Kyle Larson won the Busch Pole Qualifying Award and will start in the top position in Sunday’s Toyota/Save Mart 350 (3 p.m. ET on FS1, PRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio) at Sonoma Raceway. After two practice sessions and qualifying, we’ve dissected the numbers and 10-lap averages to offer a suggested lineup worthy of your Fantasy Live consideration as you go to make roster decisions for the 16th Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race of 2018. Remember that the garage locks at the end of Stage 2.
RJ Kraft’s revised Fantasy Live lineup following practices and the lineup being set:
1: AJ Allmendinger
2: Jimmie Johnson
3: Jamie McMurray
4: Chase Elliott
5: Clint Bowyer
Garage: Kurt Busch
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MORE: Fantasy analysis for Sonoma | Driver stats | Full lineup | 10-lap averages
Analysis: My main plan going into this weekend is to minimize my uses of the big names as best as possibility so I am leaving the big three of Kevin Harvick, Kyle Busch and Martin Truex Jr. on the sideline. Despite his spot on the pole, I am leaving Larson on the sideline as well — even though I have the uses to cover a play there. The thing with the California native is that qualifying at the road course has never been an issue, it’s been the end results with an average finish of 20.2. The other catch for me with Larson is I look at the summer stretch of Chicago, Kentucky, New Hampshire, Pocono and Michigan as great spots to get him in.
The only change from my original six-driver group is I am taking out Paul Menard in favor of Chase Elliott. The driver of the No. 9 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet qualified a surprising third and finished in the top 10 here last year. I would gladly take that again. The reason for Elliott over Larson is I feel comfortable with the No. 42 team for a number of races on the remaining schedule and I’m not sure how much I’d use Elliott moving forward. I gave some strong consideration to William Byron as well as I haven’t used him at all, but I just felt a little more comfortable with Elliott. I have only used Allmendinger, Johnson and McMurray a total of one time this season.
Bowyer and Kurt Busch did not qualify well — 19th and 23rd respectively but I trust in their Sonoma histories as they each have a win, seven top fives and nine top 10s here. They both led the two practice sessions as well. If all goes according to plan, I will only have one of them active and I’ll leave the other in the garage. Denny Hamlin falls in the same boat as he has had speed this weekend and has the most points in the past two Sonoma races. However, he qualified 21st and I’m a little lighter on uses with him so he stays off my roster. For my race winner pick, looking at someone out of the Bowyer-Hamlin-Harvick trio.