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TALLADEGA, Ala. — He’s Talladega’s favorite son, and Dale Earnhardt Jr. has everything in place to have a magical weekend — a successful Talladega history, unwavering support from the locals and a car that has proven success at plate tracks.
That last item might be the most important.
Junior’s No. 88 Chevrolet — sporting a “cursed” Diet Mountain Dew scheme, as he joked on Twitter earlier is this week — is actually the same chassis that’s been to Victory Lane three times this year. It won the first Daytona Duel in February, at Talladega in May and again at Daytona in July.
At a place such as the massive 2.66-mile oval, the largest in NASCAR, having confidence in what’s under him is more important to Earnhardt Jr. than anything else.
“We’ve won here this year and we’ve ran good and won at Daytona over the last several years,” Earnhardt said Friday. “So when we come to all the plate tracks we feel confident we can do well, and we feel confident in the car. The confidence that you have in the car is really where it all stems from. When you don’t believe in the car, you make (worse) decisions.”
The success here doesn’t hurt, either — Junior is tied with Jeff Gordon among all active drivers with six wins at Talladega. His dad, “The Intimidator”, is the all-time winner here with 10, and this weekend is the 15-year anniversary of Dale Earnhardt’s 76th and final career win.
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Earnhardt Jr. recounted some of that 2000 race with alarming accuracy Friday, noting that the pressure also gets ratcheted up — Chase or no Chase — at Talladega because of the Earnhardt legacy of excellence here.
The Chase for the NASCAR Sprint Cup playoffs, of course, only adds to that. Sunday’s CampingWorld.com 500 (2 p.m. ET, NBCSN, MRN, SiriusXM) is a postseason elimination race, and Earnhardt Jr. almost certainly must win it to advance to the eight-driver Eliminator Round.
“There’s no denying the intensity and pressure it puts on drivers like myself to be in a cutoff situation where you’re eliminated if things don’t go perfectly on Sunday,” Earnhardt said. “But I think it’s what the fans enjoy. If I’m a fan, I like it.”
The Hendrick Motorsports driver finds himself in this position after a pair of finishes outside the top 20 earlier in the round. He finished 28th at Charlotte, the opening race of the 12-driver Contender Round, following an incident with Carl Edwards and several ensuing trips into the wall.
A 21st-place finish last week at Kansas deepened his hole and put Earnhardt Jr. 31 points behind eighth-place Martin Truex Jr., who is in the cutoff spot.
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Sunday is not mathematically a must-win scenario to advance in the postseason, but it’s close.
Here’s an example. If Junior finishes second Sunday and leads at least one lap, but not the most laps in the race, he would earn 43 points. In order for him to advance in the postseason, Kevin Harvick (fifth in the standings), Jeff Gordon (sixth) and Brad Keselowski (seventh) would all have to finish 34th or worse; Truex Jr. would have to finish 33rd or worse; and Kyle Busch and Ryan Newman, ninth and 10th in the standings, respectively, would have to finish outside the top 25.
So, yeah, winning makes everything simpler. And winning at Talladega is something the Earnhardts do better than anybody else.
“We’re trying to do as good a job as we can, and when the race starts we want to run up front and try to stay toward the lead,” Earnhardt Jr. said. “I think I need to be in the lead with 30 or 20 (laps) to go to have a really, really good shot at it.
“Hopefully it’s exciting, but I’d love to lead the last 30 straight.”

