Busch jumps into top 10 for Furniture Row; could jump into fourth car at SHR

BROOKLYN, Mich. — Kurt Busch continued his surprising journey into Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup contention Sunday, using a third-place finish in the Pure Michigan 400 to break into the top 10 in points and put his Furniture Row Racing team in the playoff picture. Whether he will still be with Furniture Row next season remains to be seen, however.

Media reports surfaced Sunday night that Stewart-Haas Racing made a formal offer to Busch for the 2014 NASCAR Sprint Cup Series season, seeking to add him as a fourth car on a team that will also include Tony Stewart, Kevin Harvick and Danica Patrick. Ryan Newman, who is driving for SHR this season, was not asked to return for 2014.
 
Busch, the first driver to win a NASCAR Sprint Cup Series title under the 10-race format when it debuted in 2004, was pleased enough with his result at Michigan. But he carefully avoided looking too far down the road. Three races remain before the 12-team field is locked in, and much can come undone between Bristol, Atlanta and Richmond.

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"Well, it’s being focused," he said. "I’m excited that we’re running well. We’re able to seal the deal, when that’s been some of our struggles through the midpoint of the season."
 
Ninth in points, Busch hasn’t scored a victory since October of 2011. A slip before Richmond (scheduled for Sept. 7) could easily find him back outside the top 10. And with the two Wild Card spots (for positions 11-20) determined by total wins and then points position, being winless isn’t a safe bet.
 
"You can’t celebrate with a third-place finish," he said. "You just have to feel confident and … know that you can go back next week and do it again.
 
"The biggest thing is just staying out of trouble. Bristol, trouble can happen at any corner. There’s going to be 500 laps that we have to perform there … where we have to protect our car and still finish well."
 
And consistency has been the problem for the Denver-based team this season. Sunday’s result was the sixth top-five finish for the group, which is more than some Chase contenders, but fewer than others. In those races in which Busch hasn’t finished well, he’s often finished well back. Seven times he has been 20th or worse.
 
It appeared that might be the case at Michigan as well, as Busch found himself forced to overcome poor track position on more than one occasion. The first was the result of a dropped lug nut during green-flag stops early in the race, a miscue that took him from the front and deposited him outside the top 10.
 
The second came much later, when Busch pitted and took four tires on Lap 158. With several others opting for two tires, the result was a loss of eight spots — from sixth to 14th.
 
Adding to the concern was the fact that most of those ahead of him at the time were those he needed to gain on in points.
 
"I was a little frustrated at that point," he admitted, "knowing we had a much better car. But our weaknesses were restarts today, trying to maneuver in traffic.
 
"But lo and behold, (I) got fired up, sometimes I get lucky, an opening opened up on the outside. I think I came on that restart from 14th to sixth. It was a game‑changer. That one moment was our race."
 
He may not be excited, but he admitted having the opportunity to contend for a spot in the Chase is "tremendous."
 
"It’s an amazing feeling to be in position right now, have a group of guys from Denver … in the Chase right now," he said. "That’s what we have to do, make sure when the door closes, (when) the music stops, that we got a place."

 

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Penske driver riding hot streak after first win of season

When Joey Logano won the Coors Light Pole in a record speed of 203.695 mph at Michigan International Speedway, the first thought that might have run through fantasy owners’ minds was to stay away from him in fear of a poor score in place differential. When you’re at the top, sometimes there’s only one place to go, and that’s down, which would have meant a big loss in fantasy points.

But Logano managed to come through with a victory in the Pure Michigan 400 that delighted fantasy owners that didn’t shy away from the No. 22. In fact, Logano was the top-scoring driver in the NASCAR Fantasy Live game, pleasing a slight uptick in ownership after winning the pole. (His price increased by $0.25 due to more demand.)

Even with the increase, Logano was still priced at a manageable $22.25 and provided plenty of bang for the buck. Logano tallied 95.5 fantasy points, edging Kevin Harvick, who scored 93. Kurt Busch was third with 91 points, followed by Michigan favorite Greg Biffle with 90 and the red-hot Kasey Kahne with 86.

For a Penske-driven Ford to do well at Michigan was not a big surprise, but it still marked Logano’s first win of the season and only the third win of his NASCAR Sprint Cup Series career. So even if you pegged Logano for a good showing, the amount of the payoff was still bigger than expected.

Now the question is whether Logano can continue to provide good value for the remainder of the races leading up to the Chase for NASCAR Sprint Cup.

Looking back, Logano’s win at Michigan was his fourth straight top-10 finish. And it was his 10th top-10 finish in the past 13 races. But Logano also had back-to-back 40th-place finishes at Daytona and New Hampshire that could have shaken the nerves of even the most confident fantasy owners.

Looking ahead, NASCAR Statistical Service’s Loop Data shows us that in the past eight seasons at Bristol Motor Speedway Logano ranks 22nd in driver rating. His average finish there has been 21.6, and in the spring he was 17th after a dust-up with Denny Hamlin.

So at least for the immediate future, it could be time to cash in your winnings with Logano and move to another mid-priced driver. Might we suggest Kurt Busch? His historical data is better at Bristol, and as you’ll see by reading on, the price is right, too.

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Key Fantasy Moment: When Jimmie Johnson felt a couple of cylinders drop in his engine early in the race, fantasy owners’ hearts dropped as well. Although Johnson has never won at Michigan International Speedway, many owners stuck with him even though he was starting from the back after a crash in final practice that forced him to go with a backup car. But for the poor souls who were looking for another big day from Johnson, it wasn’t meant to be at a track that continues to be the No. 48’s bugaboo. Johnson had a league-worst minus-23.5 fantasy points on the day. 

Best Value:
On a point-per-dollar basis, Logano was a better value than Kurt Busch, but since we already talked about Logano in this column, pairing him with the No. 78 was an ideal situation. Both drivers were moderately priced at $22.50 for Busch and $22.25 for Logano and paid off handsomely with 93 and 95.5 fantasy points, respectively. Busch was no sure thing after finishing 35th at Michigan in June, but his third-place finish extended his run to six top-10s in the eight races since the first trip through Michigan. Kudos to fantasy owners who hopped aboard with Furniture Row Racing driver for this one.

Biggest Bust: Besides Johnson, Dale Earnhardt Jr. was the biggest name closest to the bottom of the fantasy standings on Sunday. Junior tallied just 4.5 fantasy points and came in 37th among 43 drivers. That was a hard pill to swallow given that he cost fantasy owners $26.25 to have on their teams. It was doubly difficult given that Junior has done well at Michigan and was running up front when he got a flat tire and smacked the wall in Turn 2 on Lap 135. He finished 36th after leading 20 laps earlier in the race. 

Tip to take forward: The Sprint Cup Series switches from the two-mile track at Michigan to the close quarters of the 0.53-mile coliseum at Bristol. That means it’s time to bone up on the short-track bargains and busts for your fantasy team. Funny thing is, with the way Michigan played, it was almost as unpredictable as some of the situations that come to pass at Bristol. Kasey Kahne won the spring race in Bristol, but we’ll see how it goes the second time around. Kyle Busch comes in with the highest driver rating (103.0) at the track, according to NASCAR Statistical Service’s Loop Data. Logano’s rating of 75.1 over that same span ranks him 22nd.

 

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No. 14 team rallies to take 14th at Michigan with substitute driver

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BROOKLYN, Mich. — What started inauspiciously for Austin Dillon turned into just the kind of effort Stewart-Haas Racing was hoping for out of its substitute driver.

The NASCAR Nationwide Series regular spun early at Michigan International Speedway, but Dillon and Tony Stewart’s No. 14 team regrouped and rallied for — appropriately — a 14th-place finish on the 2-mile track. SHR had hoped for a top-20 finish from Dillon, driving in the second straight NASCAR Sprint Cup Series event that Stewart has missed since breaking two bones in his right leg in a sprint car crash Aug. 5.

In that regard, it was mission accomplished.

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“We’d have loved to have run up front and gave him a shot to win it. But we came here to get a solid finish, (and) we did that,” crew chief Steve Addington said. “We got a little behind there at the beginning, but did all the wave-arounds and stayed on our plan, and it worked out for us. All the guys are pumped up. They enjoyed working with him, and that’s the main thing. We had a great weekend. Everything went really smooth.”

On a slick Michigan track surface where Clint Bowyer spun on the first lap and Kyle Busch went around twice, Dillon spun 13 laps into the event and collected the car of J.J. Yeley. Addington said the contact knocked in the right side of the car, but the incident occurred early enough in the race that the No. 14 crew was able to pull out the vehicle’s fenders and keep their fill-in driver competitive.

“Our goal was a top-15, but I put us behind at the beginning,” Dillon said. “Thought I was going to be able to pass J.J. pretty easy, but I just got loose under him. It was totally my fault. I got in there hard, grabbed the brake and slid into him. I hate it for him and the 36 team. I know they’re out here battling each and every week. That was a bad deal for them. I didn’t mean to get into them like that.
 
“I pretty much did exactly what I did not want to do. Going into it, I knew I needed to stay calm and take my time because it was 200 laps, and then we’re wrecked before we even get to Lap 20. I just made a big mistake. It happens when you’re out there racing hard and just trying to give it your all. I knew the car was fast. I was just trying to get too much, too early. But I’m proud of the way we battled back and earned this finish.”

Dillon’s finish left the No. 14 car in 13th place in Sprint Cup Series owners’ points, a drop of two positions from the previous week, where Max Papis filled in at Watkins Glen. Stewart has endured two surgeries on the broken tibia and fibula in his right leg, and is under doctor’s orders to remain in bed with the extremity elevated to prevent swelling.

SHR competition director Greg Zipadelli said Friday that the team is planning a schedule of substitute drivers for the remainder of the year, a list that should be finalized before the series arrives at Bristol Motor Speedway next weekend. An announcement of a replacement driver for the half-mile short track — expected to be Mark Martin — could come as early as Monday.

But Sunday that duty fell to Dillon, whom Addington said kept cool even after his early incident. “He did a good job of hanging on,” the crew chief said. “He’s got to be proud of it.”

It was a busy weekend for the Richard Childress Racing driver, who on Saturday helicoptered to the inaugural Nationwide Series race at Mid-Ohio Sports Car Course to compete in that event. Although Dillon practiced his No. 3 car on Thursday, he remained in Michigan on Friday and through Saturday morning, forcing him to start at the rear on the road course. He finished 21st, and fell from atop the series to fourth in Nationwide standings, 15 behind new leader Sam Hornish Jr.

Sunday’s substitute effort on the Sprint Cup tour produced a more positive result.

“The kid is mature beyond his years,” Addington said. “He’s got a ton of talent. That kid is going to be a star in this sport.”

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Keselowski wasn’t fond of crew chief Paul Wolfe’s decision to pit for fuel

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BROOKLYN, Mich. — Brad Keselowski wanted to go for it.

That much was evident in the tenor of his voice, as he and crew chief Paul Wolfe debated strategy in the final laps Sunday at Michigan International Speedway. With the No. 2 car in the lead and its driver still without a victory in the waning weeks of the Sprint Cup Series regular season, the urgency was understandable. But so was the reality of how many circuits were remaining, and how much fuel was left in the tank.

"I don’t know, man. Your call," Keselowski told his crew chief over the radio. "But I don’t want to pit."

Crunching the numbers, Wolfe knew there was no other option. "It’s a big risk if we don’t," he responded. "We could end up finishing 28th."

Finally, team owner Roger Penske intervened. "We’ve got to pit," the Captain intoned. The debate ended, the No. 2 car came in under yellow for two tires and fuel, and after restarting mid-pack Keselowski drove up to a 12th-place result that maintained his eighth-place standing in Sprint Cup points.

Not that he was thrilled about it.

"It’s the same (bleeping) deal every week," Keselowski said after the race. "The yellows fall exactly the wrong way to screw our strategy. That can’t keep going that way. Eventually it’s like blackjack, you aren’t going to keep turning 15 or 16 on every damn hand. Eventually you are going to turn a good hand. We just didn’t catch it today."

Keselowski ran in the top-10 for much of the race, and stayed out to take the lead under caution with 43 laps remaining after Kyle Busch spun into the wall. Without a victory yet this season, the reigning champ has walked a tightrope as far as Chase for the Sprint Cup contention, earning a small measure of breathing room by breaking back into the top 10 with a runner-up performance at Watkins Glen last week. Suddenly, there he was out front — until Busch spun again, this time with 27 laps remaining, forcing the No. 2 team to make a decision it really didn’t want to make.

"It’s frustrating," Wolfe said. "It was real tough. But we’re not in the greatest situation right now, points-wise, and the risk-versus-reward situation wasn’t adding up in my head. I knew if we pitted there we should hopefully get a top 15 out of it and still keep ourselves in the top 10 in points where we need to be. And I know going into these next races, these are all tracks where I feel we’re capable of winning races, and we’ll get our wins. So today was just, have a good solid day, continue to work on our points, and we did that."

In the moment, though, it wasn’t quite that easy. Under yellow, Wolfe broke the news to Keselowski that they’d need at least one more caution to make it to the end. "I pit here, I’m pretty much guaranteeing a 10th-place day," the driver said.

"That’s what we need right now," Wolfe responded.

The two went back and forth a little more until Penske settled the matter. "I think once the boss radioed in and said that," Wolfe said after the race, "I don’t think the driver was going to argue anymore at that point."

In the cockpit, it was reluctant agreement. "You know I want to win. I don’t want to points race," Keselowski radioed his crew chief after the pit stop.

"I hear you," Wolfe responded. "Me too. Me too. We’ll get there."

Keselowski restarted 17th after pitting and got back to 12th, keeping himself eight points to the good side of the Chase bubble. Mark Martin was using the same late-race strategy as Keselowski, and stayed out during the final caution period after Busch spun the second time. Flirting with his first Sprint Cup victory since 2009, the part-time Michael Waltrip Racing driver ran out of fuel with four laps remaining, and would up 27th — allowing Keselowski’s Penske teammate Joey Logano to seize a win that bolstered his own Chase hopes.

Seeing the No. 55 run dry offered a small bit of solace for Wolfe. Had Keselowski stayed out, he would have run out of gas at about the same time.

"Absolutely, because I think (Martin) was 27th, and we would have been one spot ahead of him," the crew chief said. "At the end of the day, that call kept us in the top 10 where we need to be."

Added Keselowski: "I guess we made the right call," he said, "but I ain’t gotta like it."

With three races remaining until the Chase field is decided, Penske said both his drivers are "on the bubble" as far as the playoff is concerned. But after a rough early summer, the defending champions seem to have rediscovered their footing and are turning out more consistent results. One reason Wolfe was content to take what he could get at Michigan was because he feels better tracks lie ahead — beginning next weekend at Bristol, where Keselowski has won twice.

"I feel like out of these four races we had, this was probably our weakest track," Wolfe said of the 2-mile oval. "Heading to Bristol, we’ve obviously got a lot of confidence there as well as Atlanta and Richmond, where we run well. It’s good to see our teammate in Victory Lane, and obviously that’s going to help their cause in making the Chase, and we’ve just got to keep working. Both cars were fast today, so that’s encouraging."

Logano’s triumph could wind up working against Keselowski in the Wild Card race, given that his teammate now has a victory, even if he is five positions lower in the standings. But to the defending Sprint Cup champion, there’s only one route back into the Chase.

"I’m not looking at Wild Card," Keselowski said. "I want my way into the top 10."

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BROOKLYN, Mich. — Add another name to the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup conversation.

Joey Logano started Sunday’s Pure Michigan 400 from the Coors Light Pole, and after a convoluted mix of strategy and racing incidents, it was Logano who claimed the victory and established himself as a contender for a berth in NASCAR’s postseason.

The victory was Logano’s first of the season, his first at Michigan, his first for Penske Racing and the third of his career. Kevin Harvick ran second, followed by Kurt Busch, Paul Menard and Clint Bowyer.

The victory moved Logano from 16th to 13th in the NASCAR Sprint Cup standings, 17 points out of 10th place. The youngest winner in Michigan history also is in play for a Wild Card, with two spots available to the drivers in positions 11-20 in the standings with the most victories. 

"This is huge for our Chase hopes," Logano said. "We needed this to have a shot at getting in the Chase. We’re close now, but we can’t make any mistakes. This sure does help a lot."  

Mark Martin took off after a restart on Lap 178, as Kurt Busch, Logano and Harvick battled for the second spot behind him. After the running order shuffled out with Logano in second and Harvick in third, the pursuers began to close in on the leader.

But Logano, 23, who came to the public eye as a 14-year-old with praise from the 54-year-old Martin, couldn’t make the pass for the lead, even though Martin was trying mightily to save fuel.

"I noticed he was lifting early, because I was catching him on entry (into the corners)," Logano said. "He was able to pull me on exit. I wanted to get by him, because I knew the 29 (Harvick) was fast, too.

"It is so cool to be here in Victory Lane. It’s crazy racing Mark Martin, my childhood hero. I was able to race against him in Pocono last year for the win. It is so cool racing against a guy like that."

But when Martin slowed in Turn 3 on Lap 197 and brought his car to pit road for fuel, Logano shot past him into the lead with Harvick in hot pursuit. Logano held the top spot for the final four laps and took the checkered flag by 1.018 seconds over the No. 29 Chevrolet. 

To Harvick, the race was decided on the final restart. Harvick lined up inside Martin with Logano’s No. 22 Ford behind the No. 29 Chevy.

"Just mistimed that last restart there," Harvick said. "I had a great run on the 55 (Martin). Was going to beat him to the line by too much. Wound up having to drag the brakes. From there, it was going to be sketchy if we were going to keep the 22 back there.

"Went for it, backfired a little bit there as we got three‑wide and lost some track position. I didn’t think we were going to be racing the 55 there for the win (because Martin was short on fuel). I thought if we could just get out of Turn 2 in second we’d be in good shape. Got a little bit greedy and lost a couple spots there. That’s what ultimately cost us the win."

Series leader Jimmie Johnson couldn’t exorcise his Michigan jinx. After wrecking his primary car in Saturday’s practice, Johnson started Sunday’s race from the rear of the field in a backup car. He took the lead on Lap 43 during a cycle of green-flag pit stops, but shortly thereafter Johnson exited the race because of an engine failure. 

"The engine broke there," Johnson said after bringing the car to the garage. "I guess when we came in for a green flag pit stop, something started then and made it a few more laps and didn’t really notice anything off.  

"Then it finally dropped a cylinder or two down the backstretch. Definitely an unfortunate thing, but we had plenty of speed in the car and I think we were going to be a factor." 

Johnson could afford that sort of failure, having locked himself into the Chase last week at Watkins Glen. The same couldn’t be said of Hendrick Motorsports teammate Dale Earnhardt Jr., who smacked the Turn 2 wall on Lap 135 — after leading 20 circuits earlier in the race — and took his crippled car to the garage for repairs. 

Earnhardt finished 36th and dropped from sixth to seventh in the standings, 20 points ahead of 11th-place Kasey Kahne with three races left before the Chase field is set at Richmond.

On Lap 157, Kyle Busch smacked the wall and narrowly reeled his No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota through traffic with minimal control. He later spun out and hit the grass to finish 31st.

Though he was the victim of an early spin in Turn 4, Austin Dillon rallied from a lap down to finish 14th in his substitute role for injured Tony Stewart, the No. 14 Stewart-Haas Racing Chevrolet is in a tight battle with the No. 56 of Michael Waltrip Racing for a spot in the owners’ Chase. 

After Sunday’s race, the two cars are tied for the final Wild Card spot, with the No. 56, driven by Martin Truex Jr. holding the tiebreaker based on quality of finishes.

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Drivers position themselves for stretch run to postseason; Earnhardt struggles at best track

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Three up

Three down

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STANDINGS *Wild Card

Pos. Driver Pts back +/-
1. Jimmie Johnson
2. Clint Bowyer -41
3. Carl Edwards -51
4. Kevin Harvick -64
5. Kyle Busch -107
6. Matt Kenseth -125 +1
7. Dale Earnhardt Jr. -134 -1
8. Brad Keselowski -146
9. Kurt Busch -148 +2
10. Greg Biffle -150 -1
Pos. Driver Pts back of 10th Wins
11. Kasey Kahne* -4 2
12. Martin Truex Jr.* -10 1
13. Joey Logano -17 1
14. Jeff Gordon -26 0
15. Ryan Newman -27 1

 In the green

Joey Logano (Change: 16th to 13th)
Joey Logano’s first Ford, Michigan and Penske Racing victory hasn’t quite put him into the Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup yet, but he’s more than just knocking on the door — he’s got the battering ram ready to break right through it. A top-five at Bristol, combined with poor finishes from either teammate Brad Keselowski or Kurt Busch, could push him right into the top 10 and past a Wild Card spot.

Kurt Busch (Change: 11th to ninth)
Busch is still in fantastic shape considering he’s gone the entire season without a victory. It was only a matter of time before he earned a provisional Chase spot with the way he’s been running most of the season. He just needs to finish out the non-Chase portion of the season with exceptionally strong showings if he isn’t able to sneak into Victory Lane at Bristol, Atlanta or Richmond.

Kasey Kahne (Change: 12th to 11th)
It isn’t much, but Kahne’s gaining of one spot from 12th to 11th has him that much closer to a holding on to a non-Wild Card spot, which would be, for obvious reasons, a little less concerning. He still holds at least a one-victory advantage over any Wild Card contention, with the site of his first win this season (Bristol) coming up next week, but he’d sure love to move up at least another spot to get him into the worry-free zone.

In the red

Martin Truex Jr. (Change: 10th to 12th)
Truex held onto a Chase spot by virtue of his strong road-course finishes, but his showing at Michigan (16th) has thrown him into the Wild Card mix. He’s now in danger of losing a spot altogether to Logano (seven points back) or, if things go terribly wrong at Bristol, Ryan Newman (17 back).

Jeff Gordon (Change: 13th to 14th)
Apart from Dale Earnhardt Jr. (who struggled Sunday, coincidentally) Hendrick Motorsports cars don’t generally run well at Michigan, so it would be unfair to have expected Gordon to pull off a win in the Irish Hills. After all, he had just two victories in 42 starts at the track. That said, with Logano winding up in Victory Lane, Gordon’s Chase hopes took a drastic hit, and he almost certainly needs to earn his first win of 2013 at one of the three remaining non-Chase races.

Ryan Newman (Change: 14th to 15th)
Newman was far from terrible at Michigan, but by being leap-frogged by Logano in the standings and Truex falling to 11th, he loses his Wild Card Chase spot. With just two top-fives in 43 combined starts at Bristol and Atlanta, his only hope might be to pull off a miracle at Richmond, where he does have a victory.

Missed chances

Dale Earnhardt Jr. (Change: 6th to 7th)
"Missed chances" might be an understatement for Junior, who lost a chance at what might have been his only shot at a victory before the Chase starts. With no wins in his back pocket and just 20 points separating himself from 11th-place Kahne, Earnhardt is in legitimate danger of not making the cut if he falls out of the top 10.

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