A long, long time ago — February, to be exact, before the “Big Three” became a thing and everybody joked about how Chase Elliott was never going to win a race — we challenged NASCAR Twitterfolk to make a bold prediction: Who’s going to make the 2018 Championship 4?

Really, we did this because we wanted to keep people honest. We didn’t want anyone in Miami gloating, “I called the Championship 4 before the season even started.” Accountability, folks.

Following a thriller Sunday at ISM Raceway, the field is set for the winner-take-all season finale in Miami. The four drivers competing for the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup next week are Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, and Martin Truex Jr.

This brings us back to our pre-season Twitter question, of course: How’d everybody on Twitter do? Who can we laud in this public forum for their picking skills? Who called the Championship 4 back before Austin Dillon took the season-opening checkered flag in the Daytona 500 — a day that feels like forever ago?

 

Nobody’s Very Good at This

Well, in a startling turn of events, it turns out nobody predicted the Championship 4. Not one person had the foresight to name Busch, Harvick, Logano, and Truex Jr. Round of applause, everybody.

A few came close, however, picking the “Big Three” (but missing the fourth pick). Our “close enough” award winners:

It sort of makes sense why nobody picked all four championship contenders. Joey Logano completely missed the playoffs in 2017. Very few expected him to rebound not only into the playoffs, but all the way to the Championship 4.

In fact, only one person who correctly picked three of four contenders named Joey Logano as one of them. Way to go, @CameronBak923.

Don’t Quit Your Day Job

Now comes the most anticipated part of this whole competition: whose picks missed the Championship 4 entirely. Sorry for the public shame, but you knew what you signed up for.

[Author’s note: I’m not sorry. This is the fun part for me.]

These six individuals should never be trusted with your fantasy racing advice:

 

Please try again in 2019. We eagerly await your Championship 4 picks of Richard Petty, Norm Benning, Ricky Bobby, and Dick Dastardly from Wacky Races.

 

Cheaters Never Prosper

Demonstrating the unpredictability of the playoffs, some people tried to participate later in the season, but still totally whiffed.

It’s remarkable to miss this badly with an eight-month advantage.

 

Loophole!

Some Twitter users participated just after the race Sunday when the Championship 4 was actually set. Smart play!

You’re as clever as a crew chief, but unfortunately, we can’t accept these late picks. Try again next year.

 

Some Takeaways

In the context of early February, pretty much everybody expected Kyle Larson to contend for the title.

A lot of people expected Jimmie Johnson to make an appearance in the Championship 4.

People expected more from Ryan Blaney.

Chase Elliott has a lot of fans, and fans who had high expectations for 2018.

Almost nobody expected a Joey Logano resurgence.

And, while the playoffs proved unpredictable, one conjecture for who will take it all will likely come true Sunday at Homestead-Miami Speedway:

Thank you to all who participated. We’ll do it again next year.

Denny Hamlin had to have known they were coming.

After unintentionally (that’s the key word here) getting into Kurt Busch at ISM Raceway on Sunday — the result of which entangled Chase Elliott, putting him laps down — the Joe Gibbs Racing vet must’ve felt that spark from No. 9 fans reignite immediately.

For the second straight season, the Elliott faithful turned their ire to the No. 11 Toyota, and while No. 9 fans might’ve had a legitimate gripe after last year’s run-in between the two at Martinsville Speedway, Sunday’s incident was just an unfortunate circumstance.

Still, it didn’t take long for Elliott’s passionate fan base to let the flood gates open on Hamlin, which he addressed Tuesday on Twitter.

While it’s  great to see fans having their driver’s back, there’s one small detail here being overlooked: Hamlin and Elliott have buried the hatchet. Quite some time ago, actually.

Thankfully for Hamlin, Elliott chimed in and joked that the No. 11 getting hooked in the right rear was “executed perfectly.”

Hamlin seems to be on board with the hashtag, but just needs to run it by Elliott’s HMS teammate, first.

These two drivers may not be sharing a beer any time soon, but they’ve clearly put Martinsville 2017 behind them … so stay out of Denny’s mentions!

It’s NASCAR week on Donut Media, a week in which the car culture brand will celebrate and explore NASCAR’s roots and personalities as only Donut Media can. Throughout the week as part of the partnership, Donut Media and NASCAR will provide exclusive racing content.

See all the content below — added each day — and subscribe on YouTube to see everything on Donut Media.

Monday: How outlaw moonshiners influenced NASCAR
NASCAR’s moonshining origins are well-documented, but this offers a fresh take with plenty of historical context.

Tuesday: We raced each other in a NASCAR stock car
The gang joins NASCAR Next driver Will Rodgers at Las Vegas Motor Speedway for an unforgettable day in a NASCAR Racing Experience stock car.

Wednesday: The science of stock
An in-depth look at the science of racing a stock car, broken down like only the Donut guys can do with expertise from Parker Kligerman and a NASCAR official.

Thursday: Everything you need to know about ‘The King’
Inside the NASCAR career of seven-time champion Richard Petty. All of his key stats to early shots of him in the garage to why he chose the No. 43 are featured in this segment.

 

Editor’s note: This is the second in a series of four stories examining why each driver could win the 2018 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series championship. Coming Wednesday: Kyle Busch

RECAP: Kevin Harvick | Kyle Busch

• • •

Martin Truex Jr. will win the 2018 championship because … 

He’s the only one with Cole Pearn calling the shots atop the pit box and in the shop.

Through the season’s first 19 races, Truex Jr. and Pearn combined to win four races, compiling five poles and an average finish of 9.42 along the way. In the 16 events since, the No. 78 Toyota has neither started nor finished first, uncharacteristically averaging a finish of 12.81 … but why?

One could point to the distraction that came along with the impending closure of Furniture Row Racing for the downturn in results the second half of the season. I wouldn’t go so far as to say that didn’t play a factor, but I would go so far as to suggest this out-there theory: Pearn has been tinkering and analyzing and dialing everything in specifically for this one upcoming Championship 4 race at Homestead-Miami Speedway. The final race in Furniture Row’s history, and owner Barney Visser’s last shot at a title.

MORE: Clutch wins in playoff history

Seven out of Truex’s eight wins in 2017 en route to his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series title came on 1.5-mile tracks like Miami; he was the clear-cut favorite on them. With just one win on an intermediate track this season, it’s enough to raise an eyebrow — something was different. That kind of drop-off doesn’t just happen out of thin air, you know?

My thinking is that Pearn, the mastermind that he’s known to be, recognized early on that their intermediate program was off a tick from their pace last year and he needed to swing for the fences to compete with the Nos. 4 and 18, straight-up, in Miami. Especially after seeing the speed Kyle Busch and Kevin Harvick showed on intermediates the first half of the year — they literally won every race run on them until Truex stopped that streak in July at Kentucky — some outside-the-box thinking was necessary.

By virtue of how far ahead the “Big 3” looked compared to the rest of the field in the early going, there was a better-chance-than-not that all three would be able to playoff-point their way into the Championship 4 — which basically wound up being true. Teams tend to focus on the immediate task at hand in this sport, as they should, and aiming focus in the shop months down the road is certainly be a gamble, particularly in this elimination-style playoff format.

But that Cole Pearn, he’s a gambler. A damn good one.

RELATED: Breaking down the Championship 4

And don’t get me wrong — I’m not suggesting in the least that they were throwing races away. Truex is so steady as a driver and their equipment is so good that it’s simply feasible that they took a calculated risk and pointed their focus on the longterm goal of winning a title rather than the week-to-week trophies that come along with race wins. And hey, Truex even nearly won a few of them (see: Watkins Glen, Richmond, Charlotte, Martinsville).

Sure, my theory is out there. Sure, it’s probably not true and just my far-fetched conjecture. But guess what?

Even if it isn’t the case — the two are still the best driver/crew chief pairing in the sport, come into the race as the defending title and race winner and have seen just about every situation imaginable go sideways. Yet they still find ways to come out on top.

Truex Jr. and Pearn could be hoisting another trophy come Sunday night despite how strong Busch and Harvick have been the whole season — and it might’ve been the plan all along.

MORE: Why Harvick will win the title

This week, Donut Media and NASCAR are partnering for exclusive racing content. Today: We raced each other in a NASCAR stock car.

Previously: NASCAR’s origins

It’s NASCAR week on Donut Media, a week in which the car culture brand will celebrate and explore NASCAR’s roots and personalities as only Donut Media can.

Tuesday’s offering is a hands-on approach to driving a stock car. Like, as hands-on as one can get. The gang joins NASCAR Next driver Will Rodgers at Las Vegas Motor Speedway for an unforgettable day in a NASCAR Racing Experience stock car.

MORE: Book your own driving experience

Who posts the fastest time around slick 1.5-mile Las Vegas? Competing against each other on fast laps are:

Bart, who looks most like a NASCAR driver, according to his teammates;

• Nolan, classified as a “wimp” on the road;

• James, who is wearing his lucky autographed Dale Jr. hat.

Even better, all “drivers” are mic’d up so you can hear their real-time, live reaction once they hit 140 mph. Check out the full YouTube video below.

Want more from Donut Media on car culture, motorsports … even car pranks?

Subscribe on YouTube, and keep an eye out this week for more exclusive NASCAR content.

Kevin Harvick will have a new rear tire changer on his pit crew for Sunday’s Championship 4 race at Homestead-Miami Speedway (3 p.m. ET, NBC/NBC Sports App, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Chris McMullen, who has been the rear tire changer for Aric Almirola this season, will move from the No. 10 team to Harvick’s No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing crew this weekend. SHR made the move after Almirola was eliminated from the NASCAR Playoffs field last weekend in Phoenix.

RELATED: Breaking down Championship 4 | Why Harvick will win

Michael Johnson will move from Harvick’s crew to Almirola’s No. 10 pit crew. Johnson has been Harvick’s rear tire changer since replacing Daniel Smith, who has been out because of health issues since the Bojangles’ Southern 500 in September.

Crew chief Rodney Childers said Tuesday afternoon on SiriusXM NASCAR Radio that Smith took a leave of absence after being diagnosed with cancer.

“We had plugged (Johnson) in from Bristol until now. He has done an excellent job for us and has been a great team player, but he was a guy who had never changed on a Cup car before in his life,” Childers said during his afternoon appearance. “He stepped up to the plate … and he’s made it through these playoffs and got us to this position.

“But the reality of it is, we’re not quite fast enough (on pit road) to win a championship. As a company, we feel like the 4 has the best front tire changer right now and the 10 has the best rear tire changer right now, and we’re going to try to put the two of them together and see what happens.”

The change comes as Harvick will be without crew chief Rodney Childers for a second straight week. Childers was suspended for two races following an infraction after Harvick’s win in Texas. Tony Gibson has replaced Childers as Harvick’s crew chief during the suspension.

Wood Brothers Racing announced Monday evening that the legendary “Silver Fox” David Pearson had died at the age of 83. Drivers, track personnel, broadcasters and others in the NASCAR industry paid homage to Pearson on social media.

RELATED: Pearson’s life and legacy

 

David Pearson, a three-time champion in NASCAR’s premier series widely regarded as one of the sport’s finest drivers, died Monday. He was 83.

Pearson was welcomed into the NASCAR Hall of Fame in 2011 as the top vote-getter in the shrine’s second induction class. His cause of death is unknown at this time. His family had reported that Pearson suffered a stroke in December 2014.

Nicknamed “The Silver Fox” in a nod to both his late-race guile and prematurely gray hair, Pearson won 105 races in NASCAR’s top division, placing him second only to Richard Petty’s 200 victories on the all-time list. Perhaps more remarkably, Pearson never competed in a full season and his win total came in 574 starts — less than half of Petty’s 1,184.

In a Sports Illustrated poll in 1999, a panel of 40 longtime experts in the sport voted Pearson as the magazine’s NASCAR Driver of the Century. The 1976 Daytona 500 winner was named one of the sport’s 50 Greatest Drivers during NASCAR’s 50th anniversary season in 1998.

“David Pearson’s 105 NASCAR premier series victories and his classic rivalry in the 1960s and ’70s with Richard Petty helped set the stage for NASCAR’s transformation into a mainstream sport with national appeal,” NASCAR Chairman and CEO Jim France said in a statement. “When he retired, he had three championships — and millions of fans. Richard Petty called him the greatest driver he ever raced against. We were lucky to be able to call him one of our champions. The man they called the ‘Silver Fox’ was the gold standard for NASCAR excellence.

“On behalf of the France Family and everyone at NASCAR, I want to offer sincere condolences to the family and friends of David Pearson, a true giant of our sport.”

RELATED: David Pearson through the years

Born David Gene Pearson on Dec. 22, 1934, near his longtime hometown of Spartanburg, South Carolina, his first racing experience came in the Palmetto State’s thriving dirt-track circles. Pearson said he bought his first car at age 17. His progress on his home state’s bullrings soon caught the eyes of several car owners, moving him up the ranks to big-league stock-car racing.

Pearson’s career in NASCAR’s premier series began in 1960. Though he ran just half of the 44 races, he netted the first of his 113 career pole positions and was named Rookie of the Year.

David Pearson smiles from inside the race car during the 1970s with his helmet on and bubble eye shields on top of his helmet.
Photo by ISC Images

Pearson’s career arc accelerated in 1961, when he teamed with master crew chief Ray Fox for three victories — two at Charlotte, one at Daytona — in his second season. His first victory came in spectacular fashion in just the second-ever World 600 — now the Coca-Cola 600 at Charlotte Motor Speedway. Bearing down on the white flag, his John Masoni-owned No. 3 Pontiac blew a right-rear tire. Pearson limped home with sparks flying from the wheel rim for the final lap and a half to take the checkered flag and the lucrative $29,450 purse.

From there, Pearson drove for a succession of powerhouse teams with Hall of Fame credentials — Cotton Owens, Holman-Moody and the Wood Brothers. He also raced for Hall of Famer Bud Moore in Mustangs prepared for the Trans Am Series in its glory years.

“I’m just a plain ol’ country boy, what you want to call it,” Pearson said as he was introduced for his NASCAR Hall induction. “That’s the way I was raised and brought up to be. Racing has been good to me and I owe everything I got to racing.”

Pearson won 15 of 42 premier series races in 1966 to score his first championship with Owens, a NASCAR Hall inductee in 2013. Another prolific stretch the next five seasons with Holman-Moody brought back-to-back series titles in 1968-69, cementing his legacy as a savvy race strategist as the sport moved toward longer races on bigger speedways.

Lee Holman, the son of team co-founder John Holman, told NASCAR.com in 2014: “With Pearson, they used to say with about four laps to go, he’d throw his cigarette out the window and you’d better hold on, because the race was about to happen.”

Hall of Famer Leonard Wood, his crew chief from 1972-79 in his family team’s famed No. 21, told USA Today in 2015: “He could sense what was going to happen and be ready for it. A lot of drivers drive no further than the end of the hood and don’t see the danger ahead of them. He could figure out a lap ahead where drivers were going to be and what kind of trouble they were about to get in.”

Pearson, admittedly bashful with the media, was typically plain-spoken and simply focused on driving cars. But he also hid his cool and calm demeanor behind sunglasses, often conducting his short Victory Lane interviews in the car with a still-dangling cigarette — a habit he later kicked, but one that was in full swing during his racing days thanks to the dashboard lighter he kept handy.

Pulitzer Prize-winning sportswriter Jim Murray captured Pearson as the picture of stock-car racing in the 1970s, writing in a column before the 1974 season finale: “David Gene Pearson is a good old country boy who’s been looking down that lonesome road in a stock Mercury ever since he escaped the cotton mills 20 years ago. He doesn’t eat cheese with holes in it or toast with fish eggs on it or birds under glass and he don’t drive none of those la-de-da cars that come with a monocle attached. There ain’t no marquises or counts in the races David drives in.”

David Pearson speaks at the podium during the induction ceremony for the NASCAR Hall of Fame Class of 2011.
Jared C. Tilton | Getty Images

Pearson will forever be linked with Petty, a seven-time champion and one of his biggest rivals. Throughout the 1970s, their car numbers — 21 for Pearson and 43 for Petty — were often atop the scoring pylon. The two drivers finished 1-2 in the premier series 63 times, with Pearson winning 33.

Petty told ESPN’s Ed Hinton in 2009: “Pearson could beat you on a short track, he could beat you on a superspeedway, he could beat you on a road course, he could beat you on a dirt track. It didn’t hurt as bad to lose to Pearson as it did to some of the others, because I knew how good he was.”

They were never more closely intertwined than the 1976 Daytona 500, one of NASCAR’s most memorable finishes. After some feverish dicing in the final lap, Pearson and Petty crashed exiting the final turn within sight of the checkered flag. Both cars absorbed heavy damage against the outside retaining wall, but Pearson was able to keep his Mercury running as both slid to the tri-oval grass.

“Seems like everywhere we go, when it comes down to the last lap, it’s me and Richard,” Pearson told the Associated Press after he crept across the start-finish line at low speed for his only victory in The Great American Race. “Of all those times, I’ll guarantee you this was the strangest.”

Pearson’s victory tally with the Wood Brothers totaled 43. Their successful association ended abruptly in April 1979 at Darlington Raceway, his hometown track where he won 10 times — a record that still stands.

“I have always been asked who my toughest competitor in my career was,” Petty said in a statement hours after Pearson’s death was announced. “The answer has always been David Pearson. David and I raced together throughout our careers and battled each other for wins — most of the time finishing first or second to each other. It wasn’t a rivalry, but more mutual respect. David is a Hall of Fame driver who made me better. He pushed me just as much as I pushed him on the track. We both became better for it.

“We have always been close to the Pearson family because they were in the racing business, just like us. We stayed close, and I enjoyed visits to see David when going through South Carolina. We will miss those trips. Our thoughts and prayers are with the entire Pearson family and friends.”

Pearson prepared to leave pit road after the Wood Brothers changed right-side tires, not knowing that the well-choreographed pit crew had already loosened the left-side lug nuts in preparation for a four-tire stop. Leonard Wood said “Whoa! Whoa!” over the radio. Pearson heard, “Go! Go!” The No. 21 lurched and made it to the end of pit road before scraping to a halt on two tires. The two sides parted ways the following week.

After leaving the Wood Brothers, Pearson won two more races — both at Darlington, one for car owner Rod Osterlund in 1979 and one for Hoss Ellington the following season. He continued in the series, running less than half the schedule until making his final start — a 10th-place effort at Michigan — in 1986.

After a three-year hiatus, Pearson attempted a comeback with the Wood Brothers as a substitute driver for the injured Neil Bonnett. After a day of testing, the 54-year-old Pearson said he woke up the following morning with soreness and decided that he would end his racing career on Sept. 27, 1989.

“I left the track Tuesday with every intention of running the race,” Pearson said in a conference call with reporters. “The car ran and drove great, and I really wanted to run. But my back and neck hurt so much when I woke up this morning that I knew I couldn’t run a 500-mile race and do justice to myself and the Wood Brothers. Knowing I couldn’t run the car as good as it was, I realized that I can’t run any time. So I guess this is my official retirement from driving.”

Fittingly, Petty presented Pearson for induction in the NASCAR Hall, just a few days after they shared some playful banter about who shouldered the blame for their collision in the final lap of the 1976 Daytona 500. After sharing his own genuine appreciation, Pearson joked right back in his acceptance speech.

“He’s probably the one that made me win as many as I did,” Pearson said. “I ran hard because he’d make me run hard. Sometimes he’d make a mistake and I’d pass him. Of course, I didn’t ever make no mistakes. I always accused him of having big engines when he passed me.

“But he’s a good sport, and I’m telling you, I’ve had more fun running with him than anyone I’ve ever run with because I know if I ever went to a race track and he was there, if I could beat him, I’d win the race.”

There certainly was no shortage of drama, suspense and emotion in Sunday’s Can-Am 500 at ISM Raceway — as you would expect of the race to determine which three drivers would join Martinsville winner Joey Logano in the Championship 4 at Homestead-Miami Speedway.

In the end — as they had in the beginning and middle — the season-long high achievers of the “Big 3” in Kyle Busch, Kevin Harvick and Martin Truex Jr. showed why they are just that. But even they had to overcome sizable setbacks and strategy twists in a thrilling final push to settle who will run for the championship in Sunday’s Ford EcoBoost 400 (3 p.m. ET on NBC/NBC Sports App, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).

Regular Season Champion Kyle Busch overcame being down a lap Sunday — getting caught on pit road during a caution flag — to regain the lead for good with 36 laps remaining to put an exclamation point on his 2018 championship intentions.

RELATED: Breaking down the field

Fellow eight-time race winner Kevin Harvick of Stewart-Haas Racing joins Busch in the Championship 4. He rallied to a fifth-place finish Sunday after an early race flat tire put him laps down to the leader. And that was after a significant midweek penalty to the No. 4 team nullified his Texas win from being an automatic Championship 4 berth.

Joining Logano, Busch and Harvick is reigning Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series champion Martin Truex Jr., a four-time winner in 2018 who shows up in Homestead with plenty of extra title motivation himself. His No. 78 Furniture Row Racing Toyota team is transitioning out of the sport at the end of the season.

“Well, it’s exciting for us, I think, to be in this position again,” said Truex, who finished 14th Sunday. “This is our third trip to Homestead in four years, which I think is something we’re all really proud of as a group, and obviously going to be our last race together as a complete group, it’s definitely going to be a special weekend.”

For the first time in NASCAR Playoff history, the four drivers eligible to win the championship have more than 50 percent of the series’ regular-season wins entering Miami.

Points advantages, season trophies and regular-season honors are muted now, however — a championship trophy will go to the highest finisher of this single race.

RELATED: Late-race wreck shakes up playoff

Many are calling it the most competitive foursome in the championship race era. Three of the four have won Cup championships at Homestead in the last four years — and those three (Busch, Harvick and Truex) have accounted for 20 wins in the 35 races to date this season.

Team Penske’s Logano shows up in South Florida, though, with the best average finish (9.4) in the nine playoff races. The 27-year-old won his way into the title hunt at Martinsville and is the only driver without a title.

All four of these drivers have multiple wins on the season. They have each earned at least 20 top-10s and together have accounted for more than 5,200 laps led.

The highly competitive, high achieving nature of this year’s championship foursome certainly isn’t lost on those drivers.

“I don’t know how you could pick a favorite necessarily,” Busch conceded Sunday after his victory.

“Harvick has won (at Homestead-Miami), we’ve won there, the 78 (Truex) has won there. You know, Harvick has beat us all. I beat Harvick the year I won. Truex beat both of us last year. I think it’s just a matter of being able to go out there and race your race and do what you can with what you’ve got and have an opportunity to be able to be leading the race essentially on that last lap. That’s what approximate it boils down to.

“Anything can happen in between, and we’ve seen it the last few years kind of how crazy things can get. … I would predict this is the best four, the closest four that have been in our sport in a long time.”

This week, Donut Media and NASCAR are partnering for exclusive racing content. Today: How outlaw moonshiners started NASCAR.

It’s NASCAR week on Donut Media, a week in which the car culture brand will celebrate and explore NASCAR’s roots and personalities as only Donut Media can.

Monday’s offering is an in-depth look at how outlaw moonshiners were influential in NASCAR’s early days. NASCAR’s moonshining origins are well-documented, but the video below offers a fresh take with plenty of historical context.

Want more from Donut Media on car culture, motorsports … even car pranks?

Subscribe on YouTube, and keep an eye out this week for more exclusive NASCAR content.