The Action Network: Best bet for Las Vegas playoff race


Erik Jones No. 43 Focus Factor Chevrolet driving through a turn at Las Vegas
Jonathan Bachman
Getty Images

The Action Network specializes in providing sports betting insights/analytics and is a content partner with NASCAR. Check out more NASCAR betting analysis here.

When you write as many articles as I do (#HumbleBrag), introductions can be all over the place.

In my case, they’re often very game specific, but sometimes I simply write about what’s going on in my life.

This weekend my wife and I are in Las Vegas for a late anniversary trip, and I know what many of you are thinking: “yawn.”

So, if you haven’t already, just skip to the bottom.

However! We will be in Vegas for NASCAR race weekend, which, as I’m sure you know, means we will be betting on Sunday’s South Point 400 (2:30 p.m. ET, NBC).

After perusing the latest practice data and qualifying results, here is my favorite bet for Sunday’s NASCAR race at Las Vegas.

RELATED: Updated race-day odds

NASCAR Picks for Las Vegas

This bet has value for two very different reasons.

First off, Erik Jones was very fast in practice, posting the third-fastest five-lap average. He did struggle to a 22nd-place starting spot in qualifying, but he should have no trouble maneuvering to the front with a fast race car.

And perhaps more importantly is the value we can find on Jones scoring a top-10 finish today at Las Vegas by simply shopping for the best odds.

For example, Jones is -125 at BetMGM and +130 at DraftKings for a top 10.

However, FanDuel is offering a significantly better price, +210, for Jones to finish among the top 10 cars in Sunday’s South Point 400.

Is there reason to think that Jones will not be as fast this afternoon? Absolutely.

But getting such a big number on this compared to the rest of the market makes it a must-bet for me.

The bet: Jones +210 for a Top-10 Finish