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NASCAR odds, picks and predictions for Kansas: Best bets for Sunday’s AdventHealth 400

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On Sunday afternoon, the NASCAR Cup Series will race at Kansas Speedway for the 2022 AdventHealth 400 (3 p.m. ET, FS1).

Kansas is a 1.5-mile circuit that is quite similar to Las Vegas Motor Speedway, so the combination of performance from the race earlier this year in Sin City, plus Saturday’s practice and qualifying results should help us find value ahead of today’s event.

So let’s not waste any time and dive right into my two favorite NASCAR bets for Sunday’s AdventHealth 400 at Kansas.

NASCAR Picks for Kansas

*Odds as of Sunday morning

Christopher Bell (+900) to Win

Sometimes you just have to take the fastest car, especially when that car isn’t priced as the favorite.

Bell has been the fastest driver in town since unloading in Kansas, posting the fastest five-lap and 10-lap averages in practice before backing up that speed and rocketing to the pole in qualifying.

Interestingly enough, there is some variance across the market regarding Bell’s odds, so it’s more important than ever to shop for the best line.

For example, Bell is +750 to win at FanDuel, +850 at PointsBet and +900 at Caesars.

Don’t settle for +750 when there’s 9-1 available for a driver in top-tier equipment who has been blazing fast so far this weekend at Kansas.

Ross Chastain (+1100) to Win

Chastain has been very much a surprise so far this season.

Nobody questioned his talent or doubted that he could perform if given good enough equipment, but there also aren’t many out there who expected Chastain to already have secured two wins while also ranking fourth in laps led and third in fast laps run at this point in the season.

In March at Las Vegas, the most similar track to Kansas and one that used the same tire combination that teams will use today, Chastain started back in 18th. However, he quickly took control of the race by leading the most laps, running the second-most fast laps and posting the best driver rating en route to a third-place finish.

While never making a long run in practice on Saturday, Chastain finished with the fourth-best lap and backed that up with an 11th-place run in qualifying.

Now, referring to an 11th-place starting spot as a positive may seem odd to some, but for Ross, it’s good.

Chastain’s average starting position this season of 17.7 ranks just 19th among full-time NASCAR Cup Series drivers, but like I mentioned above, he’s had no problem getting to the front of the field once the green flag drops.

So rolling off 11th today is actually a better-than-average result for Chastain for this afternoon’s race at Kansas.

At 11-1 odds (PointsBet), I’m pairing Chastain with Bell at the top of my NASCAR at Kansas betting card.