NASCAR.com’s 36 for 36 continues at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

With 36 races and 36 full-time Charter cars, our players select one car per race, but there’s a simple twist: once they’ve made the pick, they can’t choose that car again for the rest of the 36-race season. Yes, that means every car will be selected exactly once … a survivor pool, by another name. 

Follow along weekly as our panel of pickers — Dustin Albino from Jayski, along with Steve Luvender and Cameron Richardson from NASCAR.com — embarks on a season-long journey to think like strategists and prove their picking prowess. 

We’ll also feature a fourth “community” 36 for 36 pick each week, as decided by fan vote on the r/NASCAR subreddit. Can the collective vote topple our trio of full-timers?

Current Standings:

  1. Dustin Albino: 408
  2. Steve Luvender: -6
  3. r/NASCAR Community: -31
  4. Cameron Richardson: -47

Race 18 of 36: New Hampshire

The inaugural NASCAR Cup Series race from Iowa Speedway provided a bounty of points for three of our four pickers. While Steve Luvender’s Zane Smith pick netted just six points, it was a 30-plus-point day for the rest of the panel. The r/NASCAR community went with Brad Keselowski, who posted a respectable 10th-place finish, while Dustin Albino’s selection of Christopher Bell, the fourth-place finisher, was enough to boost him into the points lead. Cameron Richardson had the best day of the four — a much-needed one — after a 36-point afternoon for Joey Logano. 

Now, NASCAR heads to a slightly bigger and much flatter track in the land of granite and lobster. New Hampshire marks the end of the season’s first half, the ideal time for our 36 for 36 pickers to take inventory and start thinking about how they’ll handle the final 18 races.

Jayski’s Dustin Albino: No. 22, Joey Logano
A general 36 for 36 graphic of Dustin Albino's New Hampshire selection.

 

Dustin’s pick last week: No. 20, Christopher Bell (33 points)

Total season points: 408 (first place)

Dustin: There is a new points leader in town, so we’re looking to keep up that momentum at New Hampshire. Logano is on the upswing as well, having scored his second- and third-highest points totals of the season over the last three races. Both came at shorter, flat tracks, a discipline at which Team Penske excels. The No. 22 team has three top-five finishes spanning the last four races at New Hampshire, including a runner-up finish last year. Look for Logano to be a threat to win on Sunday as his two Penske teammates have won the last two tracks on an oval that had similar characteristics to New Hampshire.

NASCAR.com’s Steve Luvender: No. 20, Christopher Bell
A general 36 for 36 graphic of Steve Luvender's New Hampshire selection.

Steve’s pick last week: No. 71, Zane Smith (6 points)

Total season points: 402 (second place)

Steve: My intention was to save Christopher Bell for the playoffs, but my ego insists I retake my rightful throne atop the standings table as quickly as possible. CBell should do the trick: He’s won at New Hampshire in all three series — including in each of his three starts on the Xfinity tour — and he’s currently riding a wave of four consecutive top 10s dating back to his Coca-Cola 600 win. Look out, Dustin!

NASCAR.com’s Cameron Richardson: No. 19, Martin Truex Jr.
A general 36 for 36 graphic of Cameron Richardson's New Hampshire selection.

 

Cameron’s pick last week: No. 22, Joey Logano (36 points)

Total season points: 361 (fourth place)

Cameron: Can we count this as a home track for MTJ as well? In what may very well be his final performance in the Granite State, there would be no better place for Truex to break through in 2024. Truex has flat-out (no pun intended) dominated New Hampshire, leading 426 of 602 laps in the Next Gen era around the 1-mile oval. Truex loves fishing, so it’s only right for him to reel in one final lobster in Loudon.

r/NASCAR Community: No. 20, Christopher Bell
A general 36 for 36 graphic of r/NASCAR's New Hampshire selection.

 

r/NASCAR’s pick last week: No. 6, Brad Keselowski (32 points)

Total season points: 377 (third place)

The r/NASCAR community has selected Christopher Bell by vote. 

From this week’s Reddit voting thread

u/Extreme-Bite-9123: “New Hampshire is already one of Bell’s best tracks. Add in how good he has been on flat tracks this year (won Phoenix and should have won Gateway), and you have a week designed for us to maybe get full points.”

u/Dont_hate_the_8: “Should be pretty obvious, either him or Truex.”

u/FridgusDomin8or: “If Bell isn’t crashing out here then he’s basically guaranteed to finish top 3”

u/Boom_Confetti: “I know Truex dominated last year, so it’s tempting to take him, but New Hampshire remains Bell’s playground. His numbers are ridiculous: 1.5 average finish in Trucks, 3-0 in Xfinity, and [1] win here already in Cup. This is far and away Bell’s best track, there’s no reason to overthink this one.”

Check back next week to see how our pickers fared as the season-long 36 for 36 journey continues.

And, if you’ve got a competitive itch beyond meticulously managing your Fantasy Live lineup each week, feel free to save or print your own 36 for 36 sheet and see if you can beat our pickers and the Reddit community!

Editor’s Note: Racing Insights’ playoff projections use a combination of current standings and historical performance at upcoming tracks to determine the probability of each driver winning or making the playoffs on points.

With the Cup Series Playoffs on the mind throughout the season, what if there was a way to project how the 16-driver field could look before each race weekend?

It now exists via Racing Insights. From now until the start of the 2024 NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs, “The Field of 16” will give fans a weekly look at where their favorite drivers could potentially land in the postseason field — and the likelihood of having a shot at the Bill France Cup.

Here’s this week’s update on the projections heading into New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

NOTABLE PROBABILITY SHIFTS POST-IOWA

DriverBefore LoudonEntering NashvilleDifference
Chris Buescher67.32%85.72%+18.40
Ty Gibbs85.47%90.08%+4.61
Bubba Wallace29.21%22.11%-7.10
Alex Bowman86.37%70.11%-16.26
nhms playoff predictor
PROBABILITY CALCULATED BY RACING INSIGHTS AHEAD OF USA TODAY 301, JUNE 23, 2024

DRIVERS SOLIDLY IN PLAYOFF PICTURE

Ten drivers are provisionally locked into the 2024 Cup Series Playoffs, with four of those guaranteed as Denny Hamlin, Kyle Larson, William Byron and Christopher Bell have all won multiple times this season.

After Larson crashed out early in the final stage at Iowa, his Hendrick Motorsports teammate Chase Elliott has assumed the Cup points led by eight points over the 2021 series titleholder.

Elliott, Tyler Reddick, Brad Keselowski, Austin Cindric, Daniel Suárez and most recently, defending champ Ryan Blaney, each have a win in 2024. With four new winners already this year compared to 2023, it’s best to have a good points cushion to the provisional elimination line as Martin Truex Jr. and Ross Chastain have as they sit with 95% or better probabilities of making the 16-driver field.

While both have probabilities below 90%, Alex Bowman and Ty Gibbs have created quite a gap between themselves and the projected bubble with Chris Buescher being 18 percentage points lower than Gibbs in probability. With 10 top 10s already in 2024, Bowman looks increasingly more likely that he will return to the playoffs after missing out in 2023.

LAST 4 IN

Let’s say Bowman and Gibbs will be good for the playoffs at this point. That leaves just two spots to fight for among four drivers who are all capable of deep postseason runs any given year.

Buescher has been on the brink of victory three times this season (Kansas, Darlington, Sonoma) and fell just short in all of them. It feels like the No. 17 RFK Racing team will find pay dirt in the final nine races of the regular season, similar to their summer stretch in 2023 where Buescher collected three race trophies in a six-week span.

As for two-time champion Joey Logano, there’s no telling when or even if the No. 22 Team Penske stable will find Victory Lane in 2024. While they’ve shown speed on short tracks this season, they have yet to have a performance worthy of a win. Since leading 84 laps at Martinsville in early April, Logano has led just 53 laps combined across the last nine races. New Hampshire and Richmond remain key targets to break through in 2024 for Logano (as well as Daytona in August), but time is running out quickly for the team to ensure all three Penske cars will go for the title.

FIRST 4 OUT

Even though he’s currently on the right side of the playoff picture six points above Logano for the 16th spot, Bubba Wallace just hasn’t had any success the last month. Kansas and Charlotte were expected to be big points day and even win opportunities for the No. 23 Toyota team, but Wallace finished outside the top 10 in both events. Following those tracks up with 21st, 20th and 17th-place results in the last three weeks should have 23XI Racing hovering over the panic button.

Another Sunday of bad luck for Kyle Busch at Iowa and based on trends this season, it won’t stop for the No. 8 RCR team. The best Busch can hope for is a clean top-10 result at New Hampshire, which is doable, but Busch has crashed out in three of the last four Loudon events. Sitting 31 points below the playoff elimination line, another DNF will put the team in a must-win situation for the rest of the regular season if they aren’t already in one.

WHO CAN SHAKE UP PLAYOFF PICTURE AT NEW HAMPSHIRE?

I’d like to say Wallace, given his consecutive top 10s in the Next Gen era at New Hampshire, but I’ll take a big swing for this weekend and put the idea of Justin Haley winning in your head. The No. 51 Rick Ware Racing Ford has been bad fast recently with ninth-place runs at Darlington and Gateway. Haley showed top-10 pace at Iowa as well. The smaller and slower the track, the better it seems the No. 51 is so if the cards align, there’s an outside chance Haley can shock the NASCAR universe for the second time in his career.

MORE: Racing Insights predicts Loudon | 2024 Cup Series schedule

Before each race weekend, check back into The Field of 16 to see the latest projections of the 2024 Cup Series playoff field.

Throughout the 2024 NASCAR season, Ken Martin, director of historical content for the sanctioning body, will offer his suggestions on which historical races fans should watch from the NASCAR Classics library in preparation for each upcoming race weekend.

Martin has worked exclusively for NASCAR since 2008 but has been involved with the sport since 1982, overseeing various projects. He has worked in the broadcast booth for hundreds of races, assisting the broadcast team with different tasks. This includes calculating the “points as they run” for the historic 1992 finale, the Hooters 500 at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

The following suggestions are Ken’s picks to watch before this weekend’s USA Today 301 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.

1993 Slick 50 300:

The NASCAR Cup Series finally arrived to the Northeast in July 1993 for the first time, as the anticipation for the inaugural event at New Hampshire could be felt through the packed grandstands.

Fans from the area had a taste of NASCAR action as the Xfinity Series had raced at the track since 1990. The fans were treated to fields with top Cup Series stars like Dale Earnhardt, Darrell Waltrip and Davey Allison, to rising stars like Bobby Labonte and Jeff Gordon.

Earnhardt’s victory the previous Cup Series race at Daytona moved his lead in the series standings to 251 points over Dale Jarrett as he looked to continue his path to his sixth series title.

Qualifying for the inaugural event brought two surprises as Xfinity Series drivers Jeff Burton and Joe Nemechek put down strong runs in their first Cup Series attempt.

Burton, driving a No. 0 car for FILMAR Racing, qualified sixth, while Nemechek put his own operation in 15th.

It didn’t take long for the first yellow flag to come out after Mark Martin led the 40-car field to the start of the race. A three-car incident involving Ken Schrader, Ernie Irvan and Burton quickly slowed the field. Just a few laps later, Schrader’s day came to an end after yet another incident, this time also ending the day of Phil Parsons and Jerry O’Neil.

Burton’s day continued to go downhill as he slammed into the wall after he completed 86 laps, which seemingly ended his debut. That appeared to be the case until Hut Stricklin, who was battling food poisoning, needed a relief driver after struggling to stay in the car. Enter Burton, who hopped in the No. 27 Junior Johnson prepared Ford and eventually brought the car home 25th.

The battle for the victory came down to a plethora of Ford drivers as their fleet combined to lead 296 of the race’s 300 laps.

Rusty Wallace took the checkered flag, holding off Mark Martin to do so.

Possibly the biggest surprise of the day was Sterling Marlin, who was still looking for the first victory of his Cup Series career. Marlin started second, led a race-high 123 laps and finished sixth.

Hueytown, Alabama’s Allison finished third in what turned out to tragically be the final race of his career. The following day he was involved in a helicopter crash that in turn took his life on July 13.

A general view of New Hampshire.
NASCAR Research & Archives Center | Getty Images

2001 New Hampshire 300:

The Cup Series saw its September 16, 2001 race at New Hampshire get postponed until the end of the season due to the tragic September 11th attacks.

Qualifying for the race was not scheduled but the field was set by the points standings at the time of the postponement of the event in September. This put Jeff Gordon on the pole with Ricky Rudd alongside him for the race, which was held on a Friday afternoon.

The date change of the event also resulted in four cars from the original entry list withdrawing from the season finale for various reasons. Hermie Sadler, Morgan Shepherd, Rick Mast and Andy Houston did not make the trip to New Hampshire, setting up a 42-car field for the event.

Robby Gordon, who made his first start in the No. 31 car for Richard Childress Racing at the track earlier that season, started 31st in the race with no eyes on the team that struggled for most of the season.

That quickly changed.

The No. 24 of Jeff Gordon dominated the event to no surprise, leading 257 laps but it was the No. 31 of Robby Gordon who finished the race in Victory Lane.

The two had a hard battle for the victory, which resulted in Robby taking the lead and Jeff retaliating under caution, leading to a black flag from NASCAR and a 15th-place finish for the freshly crowned four-time champion Jeff Gordon.

It was the first victory of Robby Gordon’s NASCAR career, which started in 1991. It also was a happy finish to the season for the Childress organization, which was still dealing with the loss of Dale Earnhardt from the season-opening Daytona 500.

Jeff Gordon leads the field at New Hampshire.
Robert Laberge | ALLSPORT

2008 Lenox Industrial Tools 301:

The 17th race of the 2008 NASCAR Cup Series season came down to a handful of late-race pit decisions while dealing with impending rain.

Tony Stewart dominated the race, leading 132 laps but came down pit road after a caution slowed the field. Kurt Busch stayed out after the Lap-221 pit stop and tried to stretch his tank as Mother Nature approached on the radar.

The strategy played to Busch’s advantage, as the skies soon opened up. NASCAR soon called the race and made it official, handing the victory to Busch.

Strategy calls created a unique top of the board, as Michael Waltrip finished second and J.J. Yeley, Martin Truex Jr. and Elliott Sadler rounded out the top five.

Fireworks during the event between points-leader Kyle Busch and Juan Pablo Montoya saw Montoya get sent to the penalty box for two laps due to rough driving. The two drivers had multiple run-ins during the event, including Montoya slamming into Busch under yellow.

Kurt Busch celebrates in Victory Lane at New Hampshire.
Jerry Markland | Getty Images

You can watch these three races and hundreds more by visiting NASCAR Classics.

Gene Haas will remain a presence in NASCAR in 2025 but with a different outlook.

Haas Factory Team, led by Haas, will operate one of Stewart-Haas Racing’s Cup Series charters next season as the current iteration of the four-car program closes its doors upon the conclusion of the 2024 campaign. The team will additionally operate a two-car team in the Xfinity Series.

“My commitment to motorsports hasn’t changed, just the scope of my involvement,” Haas said in a release. “Operating a four-car Cup Series team has become too arduous but, at the same time, I still need a platform to promote Haas Automation and grow HaasTooling.com.

“Maintaining my presence in Cup allows Haas Automation to compete at NASCAR’s highest level, which is important to our customers and distributors. The Xfinity Series program provides a full weekend experience for our guests, and it delivers added depth and scale to our overall operation.”

MORE: SHR to close after 2024 season

Haas has owned or co-owned teams at NASCAR’s highest level since 2002 with the introduction of Haas CNC Racing, then a part-time team that entered three races with future NASCAR Hall-of-Famer Jack Sprague.

In 2008, Haas and another Hall-of-Famer Tony Stewart joined to form Stewart-Haas Racing for the 2009 Cup Series season, a two-car team with Stewart and 2008 Daytona 500 winner Ryan Newman behind the wheel.

The team immediately found success with Stewart in the 2009 NASCAR All-Star Race and enjoyed its first points-paying victory weeks later at Pocono Raceway. Stewart went on to win his third Cup Series championship in 2011, becoming the first driver to win the title as a team co-owner since Alan Kulwicki in 1992.

In all, Stewart-Haas Racing has collected 69 Cup Series wins and two Cup championships in its 16 seasons to date. Since joining the Xfinity Series, in 2017, the team has accumulated 22 series victories and won the championship in 2023 with Cole Custer.

According to the press release, Joe Custer will be the president of Haas Factory Team, which will operate out of the existing Stewart-Haas facility in Kannapolis, North Carolina. Drivers and team partners will be announced in the lead-up to the 2025 NASCAR season.

SHR’s current Cup driver roster includes Chase Briscoe, Noah Gragson, Ryan Preece and Sunoco Rookie of the Year contender Josh Berry. In the Xfinity Series, Custer pilots the No. 00 Ford while Riley Herbst drives the No. 98 Ford.

With 11 races remaining in the NASCAR Xfinity Series regular season and five playoff-eligible positions still to be decided, Saturday’s SciAps 200 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway (3:30 p.m. ET, USA Network, PRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio, NBC Sports App) could play a big role in setting the title vibe.

Only two drivers in the field — Justin Allgaier and Cup Series regular Christopher Bell — have won at New Hampshire previously. Allgaier scored his win in 2022 and has an impressive nine top-10 finishes in 12 starts and hasn’t finished worse than seventh since 2018. The driver of the No. 7 JR Motorsports Chevrolet is fourth in the championship with a victory at Darlington Raceway.

MORE: Xfinity standings | New Hampshire schedule

Bell, a two-time winner in the Cup Series this season, is looking to improve on an already stellar Magic Mile resume — winning the Xfinity race in all three of his starts (2018, 2019 and 2021). He will be driving the No. 20 Toyota this weekend for his Cup team, Joe Gibbs Racing.

Saturday’s race marks a chance at redemption for JGR’s Chandler Smith, who finished runner-up last year at New Hampshire. The JGR team has won seven of the last eight New Hampshire races, including John Hunter Nemechek’s victory last season. Smith is one of four drivers with two wins this season and sits only a single point behind championship leader Cole Custer in the standings.

The reigning series champion Custer, driver of the No. 00 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford, is still competing for his first win of the year but certainly has a good history at this New England track. He became the youngest winner in NASCAR’s national series history (16 years, 7 months, 28 days) when he claimed a Craftsman Truck Series race win at the track in 2014. He’s earned three top 10s in four NASCAR Xfinity Series starts at New Hampshire with a best showing of runner-up in 2019.

Chandler Smith leads the playoff picture, followed by two-time winners Austin Hill, Sam Mayer and Shane van Gisbergen. Allgaier and rookie Jesse Love also have secured a shot at the 2024 title with a win this year.

In addition to Custer, drivers also currently playoff-bound based on points are Sheldon Creed, Riley Herbst, AJ Allmendinger, Parker Kligerman and Sammy Smith.

This weekend the series regulars will have some added competition with three-time Whelen Modified Tour champion Justin Bonsignore set to make his series debut driving for JGR.

WATCH: Bonsignore ‘hoping to make everybody proud’

Practice for the SciAps 200 is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET Friday followed by qualifying at 4:45 p.m. ET. All the on-track action will be televised on USA Network and streamed on the NBC Sports App.

After Ryan Blaney’s dominant performance in the inaugural Cup race at Iowa, the series now gears up for a return to New Hampshire Motor Speedway for the USA Today 301 this Sunday (2 p.m. ET, USA, PRN Radio, Sirius XM NASCAR Radio).

RELATED: Set your Fantasy Live roster | Weekend schedule

According to the advanced metrics, Denny Hamlin is expected to win this weekend at New Hampshire, marking both his fourth victory of the year and his fourth career win at the track.

Hamlin’s stats at NHMS are not just consistent but dominant. In his 30 career starts there, Hamlin has finished in the top two nine times. In the last five contests there, Hamlin has finished in the top 10. If we peel back even further, he’s finished in the top 15 over the last 12 New Hampshire races.

While Hamlin has yet to crack a top-five finish at the circuit in the Next Gen era, he does have the third-most wins since the start of the 2022 season (eight) and is tied with three other drivers for the most top-five finishes this season with seven. Plus, he led the second-most laps this season (607). All signs point to collecting another win soon.

Following Hamlin in the projections are Team Penske’s Blaney, Hamlin’s Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Martin Truex Jr. and the Hendrick Motorsports pair of William Byron and Chase Elliott. Kyle Larson, Christopher Bell, Joey Logano, Brad Keselowski and Tyler Reddick complete the projected top 10.

OTHER DRIVERS TO WATCH

MARTIN TRUEX JR.: With Truex set to retire from full-time racing at the end of 2024, it wouldn’t be right to see him walk away without one more trip to Victory Lane. At New Hampshire in the Next Gen era, he has won all four stages and led 426 out of 602 laps (71%).

CHASE ELLIOTT: Elliott is having a career year. He grabbed the points lead after Iowa, and his 9.12 average finish — a career high through 17 races — remains the best in the series. While no Hendrick driver has won at the circuit since 2012, with the season Elliott is having, that could change Sunday.

BUBBA WALLACE: Wallace is in a tight battle with Logano for the final playoff spot. Sunday presents a prime opportunity for him to either provisionally lock into the playoffs or extend his six-point lead over the two-time champ. He has two top-10 finishes at NHMS in the Next Gen era.

TY GIBBS: Four of the last eight New Hampshire winners tallied their first win of the season. Gibbs is still in search of his first career victory. Lucky for him, the New England facility is the track the JGR camp excels at, with the last two winners being Truex and Christopher Bell.

JOSH BERRY: The No. 4 Ford was firing on all cylinders last week at Iowa. Berry led 32 laps and scored his third top-10 finish of the season. Expect the momentum to keep rolling at another flat track this weekend.

RACING INSIGHTS’ PROJECTIONS FOR USA TODAY 301

Racing Insights’ advanced statistical formula includes current track, current track type, recent performance, team data and pit-crew data to arrive at a projected winner and full race results.

FinishCar NumberDriver
111Denny Hamlin
212Ryan Blaney
319Martin Truex Jr.
49Chase Elliott
524William Byron
65Kyle Larson
720Christopher Bell
822Joey Logano
96Brad Keselowski
1045Tyler Reddick
111Ross Chastain
1223Bubba Wallace
1314Chase Briscoe
1448Alex Bowman
158Kyle Busch
1617Chris Buescher
1799Daniel Suárez
1854Ty Gibbs
1943Erik Jones
2034Michael McDowell
212Austin Cindric
223Austin Dillon
234Josh Berry
2441Ryan Preece
2551Justin Haley
2610Noah Gragson
2777Carson Hocevar
2838Todd Gilliland
2947Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
3021Harrison Burton
317Corey LaJoie
3231Daniel Hemric
3316Ty Dillon
3442John Hunter Nemechek
3571Zane Smith
3615Kaz Grala

Editor’s Note: The Mohegan Sun 100 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway, which was originally scheduled for 6:30 p.m. ET Saturday, was rescheduled for 10 a.m. Saturday morning. This story was published before the event was rescheduled.

A unique doubleheader awaits 2010 NASCAR Whelen Modified Tour champion Bobby Santos III this weekend.

Santos will start the weekend racing in a USAC Silver Crown Series event Friday at Wisconsin’s Madison International Speedway. He’ll hopefully end it by competing in Saturday’s NASCAR Whelen Modified Tour Mohegan Sun 100 at New Hampshire Motor Speedway (10 a.m. ET on FloRacing).

The opportunity to compete in both events is something Santos, a six-time Modified Tour winner at New Hampshire, didn’t think was possible when the schedule was released late last year.

“New Hampshire switching from a typical July race to June kind of threw a curveball at me,” Santos said. “New Hampshire in the Modified is one of my favorite races. I was originally pretty disappointed thinking that I was going to miss it and not be able to do it.

“As time went on, I talked to Joe (Stearns) and the guys on the No. 14 team, and they kind of threw an option at me to make it possible to get there in time to run the race.”

BUY TICKETS: Saturday’s Mods race at New Hampshire

As was the case for Kyle Larson’s attempted Indianapolis-Charlotte double last month, there are a variety of unique variables for Santos as he attempts his Madison-New Hampshire double this weekend.

Unlike Larson, Santos won’t be leaving directly from Madison International Speedway to jump on a private jet. He’ll instead pile into a car with his parents to make the two-hour drive to Chicago once his duties with DJ Racing at Madison are complete.

Then, first thing Saturday morning, Santos will board a flight from Chicago to Boston, where he will then start the one hour and 23-minute drive to Loudon, New Hampshire, to compete in the Mohegan Sun 100 in the No. 14 Advantage Motorsports Modified.

If everything goes according to plan, Santos should make it to New Hampshire with plenty of time to spare.

“No private charters for me,” Santos said with a laugh. “We’re definitely relying on commercial airlines.”

However, even if everything goes perfectly, Santos will face major challenges Saturday evening.

To compete Friday at Madison, Santos will have to forgo practice and qualifying at New Hampshire. Advantage Motorsports will have Jacob Lutz in the No. 14 to practice and qualify the car for Santos. As a result, Santos will be forced to start Saturday’s race from the rear of the field.

Ryan Newman
Ryan Newman, Bobby Santos III and Jacob Lutz have all driven the Advantage Motorsports No. 14 Modified in NASCAR Whelen Modified Tour events in 2024. (Photo: Adam Fenwick/NASCAR)

Lutz, who finished sixth in his Modified Tour debut in the most recent event at Seekonk Speedway, will remain on standby just in case Santos doesn’t arrive on time.

“I feel like I’m used to driving different race cars,” said Santos, who has raced and won in a variety of different cars ranging from Modifieds to Sprint Cars and everything in between. “From that side of it, I’m pretty confident. From the other side of it, I’m very confident in Joe’s team and (crew chief) Billy Putney and Jacob Lutz and all those guys to bring a well-prepared race car to where hopefully I can just hop in and run well and pass cars.”

Santos is no stranger to New Hampshire; his six Modified Tour wins at the track are more than any other active driver. He’s tied with Reggie Ruggiero for third overall at New Hampshire, with only Tony Hirschman (seven wins) and Mike Stefanik (eight) ahead of him.

RELATED: How to watch the Modified Tour at the Magic Mile

In fact, six of Santos’ last seven Modified Tour victories dating back to 2014 came at New Hampshire. His most recent New Hampshire win was in 2020, with that victory doubling as his most recent Modified Tour triumph.

The 38-year-old from Franklin, Massachusetts is a 12-time feature winner in USAC Silver Crown Series competition to go along with his 19 wins with the Modified Tour.

Currently ranked seventh in the USAC Silver Crown Series standings, Santos believes he has a real chance at winning one or both races this weekend. If he didn’t think he could win, he says, then he wouldn’t be traveling more than 1,100 miles in 24 hours.

“I wouldn’t be doing this if that wasn’t the goal or the expectations,” Santos said. “I feel like these are both tracks that I’m capable of winning at. I have capable teams on both sides. Capable people around me on both sides. Again, we wouldn’t be doing this if we didn’t feel we could run both races and have shots at winning both races.

“If the situation is right, I think that you can pass cars and potentially win the race from the back (at New Hampshire). A lot of other race tracks I feel like it probably wouldn’t make sense, but being New Hampshire, a place where you can race and pass well, it’s a place where I think we can make it work.”

Here’s what’s happening in the world of NASCAR with Iowa Speedway in the rearview and New Hampshire Motor Speedway (Sun., 2:30 p.m. ET, USA) right around the corner.

THE LINEUP ️

1️⃣ Single-digit races left — who else might sneak into the playoffs?

2️⃣ Will Toyota regain its footing at the ‘Magic Mile?’

3️⃣ Aw Shucks: How Kyle Larson’s Iowa race unraveled

4️⃣ Loudon — the track for title winners

5️⃣ Catch the pack — news and notes from around the garage

kyle busch looks on
Getty Images

1. Single-digit races left — who else might sneak into the playoffs?

Reigning champion Ryan Blaney locked up another playoff spot at Iowa. With nine regular-season races remaining before the field is set, take a look at who might join him. 
Ask around and you probably won’t find a whole lot of people out there who didn’t have defending champion Ryan Blaney in their preseason playoff grids.

Still, No. 12’s win at Iowa Speedway does take one more potential playoff spot off the board for those not yet locked in, and there are some rather large names currently slated to miss this year’s postseason.

Bubba Wallace holds the final playoff spot, plus-six to the elimination line. Here are the drivers inside the top 30 in points but below him in the standings, and their most likely tracks to cash in for a win.

(Note: Daniel Suárez and Austin Cindric are 18th and 19th in the standings, respectively, but each have a win to slot them into the provisional playoff field.)

15. Joey Logano, No. 22 Team Penske Ford
Best remaining track: Michigan (12.3 avg. finish, three wins)
Dark-horse opportunity: Indianapolis (10.8 avg. finish, no wins)

16. Kyle Busch, No. 8 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet
Best remaining track: Richmond (7.4 avg. finish, six wins)
Dark-horse opportunity: Indianapolis (12.1 avg. finish, two wins)

17. Chase Briscoe, No. 14 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford
Best remaining track: Darlington (16.3 avg. finish, one top five)
Dark-horse opportunity: Loudon (17.3 avg. finish, one top 10)

20. Todd Gilliland, No. 38 Front Row Motorsports Ford
Best remaining track: Darlington (19.0 avg. finish, three top 15s)
Dark-horse opportunity: Indianapolis (20.5 avg. finish, one top five)

21. Josh Berry, No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford
Best remaining track: Richmond (6.5 avg. finish, one top five)
Dark-horse opportunity: Darlington (16.5 avg. finish, one top five)

22. Michael McDowell, No. 34 Front Row Motorsports Ford
Best remaining track: Daytona (20.9 avg. finish, one win)
Dark-horse opportunity: Darlington (25.8 avg. finish, 3 top 10s)

23. Carson Hocevar, No. 77 Spire Motorsports Chevrolet
Best remaining track: Atlanta (19th in only Cup start)
Dark-horse opportunity: Richmond (27th in only Cup start; one Craftsman Truck Series win)

24. Noah Gragson, No. 10 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford
Best remaining track: Daytona (17.3 avg. fin, one top five, two top 10s)
Dark-horse opportunity: Darlington (20.0 avg. finish; two Xfinity Series wins)

25. Ricky Stenhouse Jr., No. 47 JTG-Daugherty Racing Chevrolet
Best remaining track: Daytona (20.4 avg. finish, two wins)
Dark-horse opportunity: Atlanta (19.1 avg. finish, three top 10s)

26. Erik Jones, No. 43 Legacy Motor Club Toyota
Best remaining track: Darlington (12.4 avg. finish, two wins)
Dark-horse opportunity: Daytona (21.5 avg. finish, one win)

27. Ryan Preece, No. 41 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford
Best remaining track: Daytona (22.9 avg. finish, one top five, three top 10s)
Dark-horse opportunity: Michigan (19.3 avg. finish, one top 10)

28. John Hunter Nemechek, No. 42 Legacy Motor Club Toyota
Best remaining track: Daytona (9.7 avg. finish, one top 10)
Dark-horse opportunity: Atlanta (22.0 avg. finish; one Xfinity Series win)

29. Corey LaJoie, No. 7 Spire Motorsports Chevrolet
Best remaining track: Daytona (17.2 avg. finish, one top five, five top 10s)
Dark-horse opportunity: Atlanta (21.5 avg. finish, two top fives)

30. Justin Haley, No. 51 Rick Ware Racing Ford
Best remaining track: Daytona (18. 8 avg. finish, one win, two top 10s)
Dark-horse opportunity: Atlanta (18.1 avg. finish, two top 10s)

Several can still get in on points, but a victory is the surest path to the postseason (not to mention the only path for some of the above), so where might they win to clinch their spots? Honestly, plenty of the driver/track combos listed above stand as reasonable options that could come to fruition.

Busch has shown he can win anywhere throughout his career and it’s hard to picture a playoff field without him, but if he gets to Richmond still riding what will then be a career-long 43-race-winless streak and leaves Virginia without a winner’s sticker … well, sorry, Rowdy Nation. Might not be happening this year.

Logano feels like he’s right on the verge of joining his teammates in the playoffs, and it could happen this weekend. Jones could pop up and crank out yet another Southern 500 win despite a down year, Berry could continue to show the field how it’s done on short tracks with a Richmond romp, Gragson could give the SHR shop something to smile about by rekindling his NXS success at Darlington, you name it.

Heck, any of these guys could pull it off with two drafting-style races remaining. Certainly, you look at recent Daytona 500 champs McDowell and Stenhouse as the most likely among the crop there.

Of course, none of that could happen, too; stock-car racing surprises us every week. That’s why we watch, right?

There’s lots of racing left before we know who’s vying for this year’s title — and on a wide variety of tracks — and anything goes as things start to heat up. The pressure’s on.

general shot of NHMS
Getty Images

2. Will Toyota regain its footing at the ‘Magic Mile’?
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After stumbling at Iowa and just one win in the last six races, will the manufacturer reestablish its early-season momentum in Loudon?

Toyota entered Sunday’s race at Iowa Speedway with three drivers in the top six favorites to win the inaugural race at the 0.875-mile short track.

It left the Hawkeye State with one top-10 finisher, and he didn’t even score any stage points.

The first portion of the season was all Toyota and Chevrolet — namely Joe Gibbs Racing and Hendrick Motorsports — with a Ford-backed team not picking up its first win until Darlington in Race 13. Toyota has just one win since then … and it was a rain-shortened one at that.

There are no long-term concerns here — such is the ebb and flow of the Next Gen, as we’ve learned — and it wouldn’t be a shocker to see the manufacturer land two or three drivers in the Championship 4 later this season. It is worth considering, though, if it will be able to reach into its spell book and find the magic once again this weekend in Loudon — especially considering the track’s similarities to fellow 1-mile Phoenix Raceway, where the Championship 4 will take place.

If Sunday again doesn’t go well for the Toyota group, it’s probably fair to start wondering if it’s been caught up to in some respects, and if it will be playing catch-up by the playoffs.

But we’re getting ahead of ourselves. It’s entirely possible JGR and 23XI Racing  (heck, maybe even Legacy Motor Club; Nemechek won the Xfinity race last year) come out and smash everybody this weekend at the “Magic Mile,” a longtime stomping ground.

Soon-to-be-mostly-retired Martin Truex Jr. enters as the defending race winner, having won seven of the 16 stages at New Hampshire, including the last four. JGR’s 13 wins there make it the track the team has the fifth-most wins at, and last year four of the top eight finishers all drove Toyotas.

Ford is just as formidable at the track — Team Penske, in particular, but RFK Racing could have a sneaky good weekend as well — and is likely Toyota’s top competition on Sunday, especially given how the tides have turned for the Blue Ovals.

A major factor going for Toyota’s prospects this weekend, though? Chevrolets aren’t … great there. Like, at all.

I won’t be surprised if Kyle Larson — a three-time NHMS runner-up — makes me eat my words here and wins his first lobster, but it’s notable that Hendrick heads to a staple of the annual Cup schedule and none of its current lineup of drivers have won at it. That’s a rarity. (Byron has the only national series win there among them — a Truck Series win in 2016 driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports … in a Toyota.)

In fact, Busch is the only current Chevrolet driver, period, that has a New Hampshire Cup win and, well, you can probably guess which manufacturer that was with.

The struggles do indeed extend beyond just Hendrick. Chevy has just one win at Loudon in the last 17 races (with Kevin Harvick, who switched to Ford the following season).  The manufacturer has a whopping 163 Cup wins overall since its last “Magic Mile” victory, coming at the hands of Kasey Kahne in July 2012.

It has led just 18% of Loudon laps since then.

Needless to say, if Toyota drivers leave New Hampshire as empty-handed as they did Iowa … your ears should perk up a little.

3. Aw shucks, how Kyle Larson lost the points lead

Todd Gordon and Luke Lambert break down how Kyle Larson’s day unraveled at Iowa as we head into New Hampshire.

4. Loudon — the track for title winners

Twelve of the last 15 New Hampshire winners are NASCAR Cup Series champions — will a fresh face break the trend or will a title winner once again reign supreme?

DateWinnerChampionship
9/22/2013Matt Kenseth2003
7/13/2014Brad Keselowski2012
9/21/2014Joey Logano2018
7/19/2015Kyle Busch2015/2019
9/27/2015Matt Kenseth2003
7/17/2016Matt Kenseth2003
9/25/2016Kevin Harvick2014
7/16/2017Denny Hamlin
9/24/2017Kyle Busch2015/2019
7/22/2018Kevin Harvick2014
7/21/2019Kevin Harvick2014
8/2/2020Brad Keselowski2012
7/18/2021Aric Almirola
7/17/2022Christopher Bell
7/17/2023Martin Truex Jr.2017

5. Catch the pack — news and notes from around the garage

Paint Scheme Preview: Loudon

NASCAR betting: Opening odds for New Hampshire

Who should replace Martin Truex Jr. at JGR?

Drivers to win in all three national series at a track

Ryan Blaney celebrates Iowa breakthrough with heartfelt family gathering

Change can be scary. It’s something Riley Herbst tried to avoid at this time last season, despite Stewart-Haas Racing’s desire to pair Chase Briscoe with a new crew chief, Richard Boswell. It was an effort to reform a dominant duo that took the Xfinity Series by storm in 2020 with nine victories.

As the NASCAR Xfinity Series entered a pair of road courses last spring, Herbst learned what was coming. Stewart-Haas informed Herbst that his new crew chief would be Davin Restivo, the lead engineer for Aric Almirola in the Cup Series.

RELATED: Herbst driver page | More Herbst stats

“It wasn’t welcomed at the beginning,” Herbst said of the change. “It’s not that I didn’t want to get rid of [Boswell] or I didn’t want Davin, because the furthest from the truth. But I didn’t think it was to the best standards of the company to change my crew chief a little bit more than a [third] of the way through the season. I didn’t think that was truly fair, just because higher-ups wanted Briscoe and Boswell back together because of their 2020 campaign.

“I had to take that medicine and move on with it. I think that’s what frustrated me the most about the whole thing. Not that Richard was leaving or that I was getting Davin because ultimately Davin is awesome, and I like him, it’s just the fact of how they did it.”

Despite working for the same company, the new pair never spoke before Sonoma Raceway, when Restivo helped Almirola when he won for RSS Racing. After Sonoma, the series had a bye week before picking up at Nashville Superspeedway.

Restivo was on vacation at the beach when he was told he would be the new crew chief of the No. 98 Ford. Since entering the sport in 2013 with NTS Motorsports in the Craftsman Truck Series, he served as an engineer for multiple race teams, including stops at Turner-Scott Motorsports and Chip Ganassi Racing.

Herbst and Restivo traded phone calls to ensure that they were on the same page when the season resumed at Nashville.

“I kept telling him, ‘I know you don’t know me, and I don’t know you, but I’m going to give you 110%, so let’s go win some races,'” Restivo recalled. “I feel like we hit on that.”

The No. 98 team started off strong with a runner-up finish at Nashville. Boswell helped set up the No. 98 car before Nashville as Herbst said Restivo was instructed not to change the setup.

Beginning at the Chicago Street Race, Restivo began using his own philosophies. The No. 98 team scored three straight finishes of 20th or worse and backed that up with three finishes of sixth or better. The inconsistency continued late into the regular season; the No. 98 car suffered a suspension failure at Watkins Glen International, and Herbst was involved in a wreck at Daytona International Speedway, putting him below the elimination line. With finishes of sixth and 23rd to end the regular season, Herbst missed the playoffs.

Missing the playoffs is “extremely unacceptable” and a “failure” for one of Ford’s top teams in the Xfinity Series. Personnel changes were made, but Herbst and Restivo stuck together through hard times.

“It would have been easy for me to jump ship,” Herbst said. “A lot of people thought I was going to jump ship. I didn’t really want to because I knew how fast we could be and the potential we could have. The stats sheet don’t look good. If you look into my stats, they say what they say, but there are a lot of asterisks next to them.

“I think what Davin and I had and what Stewart-Haas had, [Greg Zipadelli] and everyone who stuck behind me and what we could build and do, I just wanted to see that through.”

With more experience atop the pit box and managing a race team for the first time, Restivo became more secure. He believes that was the biggest hurdle to overcome.

Riley Herbst celebrates in Victory Lane following his NASCAR Xfinity Series victory at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Chris Graythen | Getty Images

By missing the postseason, Herbst solely chased race victories. He ended the season with a career-high five straight top-five finishes, including a dominant, 15-second victory at Las Vegas Motor Speedway, his home track.

“We finally [won], and that calmed everyone down and gave everybody life,” Herbst said.

This week’s race at New Hampshire Motor Speedway marks one year since the pairing ran their first race together. During that time, both have become more familiar with each other and Herbst is in a much better playoff position than a season ago, ranking seventh in the regular season standings — one point behind fifth — 91 points above the elimination line.

“Riley has grown a lot over the last year,” Restivo said. “Going from Week 1 of us communicating on the radio to today, he’s way more mature, confident and his answers last year, there seemed to be some questionable comments. Now, he’s aged five years overnight. He’s starting to prep himself for the next level.”

Herbst has enjoyed working with Restivo and has also seen his growth in running a race team.

“Davin is a young, eager person who wants to make it to the next level and win on this level,” Herbst said. “It’s kind of like a rejuvenation and a shot in the arm for myself and the whole Xfinity shop.”

Restivo believes the turning point in the No. 98 team’s chemistry came in a Cup Series race at Talladega Superspeedway. Herbst was in contention for the victory and gave Ryan Blaney the winning push.

“As soon as that race was over, he texted me and said, ‘Did you see that? That was awesome; I could have won that race. We’re going to go win one now,’ Restivo remembered. “Two weeks later, we showed up to Vegas and knocked it out of the park.”

MORE: Xfinity Series standings | Xfinity Series schedule

The No. 98 team has bounced back despite news surrounding SHR. The team announced on May 28 that it would close at the end of the season, affecting both the Cup and Xfinity Series teams. Herbst and Restivo both know they are trying to impress on the race track to secure a stable future.

Herbst has been in the rumor mill of where he could land in 2025. Ultimately, he just wants it to be enjoyable.

“I want to have fun,” Herbst added. “I want to go to the race track and feel what I’m doing this year, which I’m going to give it my best effort, and my best effort is going to be competitive, and I’m going to have a good time.”

Daniel Suárez hears the American national anthem every race day during the NASCAR Cup Series season, taking part in the pre-race tradition just minutes before the green flag each week. Tuesday afternoon, with hand over heart at the Charlotte field office of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, “The Star-Spangled Banner” felt a bit different for the Mexican-born driver.

Suárez was sworn in as a United States citizen on Tuesday, joining 48 candidates from 28 countries in a naturalization ceremony as a group of the newest Americans. Suárez — and all 47 others — received a citizenship certificate from NASCAR President Steve Phelps, a surprise guest who was present for the oath-taking and delivered the keynote address.

RELATED: Cup Series standings | New Hampshire schedule

For Suárez, who came to America 12 years ago to pursue a racing career, Tuesday’s ceremonies represented a crucial next step in his stateside journey. The Trackhouse Racing driver’s celebration of his Mexican culture has been a significant part of that ride, but now he has another anthem he can call his own.

“It is different because now I feel like I have a little bit of a part in it,” Suárez said upon hearing the U.S. anthem in Tuesday’s program. “I don’t know if that makes sense. I don’t know, but it does feel a little bit different. It’s almost like, OK, now that’s part of myself.”

Suárez was joined by his fiancée, Julia Piquet, and Trackhouse Racing president Ty Norris and other team representatives at Tuesday’s ceremony. Phelps’ arrival was news to Suárez, who embraced his friend before the 45-minute program.

“I’ve known about this for a couple of months, and it was a surprise, so Daniel was unaware of this,” said Phelps, who admitted to a mild case of nerves with the new experience. “But when the Trackhouse folks asked me to do it, I was absolutely thrilled. So, it means a lot to me, and Daniel and I have a special relationship, and to see him fulfill a dream to become a U.S. citizen, I just feel honored I was here.”

The new citizens were greeted by a welcoming video address from President Joe Biden, who noted their shared courage in carving out a path in a nation full of opportunity. Phelps also made special recognition of Suárez’s resilience in his speech, noting how he charted his racing career from modest beginnings to becoming a winner at the top level of the sport.

When Suárez arrived in America, he was a 19-year-old prospect in what’s now called the ARCA Menards Series East, landing here with just two seasons of racing in the NASCAR Mexico Series under his belt. He made learning English quickly his priority, to better communicate with his racing team, sponsors and fans, getting a quick grasp of the language by watching television — specifically, cartoons.

Just five years later, he became an Xfinity Series champion who was soon promoted to the Cup Series ranks. After starting out in NASCAR’s big leagues driving for three teams in his first four seasons, he found a home with Trackhouse and became the first Mexico native to win a Cup Series race in 2022. He is now in his fourth year of wheeling the team’s No. 99 Chevrolet — which was on display in show-car form in the USCIS parking lot Tuesday.

It might be hackneyed to call Suárez’s journey and achievements through racing an American dream, but his story so far fits that mold.

“Honestly, a lot of people have been telling me that, and I don’t like to brag or anything like that, but I feel like it is,” Suárez said. “If you think about it, I came from a family with no money, I grew up in a small house, it was five of us with a two-bedroom apartment, a two-bedroom house with one bathroom. Like I grew up in a very humble family and a lot of people don’t know all the details, but to come here from being in Mexico, going to public school in Mexico and not having really much money, and coming here without speaking English, with not having the contacts, not having really the racing background, and being able to learn the language, making it to Drive 4 Diversity, racing in NASCAR, win races, win a championship and make it to the top of NASCAR in a sport that 15 years ago, every person that I knew, they were telling me that there was no way, that it was a very American sport. I feel like it is, and hopefully I can bring awareness to people to not let anyone tell you can’t.”

MORE: Photos from Suárez’s naturalization ceremony

The journey to citizenship has been its own path, and Suárez explained the various types of U.S. visas he’s had to apply for — all the way to his Permanent Resident Card, or “green card” — and the work involved to secure them. His studies for his citizenship test were extensive, and learning about the USA’s purchase of the Louisiana Territory from France in 1803, when America was still a young nation, was particularly eye-opening.

“Honestly, being part of this journey in the last few years has really taught me a lot,” he said. “I really hope that a lot of people have the experiences and the opportunity to go through something like this, because it really teaches you a lot of things in life. I feel that I won’t take this for granted. Maybe some people take some things for granted, and for me, I will never take this for granted because I know how much it cost me to get here and to get these opportunities and to be able to work hard and to be part of this group of people that they were able to accomplish the same thing that I did is very special.

“I just hope that this is the beginning of something great, and I can be the example for many people from my country, South America, Europe, you name it, Asia, to come to this country, to work hard, to be disciplined and to do things the right way, because in my mind, if you do all these things right, there is no question you’re going to be successful.”

Suárez said his next stop in the process would be registering to vote, a new privilege that comes with citizenship. Aside from potentially hearing the American anthem in a different light — “I’ll let you know on Sunday,” he says — Suárez insisted he’ll be the same person he’s always been, one who also celebrates his Mexican citizenship and shares his home country’s traditions.

The 32-year-old driver’s next opportunity to embrace his culture with fans comes Thursday in Chicago, where Suárez and Trackhouse have planned the largest gathering of his “Daniel’s Amigos” community in the lead-up to NASCAR’s second annual Chicago Street Race Weekend on July 6-7.

“Super excited for that. I’m sure that I’m going to be talking a lot about what happened today,” Suárez said. “I’m sure a lot of people there are Mexican-Americans, and there’s a lot of people there that are looking forward to one day having an oath ceremony like the one I had today. So hopefully I can inspire some people and push them to do things the right way.”

Daniel Suárez and NASCAR President Steve Phelps at the Charlotte field office of U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services.
Alejandro Alvarez | NASCAR Digital Media