Back to News

May 24, 2023

Advance to Victory Lane: Is Kyle Larson ready to go on a run?

Kyle Larson looks on at practice at the 2022 Coca-Cola 600
Buda Mendes
Getty Images

Gaming enthusiasts call it a heater, and Kyle Larson appears set to go on one. After a decisive victory in last weekend’s All-Star Race, the driver of the No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet is the favorite to win Monday’s Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway (3 p.m. ET, FOX, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio), according to Racing Insight’s metric formula.

FANTASY LIVE: Set your roster | See weekend schedule

Where have we seen this before? Larson won the 2021 All-Star Race, then took the Coca-Cola 600 by leading 327 of the 400 laps. And that 2021 season ended with Larson hoisting the Bill France Cup at Phoenix Raceway to cap off a 10-win season.

Could we be seeing the birth of another championship run for Larson? Maybe, but some other drivers could have something to say about it before the long night at Charlotte is over.


Chase Elliott: Elliott has three top-four finishes in the last four Coca-Cola 600s and seems to be on the brink of a breakthrough win.

William Byron: Byron has led laps in three of the last four Coca-Cola 600s and is off to a career-best start with three wins this season.

Denny Hamlin: Hamlin is the defending winner of this race and has six finishes of eighth or better in the last eight Coca-Cola 600s.

Kevin Harvick: Harvick has four straight top-10 finishes in the Coca-Cola 600 and has won twice before (2011, 2013).

Martin Truex Jr.: Truex has two straight finishes of 12th or worse in this race, but his two career wins in 2016 and 2019 are hard to forget.

Projections as of Wednesday, May 24.


Racing Insights’ advanced statistical formula includes current track, current track type, recent performance, team data and pit-crew data to arrive at a projected winner and full race results.

FinishCar numberDriver
15Kyle Larson
224William Byron
39Chase Elliott
411Denny Hamlin
54Kevin Harvick
612Ryan Blaney
719Martin Truex Jr.
88Kyle Busch
945Tyler Reddick
1048Alex Bowman
116Brad Keselowski
121Ross Chastain
1322Joey Logano
1420Christopher Bell
1514Chase Briscoe
1647Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
1743Erik Jones
1823Bubba Wallace
193Austin Dillon
2099Daniel Suarez
2117Chris Buescher
2210Aric Almirola
2321Harrison Burton
247Corey LaJoie
2554Ty Gibbs
2634Michael McDowell
2784Jimmie Johnson
282Austin Cindric
2951Todd Gilliland
3031Justin Haley
3116A.J. Allmendinger
3241Ryan Preece
3377Ty Dillon
3442Noah Gragson
3578BJ McLeod
3638Zane Smith
3715J.J. Yeley