The first-ever IndyCar and NASCAR Cup Series doubleheader takes place this weekend with Saturday’s GMR Grand Prix on the road course at Indianapolis Motor Speedway, followed by the Cup Series’ Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400 on Sunday (4 p.m. ET, NBC, ISM Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
Indianapolis is very unique, with Pocono Raceway its closest comp on the current Cup Series schedule.
While not perfect, I used data from last weekend’s Pocono doubleheader as well as last year’s results at Indy, which used the same aero package and tire combination that teams will employ on Sunday.
Be sure to follow me on Twitter (@PJWalsh24) for any additional bets I make leading up to Sunday’s Big Machine Hand Sanitizer 400.
NASCAR at Indianapolis Odds, Picks
Kevin Harvick (+400)
Harvick won at Pocono on Saturday and looked primed to pull off the sweep before a late two-tire call put Denny Hamlin into the lead and ultimately relegated the No. 4 Ford to a runner-up finish.
And somehow Harvick’s stats at Indy last year were even more impressive, a race he won in dominant fashion with the most laps led, most fast laps run and a perfect 150 driver rating.
Harvick is the favorite across the market, but there’s still enough value at +400 to take a driver capable of stomping the field while also leaving enough bankroll to add more potential winners.
Ryan Blaney (+1200)
Blaney’s finishes at Pocono last weekend were not representative of his speed — he ran the fifth-most fast laps across both events — which wasn’t ideal since I bet him to win both races, but it’s also a reason why we can now get him at 12-1 odds.
As mentioned above, nobody could touch Harvick in this race last year, but the No. 12 Team Penske Ford led the second-most laps, had the third-most fast laps and the second-best driver rating.
In terms of speed, Blaney projects to be a top-four car on Sunday, showing why there’s so much value in his current price.