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September 14, 2023

Clinch scenarios for Cup Series drivers at Bristol Motor Speedway


The Round of 16 finale in the 2023 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs is here, with the field slated to run in the Bass Pro Shops Night Race at Bristol Motor Speedway on Saturday (6:30 p.m. ET, USA Network, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio, NBC Sports App).

Kyle Larson and Tyler Reddick already clinched their Round of 12 bids with thrilling victories at Darlington Raceway and Kansas Speedway, respectively.

Denny Hamlin sits atop the field among playoff drivers to not yet win a race, with the No. 11 sitting 49 points clear of the elimination line.

MORE: Current Cup playoff standings | Weekend schedule: Bristol

Already clinched

The following drivers have clinched a spot in the 12-driver field of the next round: Kyle Larson, Tyler Reddick.

Can clinch via points

If there is a repeat winner or a win by a driver who cannot advance to the next round, the following drivers could clinch by being ahead of the 11th winless driver in the standings. The same point requirements listed below would hold true if a new win comes from among Denny Hamlin, William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Ross Chastain, Chris Buescher, Christopher Bell, Joey Logano or Kevin Harvick.

— Denny Hamlin: Would clinch with 7 points
— William Byron: Would clinch with 15 points
— Brad Keselowski: Would clinch with 23 points
— Ryan Blaney: Would clinch with 31 points
— Kyle Busch: Would clinch with 32 points
— Ross Chastain: Would clinch with 38 points
— Chris Buescher: Would clinch with 43 points
— Christopher Bell: Would clinch with 43 points
— Joey Logano: Would clinch with 44 points
— Kevin Harvick: Would clinch with 49 points
— Martin Truex Jr.: Could only clinch with help
— Bubba Wallace: Could only clinch with help
— Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Could only clinch with help
— Michael McDowell: Could only clinch with help

If there is a new winner from Martin Truex Jr. or another winless driver lower in the standings but still eligible to advance to the next round, the following drivers could clinch by being ahead of the 10th winless driver in the standings.

— Denny Hamlin: Would clinch with 12 points
— William Byron: Would clinch with 21 points
— Brad Keselowski: Would clinch with 29 points
— Ryan Blaney: Would clinch with 37 points
— Kyle Busch: Would clinch with 38 points
— Ross Chastain: Would clinch with 44 points
— Chris Buescher: Would clinch with 49 points
— Christopher Bell: Would clinch with 49 points
— Joey Logano: Would clinch with 50 points
— Kevin Harvick: Would clinch with 55 points
— Martin Truex Jr.: Could only clinch with help
— Bubba Wallace: Could only clinch with help
— Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Could only clinch with help
— Michael McDowell: Could only clinch with help

Can clinch via win

The following drivers would clinch on their win alone:

— Denny Hamlin, William Byron, Brad Keselowski, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Busch, Ross Chastain, Chris Buescher, Christopher Bell, Joey Logano, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr., Bubba Wallace, Ricky Stenhouse Jr., Michael McDowell

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