RELATED: Full schedule for Watkins Glen
Rankings below are based on a mixture of expected output and DraftKings’ NASCAR salaries for that day. The ordering is not based on highest projected fantasy totals, but rather by value of each driver.
(fppk = average fantasy points per $1,000 of salary. The typical median fppk for a 2016 race was in the 3s. Plate tracks tend to be lower and short tracks tend to run higher due to the amount of laps.)
1. Kyle Busch ($10,300) – The win column doesn’t show it, but no one is hotter than Kyle Busch. He’s a streaky driver that lives in the lead. He’s also a great road course racer. At Watkins Glen, Busch has a top-10 finish in 10 of his 12 career races. (5.3 fppk)
2. Martin Truex, Jr. ($10,500) – The No. 78 car is fast everywhere, but is it fast on the road courses? Truex led over 25 percent of the Sonoma laps, and he didn’t even run the whole race because his car blew up. (6.2 fppk)
3. Brad Keselowski ($9,800) – This will be a strategy race, not a speed race. The No. 2 Penske car does not have elite speed, but Brad Keselowski and Crew Chief Paul Wolfe are great strategists. They played the game and scored the most points at Sonoma. (4.2 fppk)
4. Joey Logano ($8,600) – Among the drivers that are desperate for a win, Logano has the best shot. He won Watkins Glen in 2015 and finished second in 2016. He was a contender for the win at this year’s Sonoma race, but his day was ruined by a pit road speeding penalty. (3.3 fppk)
5. Denny Hamlin ($9,200) – Last year, Hamlin won at Watkins Glen and should have won at Sonoma. This year, Hamlin finished fourth at Sonoma, but he had the best average running position. (3.9 fppk)
6. Kyle Larson ($9,000) – It’s a broken record. Each week it’s a different track, but the same story. Larson improves at each track, every year, or he’s good from the start. Last year’s 29th place finish at The Glen looks bad, but he was running fourth before he was wrecked on the last turn. (5.6 fppk)
7. Matt Kenseth ($7,900) – Sonoma and Watkins Glen are road course races, but they’re different. Just ask Matt Kenseth. He stinks at Sonoma but has three consecutive top-10 finishes at Watkins Glen. (3.4 fppk)
8. Kevin Harvick ($10,000) – At Sonoma, Kevin Harvick did not win because he was the fastest. He had top-10 speed and his pit sequence worked out. That’s what it will take at The Glen. Can he do it twice? He pulled it off at Sonoma when others couldn’t. (4.3 fppk)
9. AJ Allmendinger ($8,800) – This is as cheap as AJ gets at a road course. He’s had terrible luck at Sonoma, but this isn’t Sonoma. His average finish of ninth at Watkins Glen is the best in NASCAR. (3.5 fppk)
10. Clint Bowyer ($9,500) – A 19th place average running position at The Glen is nothing to write home about. A 19th place average running position for HScott Motorsports is a different story. What can Clint do with a well funded Stewart-Haas car? He finished second at Sonoma. (3.9 fppk)
11. Jamie McMurray ($8,400) – Normally, when a driver is point racing and playing it safe, they’re not a great DraftKings pick. Not this week. Finishing position points mean everything in a 90 lap race. This is a top-10 car priced like a top-20 car. (3.3 fppk)
12. Ryan Blaney ($8,200) – In his rookie season, Blaney was average at the road courses, but that can be said for many of his rookie season races. Two months ago at Sonoma, Blaney spent 70 percent of the race inside the top-15 and finished 9th. (2.6 fppk)
13. Chase Elliott ($8,100) – The price decrease puts Elliott in play. Young, inexperienced drivers are risky at road courses. A top-10 will do for high priced drivers. At his price, a top-15 is great. Elliott finished 13th at The Glen in 2016. (3.7 fppk)
14. Jimmie Johnson ($9,300) – Road course races are always strategy races, so it’s surprising that Jimmie Johnson has never won at Watkins Glen. With the stages, this becomes an extreme strategy race. This could be the year he breaks through. (3.7 fppk)
15. Kurt Busch ($9,600) – In the last eight road course races, Kurt has finished 12th or better. There aren’t many fast lap points or laps led points to be had this week. Finishing position points are at a premium. Kurt could be very popular at Watkins Glen. (2.7 fppk)
16. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. ($8,000) – Daily Fantasy NASCAR players pick six drivers. Only one can win the race. Top-10s will do, or top 11s. Junior has back-to-back 11th place finishes at Watkins Glen. (2.5 fppk)
17. Ryan Newman ($7,500) – Again, this isn’t a speed race. It’s a strategy race. That sounds like a Newman race. He won’t win, but don’t be surprised to see Newman finish around 15th. As always, Newman is a great pick in cash game contests. (4.0 fppk)
18. Danica Patrick ($5,900) – Danica has made great strides this season. She heads to Watkins Glen with a streak of four top-15 finishes. Her worst finish at The Glen is 21st. (3.3 fppk)
19. Boris Said ($5,700) – This is the end of an era. Said will make his last NASCAR race. He is the quintessential road course ringer. Even when road course ringers became irrelevant, Said still completed. In the last six Watkins Glen races, Said has five top-25 finishes. (4.2 fppk)
20. Cole Whitt ($5,000) – A winning lineup at Watkins Glen requires top-10s and place differential points. Cole Whitt provides the salary relief to roster five possible top-10 drivers, and he has place differential upside. Whitt has finished 28th or better in five of his seven road course races. (4.3 fppk)
