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Fantasy Update: Last-minute Dover lineup advice

Kyle Busch will lead the field to green for Sunday’s Gander Outdoors 400 (2 p.m. ET on NBCSN/NBC Sports App, MRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio). There were two practice sessions this weekend, giving players plenty to digest. We’ve dissected the numbers to offer a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live consideration as you make roster decisions.

PLAY NOW: Set your lineup | How the playoff game works

Remember that the garage locks at the end of Stage 2. Also, your garage play can only be swapped for a driver of similar classification. (A playoff garage driver can only be swapped for a playoff driver in your lineup; a non-playoff garage driver can only be swapped for a non-playoff driver in your lineup.)

Cars to the rear: Bubba Wallace (failed pre-race inspection three times)

RJ Kraft’s Fantasy Live lineup for race-day at Dover:
Playoff driver 1: Kevin Harvick
Playoff driver 2: Kyle Larson
Non-playoff driver 1: Jimmie Johnson
Non-playoff driver 2: Erik Jones
Garage: Martin Truex Jr.

MORE: Fantasy analysis for Dover | Driver stats | 10-lap averages | Lineup 

Analysis: The Fantasy Live Playoff Game is in Week 4! These five drivers made up my original lineup and I am sticking with them. Larson topped both practice sessions and led the way in the 5, 10 and 15-lap boards in the final session (h/t @SteveLetarte). He’s been very fast all weekend and has a strong Dover history, so I like staying with him. Harvick has been strong on the long run and dominated this race in the spring. I favor Truex’s recent Dover history — four straight top-four finishes over the Jekyll and Hyde nature of Kyle Busch’s recent Dover record — three top-two finishes but also four finishes outside the top 15 over the past seven races at the “Monster Mile” — so, I am keeping the defending champion in the lineup, but moving him to the garage.

WATCH: Why Larson’s a good playWhich ‘Big 3’ driver to start? | Non-playoff picks

For the non-playoff plays, hard to argue against the 11-time Dover winner Jimmie Johnson. Even more so, when he’s fourth on the 15-lap board and looking for redemption after last week’s final-turn mistake cost him a shot at advancing. Erik Jones has the most upside of any non-playoff driver and while his Dover numbers are pedestrian (a 15.0 average finish in three starts), I like the speed he’s had there.

For the bonus picks, I’m taking Harvick for Stage 1 and 2 with Larson for the win. The driver of the No. 42 Chip Ganassi Racing Chevrolet seems primed to make the most of his second life in the playoffs.