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March 21, 2026

Racing Insights: Who will tame the ‘Lady in Black’ at Darlington?


The track “Too Tough to Tame” will put its moniker to the test in Sunday’s Goodyear 400 at Darlington Raceway (3 p.m. ET, FS1, HBO Max, MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Added horsepower and reduced grip will combine for a thrilling show in South Carolina on Sunday, with NASCAR’s best asked to prove themselves all over again in a 293-lap showdown. Indeed, Racing Insights projects that familiar faces will be atop the leaderboard when the checkered flag waves, with prediction models eyeing polesitter Tyler Reddick to score his first Darlington victory.

Will the man who scored a historic three-peat to open the season add his fourth 2026 trophy to the tally after six races? Here’s a look at others to keep an eye on and the full projected results for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup Series race.

RELATED: Full starting lineup | Darlington preview

DRIVERS TO WATCH

BUBBA WALLACE: Wallace has had the hot hand to start the season. While he’s still seeking his first win of the campaign, the 23XI Racing driver sits second in points behind teammate Reddick and hasn’t finished worse than 11th through five races this year. Wallace, a new father of two, has finished inside the top 10 in five of the last seven Darlington races, with one pole and six top-10 starting positions in that span. He starts second Sunday and is projected by Racing Insights to place eighth.

KYLE BUSCH: The No. 8 Richard Childress Racing driver will start eighth Sunday in search of snapping a 98-race winless streak. Busch has won just once at Darlington back in 2008, but the “Lady in Black” has treated him fairly well in recent years, scoring a runner-up and three straight top 10s in his last three Darlington appearances. Racing Insights projects another 10th-place finish for Busch Sunday.

BRAD KESELOWKSI: Keselowski scored his most recent Cup win in this race two years ago and seems poised to contend again despite an 11th-place projection from Racing Insights. The 2012 NASCAR Cup Series champion qualified fifth for Darlington, earning his first starting position inside the top 10 on a non-drafting track since Richmond Raceway in August 2025.

FULL PROJECTED RESULTS FOR 2026 GOODYEAR 400 (3 P.M. ET, FS1)

FINISHCAR NUMBERDRIVER
145Tyler Reddick
211Denny Hamlin
35Kyle Larson
424William Byron
520Christopher Bell
69Chase Elliott
717Chris Buescher
823Bubba Wallace
912Ryan Blaney
108Kyle Busch
116Brad Keselowski
1222Joey Logano
1319Chase Briscoe
1454Ty Gibbs
151Ross Chastain
1660Ryan Preece
1716AJ Allmendinger
1843Erik Jones
193Austin Dillon
202Austin Cindric
2138Zane Smith
227Daniel Suárez
2371Michael McDowell
2477Carson Hocevar
2534Todd Gilliland
2642John Hunter Nemechek
274Noah Gragson
2847Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
2921Josh Berry
3041Cole Custer
3197Shane van Gisbergen
3235Riley Herbst
3310Ty Dillon
3448Justin Allgaier
3551Cody Ware
3688Connor Zilisch
3766Timmy Hill

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