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September 11, 2020

The Action Network: Why DiBenedetto is best Richmond prop-betting pick


DOVER, DELAWARE - AUGUST 23: Matt DiBenedetto, driver of the #21 Menards/Monster Energy Ford, waits on the grid prior to the NASCAR Cup Series Drydene 311 at Dover International Speedway on August 23, 2020 in Dover, Delaware. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images) | Getty Images
Jared C. Tilton
Getty Images

The Action Network specializes in providing sports betting insights/analytics and is a content partner with NASCAR. Check out more NASCAR betting analysis here.

The NASCAR Cup Series playoffs roll on with a visit to Richmond Raceway for Saturday night’s Federated Auto Parts 400 (7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN).

Richmond is an action-packed, 0.75-mile short track that offers plenty of tire falloff and multiple grooves of racing.

And speaking of tires, teams will run the same combination on Saturday as they did at Phoenix Raceway and New Hampshire Motor Speedway, both short, flat tracks as well, earlier this season.

As a result, I’m looking heavily at results from those two races to determine my Federated Auto Parts 400 bets, and after doing so landed on one extremely undervalued driver to score a top-10 finish.

NASCAR at Richmond odds, betting pick

Matt DiBenedetto has been a very strong performer on this tire combination this season, yet is way down the odds board at 80-1 to win the race outright.

I’m not ready to make that wager just yet, but am very comfortable betting him to finish in the top 10.

Matty D. posted the ninth-best driver rating at Phoenix in March and was even better at New Hampshire, evidenced by his seventh-best driver rating and a sixth-place finish.

DiBenedetto’s speed on tracks similar to Richmond, as well as on this tire combination, make him a solid bet at +220 odds to finish in the top 10 on Saturday night.

The Bet: Matt DiBenedetto (+220) for a top-10 finish

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