Joe Gibbs Racing driver Matt Kenseth, one of 12 drivers in the Round of 12 of the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, will start Sunday’s Bank of America 500 (noon ET, NBC, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) at Charlotte Motor Speedway from the rear of the field for unapproved adjustments.


The No. 20 Toyota was forced to make pre-race changes due to repairs made for a trackbar mount, according to the team. His car went through the inspection process multiple times.


Kenseth qualified 17th, but will fall back to 40th during pre-race warm-up laps.


All points in the driver standings were reset prior to this round, so all 12 drivers enter Charlotte with 3,000 points.


The Bank of America 500 will start on a green race track, necessitating a competition caution at Lap 25. The final two Sprint Cup Series practices, scheduled for Friday, were canceled due to rain. The race was slated to run Saturday night, but also was pushed back a day due to weather.

RELATED: Find NBCSN in your area | Watch live online at NBCSports.com

The NASCAR Sprint Cup and XFINITY Series will gather for a doubleheader showing at Kansas Speedway this weekend. Check out the full schedule below.


Note: All times are ET

SUNDAY, OCT. 16:

PRE-RACE RUN OF SHOW/ON-TRACK SCHEDULE

–1:35 p.m.: NSCS Driver Introductions with NASCAR Special Awards
–2:14:45 p.m.: Moment of silence for police officers

–2:15:15 p.m.: Presentation of Colors by Clinton High School JROTC from Clinton MO

–2:15:35 p.m.: Invocation by R.D. Fowler, Kansas City Raceway Ministries & Pastor of Bethel Baptist Church Lincoln, NE

–2:16:15 p.m.: National Anthem by Samantha Dawn, from Lake of the Ozarks MO

–2:17:30 p.m.: Fly-By TOT: B2 Bomber out of Whiteman AFB (Turn 4 to Turn 1)

–2:22:30 p.m.: “Drivers, Start Your Engines” by Jesse Metcalfe, Actor, Model, and Star of Hallmark Channel’s Chesapeake Shore’s

–2:31 p.m.: NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 (267 laps, 400.5 miles), NBC/NBC Sports App (Results)


PRESS PASS (Watch live)

— 6 p.m. (approx.): NASCAR Sprint Cup Series post-race


DAILY ROUNDUP

— Harvick wins at Kansas, clinches spot in Round of 8
— See a frame-by-frame of Keselowski’s wreck
— Contact from Hamlin sends Keselowski into the grass
— Tire issues hinder Elliott at Kansas
— See the best photos from Sunday at Kansas
— Ailing Bowman earns career-best finish
— Chase bubble watch: Playoff picture analysis of Talladega
— Logano, Dillon puzzled at how to stop No. 4 team
— Edwards explains costly final restart
— Harvick’s crew celebrate with ‘I believe’ chant


FRIDAY, OCT. 14:

ON TRACK

— 1-2:30 p.m.: NASCAR Sprint Cup Series first practice, NBCSN/NBC Sports App (Results)

— 2:32-3:25 p.m.: NASCAR XFINITY Series first practice, NBCSN/NBC Sports App (Results)

— 4:35-5:55 p.m.: NASCAR XFINITY Series final practice, NBCSN/NBC Sports App (Results)

— 6:15 p.m.: NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Coors Light Pole Qualifying, NBCSN/NBC Sports App  (Results)

GARAGECAM (Watch live)
— 12:30 p.m.: Sprint Cup Series
— 2 p.m.: XFINITY Series

PRESS PASS (Watch live)

— 11:45 a.m.: Daniel Suarez

— Noon: Jimmie Johnson

— 12:15 p.m.: Martin Truex Jr.

— 12:30 p.m.: Brendan Gaughan

— 2:35 p.m.: Carl Edwards

— 3 p.m.: Clint Bowyer

— 3:15 p.m.: Greg Biffle

— 7:30 p.m. (approx.): NASCAR Sprint Cup Series post-qualifying


DAILY ROUNDUP

— At-track photos: Friday at Kansas

— 2017 premier series rules package

— Foundation serves as partner in Hurricane Matthew relief efforts

— XFINITY practice results at Kansas

— Top consecutive 10-lap averages at Kansas

— Busch tops opening practice at Kansas

— Truex’s 400th start a ‘wow moment’ for contender

— Finalists for Comcast Community Champion Award named

— Truex, No. 78 team to pass on Homestead-Miami test

— XFINITY Round of 8 preview

— Kenseth on the pole at Kansas

— Starting lineup for Sunday


SATURDAY, OCT. 15:

ON TRACK

— 11-11:50 a.m.: NASCAR Sprint Cup Series second practice, NBC Sports App (Results)

— noon: NASCAR XFINITY Series Coors Light Pole Qualifying, CNBC/NBC Sports App (Results)

— 1:30-2:20 p.m.: NASCAR Sprint Cup Series final practice, NBCSN/NBC Sports App (Results)

— 3 p.m.: NASCAR XFINITY Series Kansas Lottery 300 (200 laps, 300 miles), NBC/NBC Sports App (Results)


PRESS PASS (Watch live)

— 6 p.m. (approx.): NASCAR XFINITY Series post-race


DAILY ROUNDUP

— Bowyer back at home, eagerly awaits his SHR move

— Kenseth, Menard top Saturday’s practice sessions

— Photos from the day at Kansas

— Chase win brings sense of security

— Busch goes to backup car after big wreck during practice

— Top stories heading into Sunday’s main event

— Busch dominates at Kansas to win; Chase picture gets a shakeup

— Wild Kansas race gives Chase contenders motivation for Kansas

What channel is the NASCAR race on this week? We answer that and provide all the weekly NASCAR television listings here.

 

RELATED: Find NBCSN in your area

 

All times ET

Monday, October 10
2 p.m., NASCAR The List: Iconic Cars (re-air), NBCSN
2:30 p.m., NASCAR 120, NBCSN
5:30 p.m., NASCAR America, NBCSN
6 p.m., NASCAR Race Hub, FS1
7:30 p.m., NASCAR 120, NBCSN

Tuesday, October 11
5:30 p.m., NASCAR America, NBCSN

Wednesday, October 12

5:30 p.m., NASCAR America, NBCSN
6 p.m., NASCAR Race Hub, FS1

Thursday, October 13
5:30 p.m., NASCAR America, NBCSN

Friday, October 14
1 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series practice, NBCSN
2:30 p.m., NASCAR XFINITY Series practice, NBCSN
3:30 p.m., NASCAR Whelen Southern Modified Series: Charlotte Motor Speedway (taped), NBCSN
4:30 p.m., NASCAR XFINITY Series final practice, NBCSN
6 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Coors Light Pole Qualifying, NBCSN

Saturday, October 15
11 a.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series practice, NBC Sports App/NBCSports.com
Noon, NASCAR XFINITY Series Coors Light Pole Qualifying, CNBC/NBC Sports App
12:30 p.m., NASCAR XFINITY Series Coors Light Pole Qualifying, NBCSN
1 p.m., NASCAR America, NBCSN
1:30 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series final practice, NBCSN
2:30 p.m., NASCAR XFINITY Series Countdown to Green, NBCSN
3 p.m., NASCAR XFINITY Series Kansas Lottery 300, NBC
7:30 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series practice (re-air), NBCSN
8:30 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Coors Light Pole Qualifying (re-air), NBCSN

Sunday, October 16
11:30 a.m., NASCAR RaceDay, FS1
1 p.m., NASCAR America Sunday, NBCSN
1:30 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Countdown to Green, NBC
2:15 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400, NBC
6 p.m., NASCAR Sprint Cup Series Post-Race Show, NBCSN
6:30 p.m., NASCAR Victory Lap, NBCSN
9:30 p.m., NASCAR Whelen Modified Series: Stafford Motor Speedway (taped), NBCSN
1 a.m., NASCAR Victory Lane, FS1

 



RELATED: Race results | Updated series standings | Chase Grid

CONCORD, N.C. — If stealing a race were against the law, there would be an arrest warrant out for Joey Logano on Sunday night.

Grabbing the lead from Kyle Larson after a restart on Lap 183 of 200, Logano held off a charging Elliott Sadler by .462 seconds to win the Drive for the Cure 300 NASCAR XFINITY Series race at Charlotte Motor Speedway, the event that trimmed the inaugural NASCAR XFINITY Chase field from 12 drivers to eight.

Larson, who led 165 laps and at one point had the lead lap to himself, closed on Logano with three circuits left but brushed the Turn 2 wall on Lap 197 and fell to fourth at the finish behind Sadler and Daniel Suarez.

“We had a good car — maybe not the best car … but the pit crew did their job to keep us in position to make an awesome restart there at the end,” said Logano, who led the final 12 laps in earning the 27th NASCAR XFINITY Series victory of his career. “It was kind of an all-or-nothing move, to be able to get the lead and ultimately to hold him off and get the checkered flag. It was a lot of fun to be able to do that.”

Both Sadler and Suarez had earned spots in the Chase’s Round of 8 by virtue of victories at Kentucky and Dover, respectively. Erik Jones advanced with a fifth-place finish and will join Justin Allgaier (sixth on Sunday), Blake Koch (12th), Brendan Gaughan (13th), Ryan Reed (15th) and Darrell Wallace Jr. (20th) in the Round of 8.

Eliminated on points were Ryan Sieg (10th), Ty Dillon (11th), Brandon Jones (16th) and Brennan Poole (18th).

Dillon, whose Chase started to go awry in a wreck with Erik Jones at Kentucky in the opening race of the Round of 12, was bitterly disappointed by his failure to advance.

“It’s heartbreaking,” said Dillon. “We’re a team that should have been in the final round. You’ve got to expect things to happen, which happened in the first race at Kentucky …  But you’ve got to be able to rebound if you’re going to win a championship.

“We had so much momentum coming off of Dover (where we had) a car capable of winning the race, but today we couldn’t even stay on the lead lap. It’s very upsetting. I’ve wanted this championship so bad — it just hurts.”

Dillon needed one more point to tie for eighth with Wallace, but he couldn’t catch Sieg, who pitted for fresh tires under the final caution for Dakoda Armstrong‘s spin off Turn 4 on Lap 183. Dillon would have won the tiebreaker for the final spot in the Round of 8 based on his runner-up finish at Dover.

Sadler characterized Koch’s success with start-up Kaulig Racing as “the biggest story of the first round.” Koch finished the Round of 12 seventh in the standings, three points clear of Dillon.

Poole had a top-10 car for much of the afternoon, but an electrical issue forced him to the pits for an unscheduled stop on Lap 123, and he lost four laps in the process. He finished the round in 10th place, five points behind Wallace.

The series leader entering the Chase, Erik Jones had disappointing outings at Kentucky and Dover but transferred into the Round of 8 by six points with his fifth-place finish on Sunday.

“We did what we needed to do today and got into the next round, you know?” Jones said. “Just ran a smart race, stayed up front all day, stayed out of trouble — only had one mistake that got us back a little bit, but got a caution right away — got a lucky break and finished where we needed to.

“I think we had a car that probably could have went up and contended with Kyle (Larson), but we were just taking it pretty easy for the most part and doing what we needed to do today.”

RELATED: Results | Standings | Chase Grid
SHOP: Johnson gear | Chase gear


CONCORD, N.C. – After Sunday’s victory at Charlotte Motor Speedway, Jimmie Johnson can proclaim justifiably “The Boys are Back in Town.”

 

But for five other Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup drivers, all of whom finished 30th or worse in the rain-delayed Bank of America 500, the race ended in a medley of dire straits.

 

Taking the lead from Matt Kenseth after a restart on Lap 317 of 334, Johnson pulled away to win by 1.474 seconds over the driver of the No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota. Johnson put his No. 48 Chevrolet in Victory Lane for the third time this season, the eighth time at Charlotte – the third since the repaving of the track in March 2006 – and the 78th time in his career.

 

The real prize for the six-time champion, however, was a guaranteed berth in the Chase’s Round of 8 and the accompanying stress-free trip to Talladega two weeks hence.

 

“That is massive,” said Johnson, who led 155 laps in breaking a 24-race winless streak, the longest of his career. “I’m so happy about that. So happy to be in Victory Lane with this guy, with Chad Knaus (crew chief).

 

“We’re a brotherhood on this No. 48 team, and just so thankful for the friendship and the hard work. Same thing for everybody at Hendrick Motorsports. We’re really going to enjoy this.”

 

And no doubt Johnson’s automatic advancement to the next round certainly will enliven the talk of a record-tying seventh title.

 

Kasey Kahne finished third on Sunday, followed by Ryan Newman and Kyle Larson.

 

For 2014 champion Kevin Harvick, Joey Logano, Chase Elliott, Austin Dillon and Denny Hamlin, the Charlotte race was an unmitigated disaster.

 
RELATED: Logano, Harvick suffer trouble at same time

Logano blew a right front tire on Lap 117 to cause the third caution of the race. On Lap 155, he sustained severe damage from hard contact with the outside wall, lost 78 laps in the garage for repairs and finished 36th.

 

“One was the left front and one was the right front, from what I hear,” Logano said after his second wreck. “Once you hit the wall once, it kind of throws the front-end geometry out of line, and that’s probably what screwed up the second one for all I know. 

 

“Who knows? I know it hurts a lot when you hit the wall that hard, but I’m glad I’m all right… We had a fast car. Our car was capable of winning the race. We drove up from 10th and were up to third and running down the leaders, so I felt really good about what we had. I don’t know. Things happen. It’s part of racing, I guess.”

 

Right before Logano’s No. 22 Ford hit the wall, Harvick’s No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Chevrolet lost power. Harvick retired in 38th place, and spoke to reporters while his crew was still trying to diagnosed the engine problem that killed the car.

 

“It just suddenly shut off, and the things that it points to are no oil pressure,” Harvick said. “It’s definitely not a power issue with the battery or anything like that. They’re trying to diagnosis it. 

 

“I hate it for everybody on our Busch team. They made some great adjustments today and got our car back where we needed to be to run up front, and everything was going fine. Lots of things can go wrong, and today they did.”

 

But misery loves company, and on Lap 259, a 12-car pile-up ended the race for Chasers Austin Dillon and Chase Elliott. Trying to push Dillon’s No. 3 Chevrolet, which had taken two tires to gain track position, Martin Truex Jr. tapped the bumper off-center to the right, turning Dillon’s car into the infield wall.

 

“I tried to give him a shove,” an apologetic Truex said on his radio. “I just turned him around like a damn idiot.”

 

Dillon felt the contact and was immediately out of control.

 

“I’m fine,” Dillon said after exiting the infield care center. “It just sucks. We’ll have to work hard the next two weeks to get the points back. I felt like I got to third gear pretty clean, and then the next thing – I feel contact, and I’m spinning through the grass. 

 

“It’s part of it, and we took two tires there and you know the risk when you get into it. You just hope that doesn’t happen, obviously. I got to third without spinning the tires, and I felt like we got contacted. We’ll just go on to next week.”

RELATED: Dillon, Elliott involved in late wreck

 

As Dillon spun, Elliott checked up behind him – and right in front of Kyle Busch, who couldn’t avoid contact and turned Elliott’s No. 24 Chevrolet into the outside wall. Busch’s car was damaged, but held together with pop rivets and Bear Bond, his No. 18 Toyota salvaged a sixth-place finish.

 

Elliott wasn’t as lucky. The Sunoco Rookie of the Year leader retired in 33rd place.

 

“We had such a good car, and I’m devastated that we didn’t get the result that the guys deserved,” said Elliott, who had led 103 laps before the accident. “They gave me such a fast 3M Chevy and that’s all you can ask for. We just have got to go and do more of that next week (at Kansas).”

 

Hamlin was running second when his engine exploded with 26 laps left. The mechanical failure relegated the driver of the No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota to a 30th-place result.

 

Hamlin, at least, is in eighth place in the Chase standings with a cut to the top eight looming at Talladega. But there’s a huge separation of 16 points between Truex in seventh and Hamlin. Realistically, as things stand now, five drivers are fighting for the final spot in the Round of 8.

 

But any of those drivers can advance automatically with a win.

RELATED: Full Sprint Cup lineup | Weather updates


The Bank of America 500 at Charlotte Motor Speedway has been postponed to Sunday at Noon ET due to inclement weather, setting up a doubleheader for the second consecutive weekend. The Sprint Cup Series race will be broadcast on NBC, with the NASCAR XFINITY Series race following on NBCSN.


The decision to postpone from Saturday night to Sunday at noon was made at approximately 10:30 a.m. ET Saturday after rain pelted the track and surrounding area as the outer bands of Hurricane Matthew made their way through. Weather forecasts varied initially, but a change to Matthew’s trajectory Saturday morning led to the call to postpone.

As of Saturday at 11 a.m., Matthew was a Category 1 hurricane after making landfall at McClellanville, South Carolina (about 55 miles southwest of Myrtle Beach), according to the National Weather Service.


Sunday will now serve as a doubleheader, putting on two races the same day on the same track for the second consecutive weekend.


The Sprint Cup Series race goes green at noon ET, with TV coverage on NBC and radio coverage on PRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio. The XFINITY Series race will follow, with a projected start time of 4:30 p.m. ET. It will be broadcast on NBCSN with radio coverage on PRN SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.


According to Charlotte Motor Speedway, the gates will open at 9 a.m. ET. Bank of America 500 tickets are valid for both races on Sunday; Drive for the Cure 300 presented by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of North Carolina ticketholders will be admitted after the Bank of America 500 ends.


Sprint Cup Series drivers have one practice session and qualifying in the books at Charlotte. All events Friday were wiped out due to weather, which scheduled to be two Sprint Cup Series practices and XFINITY Series qualifying and that series Round of 12 finale.


Chase driver Kevin Harvick will start on the Coors Light Pole on Sunday afternoon with Alex Bowman, filling in for Dale Earnhardt Jr. in the No. 88 Chevrolet, starting second. Chase Elliott will start third, with Kyle Busch and Tony Stewart completing the top five.

As the storm moved up the East Coast, Daytona International Speedway suffered some damage. Atlanta Motor Speedway was offering help to displaced people, opening its campgrounds to those fleeing the wind, rain and flooding.

UPDATED: 10:40 a.m. Saturday

RELATED: Weather updates from Charlotte | Update schedule for Charlotte

The effects of Hurricane Matthew reached far into North Carolina on Friday and Saturday as rain from the storm forced the cancellation of on-track activity at Charlotte Motor Speedway, including the postponement of the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series and XFINITY Series races.


Sunday will be a NASCAR doubleheader with two races the same day on the same track for the second consecutive weekend.

The Sprint Cup Series race is scheduled to start at noon ET, with TV coverage simulcast on NBC and NBCSN (PRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio). The XFINITY Series race would follow, with a projected start time of 4:30 p.m. ET. It will be broadcast on NBCSN with the same radio coverage.


As of 10:30 a.m. Saturday, Hurricane Matthew was a Category 1 hurricane (down from a Category 4 on Thursday) and was causing severe damage along the South Carolina coast on its way northward.


Charlotte’s NASCAR Sprint Cup Series race, the Bank of America 500, is the first race in the premier series’ Round of 12 of the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup.


The Drive for the Cure 300 Presented by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of NC is the final race in the XFINITY Series Chase’s Round of 12. 


Two Sprint Cup Series practices were slated for Friday, and the NASCAR XFINITY Series was slated to have Coors Light Pole Qualifying as well. Those three events were canceled.

RELATED: Chase driver profiles | Chase Grid

It’s crunch time for Chase drivers — and for our numbers — as we try to see who will advance past the Round of 12 in the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup, which gets underway this weekend at Charlotte. But first let’s see how we did with our Round of 16 predictions.

We had Chris Buescher and Jamie McMurray bowing out after Dover. Check.

However, we had Austin Dillon and Chase Elliott getting ousted, and instead they survived and advanced. Ouch, hip-checked.

In our defense, Dillon was in a precarious position at the Dover elmination race until Kyle Larson‘s mechanical misfortune, and Tony Stewart, who also got eliminated, barely edged out Elliott for the final spot in our previous prediction. (This round-about explanation was meant to get you ready for some of what you’ll hear in the upcoming presidential debate.)

But stick with us folks, and see how we do this round. Even if we don’t get it all right, there are stats you don’t want to miss for big-name drivers like Kyle Busch and Carl Edwards in a round that includes Charlotte, Kansas and Talladega (the big wild card that routinely thumbs its nose at stats people like us.)


A reminder on our numbers: We’ve looked at average finish and laps led in the following categories for each Chase driver: 1. Season stats, 2. Last five races and 3. History at Round of 12 tracks. This way, we feel like we’ve accounted for who has done consistently well this season versus who is hot now versus who has some good experience under his belt.

Let’s look at results for average finish, then we’ll move on to laps led before unveiling the final prediction:

Average Finish

Rank Driver Points
1. Brad Keselowski 33
2. Kevin Harvick 24
3. Chase Elliott 23
4. Denny Hamlin 22.5
5. Martin Truex Jr. 22
6. Joey Logano 21.5
7. Kyle Busch 17.5
8. Matt Kenseth 16
9. Jimmie Johnson 15
10. Kurt Busch 14.5
11. Carl Edwards 14
12. Austin Dillon 11

How we got the numbers: We assigned a point value to each Chase driver relative to how he finished in each of the following categories: average finish this season, average finish in the last five races and average finish at the Round of 12 tracks. For example, if a driver was tops in average finish this season, he got 12 points; second place got 11 points and so on down to last place, which got one point. Then, we added up the point values each driver earned in the three categories to arrive at the above list. Here are the top three drivers and bottom three drivers in each category:

Average finish this season:
Leaders: 1. Brad Keselowski, 2. Kevin Harvick, T-3. Kyle Busch, Denny Hamlin.
Followers: 10. Matt Kenseth, 11. Austin Dillon, 12. Jimmie Johnson.

Average finish last five races:
Leaders: 1. Martin Truex Jr., 2. Brad Keselowski, 3. Kyle Busch.
Followers: 10. Jimmie Johnson, 11. Kurt Busch, 12. Carl Edwards.

Average finish at Round of 12 tracks:
Leaders: 1. Chase Elliott, 2. Jimmie Johnson, 3. Brad Keselowski.
Followers: 10. Martin Truex Jr., 11. Kurt Busch, 12. Kyle Busch.

Analysis: It’s somewhat stunning to see Jimmie Johnson as the lowest rated driver in average finish for the season given the amount of success he has had over the course of his career. Clearly, his team needs to improve quickly if it wants to win a seventh title. … Carl Edwards has not performed well over the past five races, but the silver lining is he has a recent win at Charlotte (2015’s Coca-Cola 600) and finished sixth in the Bank of America 500 last year. … Kyle Busch is winless at Charlotte while his struggles at Kansas have been well-documented. Those concerns are again supported here with the worst average finish among the 12 drivers at the next three tracks.

Now, let’s take a look at how the drivers fared in laps led.

Laps Led

Rank Driver Points
1. Martin Truex Jr. 33
2. Kyle Busch 30
3. Kevin Harvick 28
4. Matt Kenseth 27
5. Jimmie Johnson 22
6. Denny Hamlin 20
7. Brad Keselowski 17
8. Joey Logano 16
9. Carl Edwards 15
10. Kurt Busch 13
11. Chase Elliott 8
12. Austin Dillon 5

How we got the numbers: Same as with average finish, we assigned a point value to each Chase driver relative to how he finished in each of the following categories: laps led this season, laps led in the last five races and laps led at the Round of 12 tracks. Then, we added up the point values to arrive at the above list. Here are the top three drivers and bottom three drivers in each category:

Laps led this season:
Leaders: 1. Martin Truex Jr., 2. Kyle Busch, 3. Kevin Harvick.
Followers: 10. Chase Elliott, 11. Kurt Busch, 12. Austin Dillon.

Laps led last five races:

Leaders: 1. Martin Truex Jr., 2. Kevin Harvick, 3. Denny Hamlin.
Followers: 10. Jimmie Johnson, 11. Austin Dillon, 12. Kurt Busch.

Laps led at Round of 12 tracks:
Leaders: 1. Jimmie Johnson, 2. Matt Kenseth, 3. Kyle Busch.
Followers: 10. Carl Edwards, 11. Chase Elliott, 12. Austin Dillon.

Analysis: Chase Elliott and Kurt Busch are both behind the pace in laps led this season, but the outlook is significantly brighter around Elliott because of an average finish in the past five races of 9.6 compared with Busch’s mark of 15.0 over the same span. … When you win two of the past three races like Martin Truex Jr. has, of course you’re going to be rated highly in the last five races. But when you’ve also led the most laps over the course of the entire season, it’s easy to see why he’s the championship favorite. … If Carl Edwards plans to finally get that first championship, it would serve him well to get a win at Charlotte or Kansas, because he has one of the worst records at Talladega among the remaining Chase drivers.

FINAL PREDICTION

Rank Driver Points
1 Martin Truex Jr. 55
2 Kevin Harvick 52
3 Brad Keselowski 50
4 Kyle Busch 47.5
5 Matt Kenseth 43
6 Denny Hamlin 42.5
7 Joey Logano 37.5
8 Jimmie Johnson 37
9 Chase Elliott 31
10 Carl Edwards 29
11 Kurt Busch 27.5
12 Austin Dillon 16

Final prediction: Alas, Edwards won’t get a chance at that first title, according to our prediction. He’ll join Chase Elliott, Kurt Busch and Austin Dillon as the drivers missing the Chase cutoff after Talladega. Jimmie Johnson will be the last driver to make it (in eighth place) — with Martin Truex Jr., Kevin Harvick, Brad Keselowski and Kyle Busch in control as the series opens the Round of 8 at Martinsville Speedway.