Racing Insights: Who will grab bull by the horns, lasso a victory at Texas?

Texas Motor Speedway has had its fair share of ever-changing variables over the years, and with nine winners in the last nine races there, more unpredictability could be in store for the NASCAR Cup Series when drivers tackle the 1.5-mile track on Sunday (3:30 p.m. ET, FS1, HBO Max, PRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Hendrick Motorsports drivers have won three of the last five Texas races — Kyle Larson in 2021, William Byron in 2023 and Chase Elliott in 2024 — but Team Penske enters Sunday as the team with the defending winner, with Joey Logano taking the 2025 honors.

RELATED: Starting lineup | Saturday recap

Will a powerhouse organization find Victory Lane at the facility once again, or will a wild card emerge to tame the Lone Star State? View the full projected results, courtesy of Racing Insights, for the 267-lap contest.

DRIVERS TO WATCH

JOEY LOGANO: The defending Texas winner gets a nod here for obvious reasons. But it’s worth noting that the No. 22 Team Penske Ford driver has had an up-and-down stretch as of late. Logano’s last five races have included two top 10s and three finishes of 30th or worse. That said, Texas has been kind to the three-time Cup Series champion at times, with Logano tallying two wins, 13 top fives and 16 top 10s in 30 Texas starts.

CARSON HOCEVAR: Coming off his first career Cup Series triumph at Talladega Superspeedway, the 23-year-old now heads to a track where he started on the pole last season — and he did it again Saturday. While the No. 77 Spire Motorsports driver has a best finish of 24th here, momentum is at an all-time high, even banking a win in Friday night’s Truck Series race. Hocevar collected a top-15 finish at Kansas last month, another 1.5-mile facility that could signal better things to come at these venues for the blossoming star.

TY GIBBS: Though a 34th-place result at Talladega snapped a seven-race top-10 streak, Gibbs’ 2026 has been a breakout, with the No. 54 Joe Gibbs Racing driver earning his first career Cup win at Bristol Motor Speedway in April. In four Texas Cup starts, Gibbs’ best finish is 13th (2024). That said, two of his six top 10s on 1.5-mile tracks have come this season. Similar to Hocevar, momentum could be the young star’s biggest ally.

MORE: At-track photos

FULL PROJECTED RESULTS FOR WÜRTH 400 PRESENTED BY LIQUI MOLY (3:30 p.m. ET, FS1)