Sports fans and bettors have been focused on the NCAA Tournament since Thursday, but let’s not forget that the NASCAR Cup Series is visiting one of its best tracks, Homestead-Miami Speedway, for Sunday’s Straight Talk Wireless 400 (3 p.m. ET, FS1, MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
Action Network’s NASCAR GOAT, Nick Giffen, is tied up with college basketball this weekend, meaning you’re stuck with me right now.
But fret not, Giffen’s NASCAR picks for Homestead-Miami will all be posted to the FREE Action Network app, so be sure to download and follow if you’re not already.
Now, back to business.
NASCAR Odds, Best Bet Picks for Homestead-Miami
*Odds as of Sunday morning
Ryan Blaney (+650) to Win — ESPN Bet
Trying to beat Kyle Larson at Homestead-Miami isn’t exactly a fun strategy, but it’s the strategy I’m employing today, starting with Blaney.
While Larson is the rightful favorite for this race, Blaney has actually been the top performer over the past two races at Homestead.
The No. 12 car has the top driver rating, the most laps led, the top average running position and the third-most fast laps over the past two races in Miami.
Blaney qualified sixth for today’s race and had plenty of long-run speed in practice, making him a legit contender at +650 odds.
Tyler Reddick (+700) to Win — DraftKings
When it comes to “running the wall,” which means drivers running as close to the outside wall as possible to make the most speed as tires wear out, Reddick is right up there with Larson as the best in the Cup Series.
Reddick has parlayed his speed at Homestead to a win last year and the second-best driver rating in Miami since 2023.
And just like Blaney, Reddick was lightning quick in race trim during practice and should be in the mix when the checkered flag waves on Sunday afternoon.