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CHARLOTTE, NC - MAY 17:  Jimmie Johnson, driver of the #48 Ally Chevrolet, stands in the garage during qualifying for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series All-Star Race at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 17, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) | Getty Images
BACK TO GALLERIES

So you’re saying there’s a chance: Playoff hopefuls that could still win

By Pat DeCola | Published: June 19, 2019 12
Sean Gardnerhis be | Getty Images
BACK TO GALLERIES

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Playoff Field
It's hard to believe, but we're closing in on the NASCAR Playoffs being just around the corner. After this Sunday's race at Sonoma Raceway (3 p.m. ET, FS1, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio), there will be just 10 races remaining in the regular season. NASCAR.com's Pat DeCola takes a look at each race left to clinch a Playoffs berth and picks one currently winless driver that could sneak into Victory Lane and punch a ticket.

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BROOKLYN, MICHIGAN - JUNE 08: Alex Bowman, driver of the #88 Nationwide Chevrolet, signs autographs on his way to the car during qualifying for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on June 08, 2019 in Brooklyn, Michigan. (Photo by Logan Riely/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Logan Riely | Getty Images

Track: Sonoma Raceway

Driver: Alex Bowman

Best track finish: 9th (2018)

Average track finish: 23.0 (three starts)

Outlook: Bowman could really put a bow on his breakout season with a win this weekend. The Hendrick Motorsports driver notched a top 10 at Sonoma last year and followed it up with a top-15 run at Watkins Glen and fourth-place result at the Roval. He's established himself as a road course threat and the way he's been running lately has to put him in consideration for the win on Sunday.

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TALLADEGA, AL - APRIL 26:  Kyle Larson, driver of the #42 Clover Chevrolet, stands in the garage area during practice for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series GEICO 500 at Talladega Superspeedway on April 26, 2019 in Talladega, Alabama.  (Photo by Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images

Track: Chicagoland Speedway

Driver: Kyle Larson

Best track finish: 2nd (2018)

Average track finish: 7.9 (five starts)

Outlook: Larson has had some pretty mixed results on intermediate tracks this year, but those pains should all be soothed at Chicagoland, his best track in terms of average finish. With four top-seven finishes in five starts there and a near-win last season, Chicago offers the best shot at a playoff clincher for a driver in the midst of an underwhelming season.

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CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA - MAY 18: Austin Dillon, driver of the #3 Dow Chevrolet, crosses the stage prior to the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series All-Star Race at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 18, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Sean Gardner | Getty Images

Track: Daytona International Speedway

Driver: Austin Dillon

Best track finish: 1st (2018)

Average track finish: 13.6

Outlook: Dillon is a driver that lives for big moments -- and big tracks. The 2018 Daytona 500 winner lists Daytona as second on his best tracks in terms of average finish and he seems to always find a way to be in contention at some point in every superspeedway race.

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BRISTOL, TN - APRIL 06:  Erik Jones, driver of the #20 CRAFTSMAN Racing for a Miracle Toyota, stands in the garage area during practice for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Food City 500 at Bristol Motor Speedway on April 6, 2019 in Bristol, Tennessee.  (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images

Track: Kentucky Speedway

Driver: Erik Jones

Best track finish: 6th (2017)

Average track finish: 6.5

Outlook: Jones has had an up-and-down, unlucky season to date and needs to get it going at some point. Kentucky offers a great shot for him, with a pair of top-seven finishes and a front row starting spot in his two starts there. The track typically fares very well for Joe Gibbs Racing and he should contend for the win.

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HAMPTON, GA - FEBRUARY 22:  Ryan Newman, driver of the #6 Acorns Ford, stands in the garage area during practice for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Folds of Honor Quiktrip 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway on February 22, 2019 in Hampton, Georgia.  (Photo by Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images

Track: New Hampshire Motor Speedway

Driver: Ryan Newman

Best track finish: 1st (2002, '05, '11)

Average track finish: 13.7

Outlook: Newman has been racing -- and winning -- at Loudon for a long, long time. His three wins there are tied with Dover for most at any track in his career and his 722 laps led are second (to Dover). Must be something about 1-mile tracks for "Rocket Man."

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FORT WORTH, TX - MARCH 29:  William Byron, driver of the #24 Axalta/Primeline Chevrolet, talks with  crew chief Chad Knaus during qualifying for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series O'Reilly Auto Parts 500 at Texas Motor Speedway on March 29, 2019 in Fort Worth, Texas.  (Photo by Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images

Track: Pocono Raceway

Driver: William Byron

Best track finish: 6th (2018)

Average track finish: 11.0

Outlook: Pocono ranks second on Byron's list in terms of average finish at tracks with more than one start and 17 percent of his career laps led have come at the "Tricky Triangle." He won the pole there earlier this season, too.

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CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA - MAY 23: Daniel Suarez, driver of the #41 Coca-Cola Ford, stands in the garage area during practice for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 23, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images

Track: Watkins Glen International

Driver: Daniel Suarez

Best track finish: 3rd (2017)

Average track finish: 3.5 (two starts)

Outlook: While Suarez's Sonoma finishes have been fine, though not outstanding (16th, 15th), he's really taken to Watkins Glen immediately. The Stewart-Haas Racing driver notched a pair of top-four finishes in his only two starts, even leading 14 laps in his first attempt.

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CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA - MAY 23: Daniel Hemric, driver of the #8 Cessna Chevrolet, stands in the garage area during practice for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 23, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Brian Lawdermilk/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images

Track: Michigan International Speedway

Driver: Daniel Hemric

Best track finish: 12th (2019)

Average track finish: 12.0 (one start)

Outlook: Hemric just placed 12th at Michigan -- which is good, not great -- but has improved greatly over his last five races (18.8 average finish; 26.33 over first 10). If he continues to hit his stride, he could find a way to win in the Irish Hills, where he had success at lower levels (6.0 average finish in four starts).

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MARTINSVILLE, VA - MARCH 23:  Ricky Stenhouse Jr., driver of the #17 Fastenal Ford, looks on during qualifying for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series STP 500 at Martinsville Speedway on March 23, 2019 in Martinsville, Virginia.  (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images

Track: Bristol Motor Speedway

Driver: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.

Best track finish: 2nd (2014, '16)

Average track finish: 13.0 (13 starts)

Outlook: Though he's finished 24th and 33rd in the last two Bristol races, the short track will be a site for sore eyes for the Roush Fenway Racing driver. He's never led a lap but it's always felt like his best shot to win on a non-superspeedway, with a pair of runner-ups and several other bright spots (five top-six finishes)

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CHARLOTTE, NC - MAY 17:  Chris Buescher, driver of the #37 Kroger Your Personal Pit Stop Chevrolet, walks on the grid during qualifying for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Open Race at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 17, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images

Track: Darlington Raceway

Driver: Chris Buescher

Best track finish: 13th (2018)

Average track finish: 15.7 (three starts)

Outlook: A bold choice, sure, particularly for a race typically won by NASCAR's heavyweights. But we've seen a dark horse win the Southern 500 just this decade (Regan Smith, 2011). Buescher and Co. have been steadily improving and could be a real threat to make the playoffs come crunch time. Darlington also happens to be his best track in terms of average finish, even finishing 13th last year.

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CHARLOTTE, NC - MAY 17:  Jimmie Johnson, driver of the #48 Ally Chevrolet, stands in the garage during qualifying for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series All-Star Race at Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 17, 2019 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images) | Getty Images

Sean Gardnerhis be | Getty Images

Track: Indianapolis Motor Speedway

Driver: Jimmie Johnson

Best track finish: 1st (2006, '08, '09, '12)

Average track finish: 15.4 (17 starts)

Outlook: What a story this would be. Johnson is just barely hanging onto a provisional postseason spot, and there's no telling where he'll be come September. Imagine a scenario in which the Hendrick Motorsports driver needs to win his fifth Brickyard 400 to race for his eighth title. I don't know about you, but I don't make a habit of counting out seven-time champions.
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