver. He's never led a lap but it's always felt like his best shot to win on a non-superspeedway, with a pair of runner-ups and several other bright spots (five top-six finishes)
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Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
Track: Darlington Raceway
Driver: Chris Buescher
Best track finish: 13th (2018)
Average track finish: 15.7 (three starts)
Outlook: A bold choice, sure, particularly for a race typically won by NASCAR's heavyweights. But we've seen a dark horse win the Southern 500 just this decade (Regan Smith, 2011). Buescher and Co. have been steadily improving and could be a real threat to make the playoffs come crunch time. Darlington also happens to be his best track in terms of average finish, even finishing 13th last year.
Driver: Chris Buescher
Best track finish: 13th (2018)
Average track finish: 15.7 (three starts)
Outlook: A bold choice, sure, particularly for a race typically won by NASCAR's heavyweights. But we've seen a dark horse win the Southern 500 just this decade (Regan Smith, 2011). Buescher and Co. have been steadily improving and could be a real threat to make the playoffs come crunch time. Darlington also happens to be his best track in terms of average finish, even finishing 13th last year.
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Track: Indianapolis Motor Speedway
Driver: Jimmie Johnson
Best track finish: 1st (2006, '08, '09, '12)
Average track finish: 15.4 (17 starts)
Outlook: What a story this would be. Johnson is just barely hanging onto a provisional postseason spot, and there's no telling where he'll be come September. Imagine a scenario in which the Hendrick Motorsports driver needs to win his fifth Brickyard 400 to race for his eighth title. I don't know about you, but I don't make a habit of counting out seven-time champions.
Driver: Jimmie Johnson
Best track finish: 1st (2006, '08, '09, '12)
Average track finish: 15.4 (17 starts)
Outlook: What a story this would be. Johnson is just barely hanging onto a provisional postseason spot, and there's no telling where he'll be come September. Imagine a scenario in which the Hendrick Motorsports driver needs to win his fifth Brickyard 400 to race for his eighth title. I don't know about you, but I don't make a habit of counting out seven-time champions.