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Fantasy Fastlane: 2019 Foxwoods Resort Casino 301
By RJ Kraft | Published: July 19, 2019 16
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NASCAR Digital Media
Editor's note: Fantasy Fastlane will look at each race from a fantasy perspective, examining the top plays, sleepers and plays to avoid for NASCAR Fantasy Live. Garage driver will lock at end of Stage 2. Odds come from Westgate Sports Book.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Kyle Busch | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 18 Toyota
Odds: 5-2
Fastlane forecast: Busch has three wins at New Hampshire and seven top-three finishes in his past 11 starts there. In the last three races, he has averaged 48 points -- second-only to Truex. I would absolutely play him regardless of where you are on usages.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 18 Toyota
Odds: 5-2
Fastlane forecast: Busch has three wins at New Hampshire and seven top-three finishes in his past 11 starts there. In the last three races, he has averaged 48 points -- second-only to Truex. I would absolutely play him regardless of where you are on usages.
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Daniel Shirey | Getty Images
Martin Truex Jr. | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 19 Toyota
Odds: 4-1
Fastlane forecast: In his last five starts at New Hampshire, Truex has led 39.7 percent of the laps run. He has no wins, but four top-seven finishes in that span. In the last three races here, Truex has earned the most points. This race is one of three I have circled for him.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 19 Toyota
Odds: 4-1
Fastlane forecast: In his last five starts at New Hampshire, Truex has led 39.7 percent of the laps run. He has no wins, but four top-seven finishes in that span. In the last three races here, Truex has earned the most points. This race is one of three I have circled for him.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Kevin Harvick | View stats
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 4 Ford
Odds: 6-1
Fastlane forecast: Harvick is the defending race winner. Two of his three victories at New Hampshire have come in the last four races here. Since joining SHR, he's been a top-five car here (six in nine starts; he ran out of fuel while in the top two in two other races).
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 4 Ford
Odds: 6-1
Fastlane forecast: Harvick is the defending race winner. Two of his three victories at New Hampshire have come in the last four races here. Since joining SHR, he's been a top-five car here (six in nine starts; he ran out of fuel while in the top two in two other races).
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Brad Keselowski | View stats
Team Penske, No. 2 Ford
Odds: 9-1
Fastlane forecast: Keselowski has one career Cup win at New Hampshire and this track is his best left -- based on his 11.1 average finish. In his last 14 races here, he's only had one finish off the lead lap and only another finish you would consider a clunker.
Team Penske, No. 2 Ford
Odds: 9-1
Fastlane forecast: Keselowski has one career Cup win at New Hampshire and this track is his best left -- based on his 11.1 average finish. In his last 14 races here, he's only had one finish off the lead lap and only another finish you would consider a clunker.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
Joey Logano | View stats
Team Penske, No. 22 Ford
Odds: 10-1
Fastlane forecast: Logano has two New Hampshire victories and he scored his first Cup win here 10 years ago. The reigning series champion also has six top 10s in his last eight starts there. If you are at four or more uses left, I like this as one of the tracks to use Logano.
Team Penske, No. 22 Ford
Odds: 10-1
Fastlane forecast: Logano has two New Hampshire victories and he scored his first Cup win here 10 years ago. The reigning series champion also has six top 10s in his last eight starts there. If you are at four or more uses left, I like this as one of the tracks to use Logano.
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Matt Sullivan | Getty Images
Kyle Larson | View stats
Chip Ganassi Racing, No. 42 Chevrolet
Odds: 30-1
Fastlane forecast: New Hampshire is one of the two best tracks left to use Larson (10.7 average finish). He has three runner-up finishes here in 10 starts -- including two in the last three races. He has produced on 1-mile range tracks in 2019 -- averaging 41 points.
Chip Ganassi Racing, No. 42 Chevrolet
Odds: 30-1
Fastlane forecast: New Hampshire is one of the two best tracks left to use Larson (10.7 average finish). He has three runner-up finishes here in 10 starts -- including two in the last three races. He has produced on 1-mile range tracks in 2019 -- averaging 41 points.
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Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
Denny Hamlin | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 11 Toyota
Odds: 10-1
Fastlane forecast: Hamlin has the best average finish (10.2) of any driver in Sunday's field. He has three career Cup wins here including a victory in this race two years ago. In the past three races here, he has the fourth-most points with an average of 35 points per race.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 11 Toyota
Odds: 10-1
Fastlane forecast: Hamlin has the best average finish (10.2) of any driver in Sunday's field. He has three career Cup wins here including a victory in this race two years ago. In the past three races here, he has the fourth-most points with an average of 35 points per race.
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Matt Sullivan | Getty Images
Kurt Busch | View stats
Chip Ganassi Racing, No. 1 Chevrolet
Odds: 20-1
Fastlane forecast: Last weekend's winner at Kentucky has three career Cup victories at New Hampshire -- although none have come since 2008. He went through a rough stretch here, but he has three top 10s in his last four starts and scored 16 stage points in this race in '18.
Chip Ganassi Racing, No. 1 Chevrolet
Odds: 20-1
Fastlane forecast: Last weekend's winner at Kentucky has three career Cup victories at New Hampshire -- although none have come since 2008. He went through a rough stretch here, but he has three top 10s in his last four starts and scored 16 stage points in this race in '18.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Ryan Blaney | View stats
Team Penske, No. 12 Ford
Odds: 20-1
Fastlane forecast: This is an under-the-radar track for the young star. Blaney has two straight top 10s at New Hampshire and the seventh-most points in the past three races -- that's more than Harvick, Kes and Logano.
Team Penske, No. 12 Ford
Odds: 20-1
Fastlane forecast: This is an under-the-radar track for the young star. Blaney has two straight top 10s at New Hampshire and the seventh-most points in the past three races -- that's more than Harvick, Kes and Logano.
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Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Jimmie Johnson | View stats
Hendrick Motorsports, No. 48 Chevrolet
Odds: 35-1
Fastlane forecast: Johnson has three wins at the "Magic Mile." He has four top 10s in the past six races there, scored 11 stage points in this race last year and has the sixth-most points in the past three races at this track.
Hendrick Motorsports, No. 48 Chevrolet
Odds: 35-1
Fastlane forecast: Johnson has three wins at the "Magic Mile." He has four top 10s in the past six races there, scored 11 stage points in this race last year and has the sixth-most points in the past three races at this track.
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Daniel Shirey | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Clint Bowyer | View stats
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 14 Ford
Odds: 16-1
Fastlane forecast: Bowyer has notched two of his 10 career Cup wins here. In three starts with SHR, he has two seventh-place finishes. In two starts at tracks of similar length this year, he's averaged 33 points.
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 14 Ford
Odds: 16-1
Fastlane forecast: Bowyer has notched two of his 10 career Cup wins here. In three starts with SHR, he has two seventh-place finishes. In two starts at tracks of similar length this year, he's averaged 33 points.
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Brian Lawdermilk | Getty Images
SLEEPER PICK: Daniel Suarez | View stats
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 41 Ford
Odds: 50-1
Fastlane forecast: Based on average finish, New Hampshire is Suarez's fourth-best track (12.0). The young driver has shown a knack for solid finishes at 1-mile range tracks with eight top 10s in 13 starts.
Stewart-Haas Racing, No. 41 Ford
Odds: 50-1
Fastlane forecast: Based on average finish, New Hampshire is Suarez's fourth-best track (12.0). The young driver has shown a knack for solid finishes at 1-mile range tracks with eight top 10s in 13 starts.
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Matt Sullivan | Getty Images
STAY AWAY FROM: Erik Jones | View stats
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 20 Toyota
Odds: 30-1
Fastlane forecast: Jones' seesaw year continued with a third-place finish at Kentucky -- his fourth of the season. He qualifies well at New Hampshire (6.7 avg. start), but has just one top 10 and top 15 there.
Joe Gibbs Racing, No. 20 Toyota
Odds: 30-1
Fastlane forecast: Jones' seesaw year continued with a third-place finish at Kentucky -- his fourth of the season. He qualifies well at New Hampshire (6.7 avg. start), but has just one top 10 and top 15 there.
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Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images
STAY AWAY FROM: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | View stats
Roush Fenway Racing, No. 17 Ford
Odds: 300-1
Fastlane forecast: Stenhouse has two top 10s in 11 starts at New Hampshire. In two of the last four races there, he has finished outside the top 20. We are at a point in the year where a gamble like this isn't necessary.
Roush Fenway Racing, No. 17 Ford
Odds: 300-1
Fastlane forecast: Stenhouse has two top 10s in 11 starts at New Hampshire. In two of the last four races there, he has finished outside the top 20. We are at a point in the year where a gamble like this isn't necessary.
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Jonathan Ferrey | Getty Images
My lineup heading into the weekend: Kyle Busch, Martin Truex Jr., Brad Keselowski, Joey Logano, Kyle Larson; Garage: Denny Hamlin. Check back for our "Fantasy Update" piece on Saturday for the final lineup. Tweet at me @kraftdaddy85
with your lineups and questions ahead of Sunday's race at 3 p.m. ET on NBCSN.
with your lineups and questions ahead of Sunday's race at 3 p.m. ET on NBCSN.