When asked about his 2024 race season, Tyler Leary had a quick response: “It was fantastic.”
The Hatfield, Massachusetts native won track championships in the Modified divisions at both Monadnock Speedway and Hudson Speedway in New Hampshire. The two titles brought him to five for his career; it was his first championship at Monadnock and second straight at Hudson.
“That was a feat that we were looking to tackle in my career since we started open wheel racing three or four years ago, so that was pretty cool to be able to do that,” he said.
Last year marked Leary’s most successful season since he started racing more than a decade ago. Part of the reason: He partnered with a friend who became his crew chief to drive their car at Claremont at Hudson.
“He’s been around racing a long time, and he just helped build a ton of consistency in our program, which is definitely something we’ve struggled with in past years, just putting a whole season together,” Leary said. “I feel like as I age in modified racing that I’m starting to be able to feel what the car is doing, give better feedback as a driver.
“I’m getting more comfortable behind the wheel. I mean, I’ve been racing a long time, and I’m still pretty young, but I feel like I’m kind of mastering the craft of open wheel racing.”
The championships weren’t won easy. Leary throughout the year built a large points lead at Monadnock. Three weeks before championship night, he was up by 56 points, but he suffered a right front flat tire in back-to-back weeks halfway through the feature races, leading to two DNFs.
Going into championship night, his lead had dwindled to just four points.
“Because of how the handicap system works, we started up front championship night and never looked back,” he said. “So that was good. At least we were able to capitalize on that, but we did have some poor fortune in the last few weeks that definitely made it interesting. Very stressful.
“I’ve kept my cool behind the wheel the last few years, but it reminded me of my old self, that’s for sure.”
In the previous two seasons, Leary finished second and third in the New Hampshire state standings. The prior disappointment made the first state title that much sweeter.
“It’s cool. It’s awesome,” he said. “It’s something that me and my whole team, that was kind of our goal at the beginning of the year. Obviously, we want to win as many races as we can, and you always watch the points, but I think our team’s main goal when we set out this season was, let’s chase the championship, so we ran as many races as we possibly could.
“We had some decent car counts this year, which really helped, obviously, with regional and national stuff, as well. The races that we needed to do well, and when car counts were their highest, we did, so that was a plus. It feels amazing.”
This season, Leary has a new suit to wear, as well as two championship helmets. Hudson will not run Modifieds for the track’s Division I series, so he’ll shift his focus to just Monadnock and Claremont, the latter at which he’s never won a title.
After a year like 2024, he knows it will be hard to top a career season, but Leary’s hopeful to continue improving as a driver and finding new goals as they come.
“I’m happy with where I’m at,” he said. “As a team, we’re super strong, and I’ve learned a ton over the past few years. Hopefully we can continue that this year.
“Just continue to build on our consistency. We didn’t really have much go bad that was technically our fault last year, but you’ve got to minimize your mistakes make sure there’s no failures on the cars and that kind of thing. So as long as we can stay consistent and win races, I think we’re going to have another fantastic year… Just always looking forward to the future.”
The 2025 NASCAR season begins at Claremont on April 25, and Monadnock will open the next day. Hudson begins racing on May 4.
Anyone who prizes numbers and statistics has to be impressed with Justin Allgaier’s collective NASCAR Xfinity Series performances at Bristol Motor Speedway, a record he’ll try to enhance in Saturday’s SciAps 300 (5 p.m. ET, The CW, PRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
With two victories at the high-banked 0.533-mile short track, Allgaier is the only driver in Saturday’s field who has won more than once in Thunder Valley. Kyle Larson, trying for a weekend triple, is the only other former Bristol winner on the entry list.
Allgaier has led 60 laps or more in the last eight Bristol races. He has led the most laps in five of the last six and has won eight of the last 16 stages at the track.
The No. 7 JR Motorsports Chevrolet driver already has two victories to his credit this season and tops the NASCAR Xfinity Series standings by a whopping 71 points over Haas Factory Team’s Sam Mayer.
It’s no wonder that Allgaier approaches Saturday’s race with supreme confidence.
“Bristol has always been one of my favorite tracks on the schedule,” said Allgaier, the only driver to finish on the lead lap in every race so far this season. “There’s just something about this place that has suited my driving style.
“It’s definitely a special feeling whenever we get to race here, and I can’t wait to get to the track this weekend and see what we can do with our Jarrett Chevrolet. We’ve had extremely strong cars here in the past, and I know that will be the case again come Saturday.”
The SciAps 300 is the season’s third Xfinity Dash 4 Cash race. Four eligible drivers — Allgaier, Austin Hill, Sheldon Creed and Brennan Poole — will compete for the $100,000 bonus that goes to the driver who finishes highest among the four.
Jesse Love, currently fifth in the Xfinity Series standings, will make his Cup Series debut on Sunday in the No. 33 Richard Childress Racing Chevrolet.
Katherine Legge and e.l.f. Cosmetics are teaming up to make several starts in the NASCAR Cup and Xfinity Series this year as Legge expands her involvement in stock car racing.
Legge will make her first of seven Xfinity Series starts on April 19 at Rockingham Speedway (4 p.m. ET, The CW, MRN Radio, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio), with her second Xfinity race scheduled for Charlotte Motor Speedway on May 24.
Her return to the Cup Series is slated for June 15 at Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez in Mexico City, where the circuit will host its first-ever international points-paying event since 1958.
Leggge became the eighth woman in the modern era to compete in NASCAR and the first since Danica Patrick in 2018 to race in the Cup Series, with her debut earlier this season at Phoenix Raceway.
“I’ve never felt more empowered than I do with e.l.f. by my side,” Legge said in a press release. “e.l.f. truly walks the walk when it comes to putting its community — and especially women in sports — in the, pun-intended, driver’s seat. I’m thrilled to work towards achieving my racing goals with my e.l.f. team alongside Team Chevy.
“I want to be respected as one of the best drivers in motorsport, and there is no better place to hone my skillset against the best of the best in front of the largest motorsport audience in the U.S. With the pivot to go all in on NASCAR, we are diversifying my own racing legacy as well as the paddock for future generations.”
e.l.f. first partnered with Legge for the 2023 Indy 500 and have supported her across different motorsports disciplines.
“As they say in NASCAR, we have found our groove,” said Kory Marchisotto, chief marketing officer, e.l.f. Beauty. “Fueling Katherine’s dream to be one of the best motorsports drivers of all time is our mission. Inspiring young athletes to fast track their own ambitions is our passion. Female NASCAR fans are more likely to watch sports on TV, listen on the radio and attend a live event than female fans of other sports. That’s our signal to lean the e.l.f. in with zero distance between us and the community.”
See below for Legge’s full 2025 NASCAR schedule.
April 19: Rockingham Speedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by e.l.f. Cosmetics
April 26: Talladega Superspeedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by e.l.f. Cosmetics
May 3: Texas Motor Speedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by Droplight, Sherfick Companies, and Desnuda Tequila
May 24: Charlotte Motor Speedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by e.l.f. Cosmetics
May 31: Nashville Superspeedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by e.l.f. Cosmetics
June 15: Autódromo Hermanos Rodríguez, NASCAR Cup Series with Live Fast Motorsports, sponsored by e.l.f. Cosmetics
June 27: Atlanta Motor Speedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by Droplight, Sherfick Companies, and Desnuda Tequila
July 6: Chicago Street Race, NASCAR Cup Series with Live Fast Motorsports
July 13: Sonoma Raceway, NASCAR Cup Series with Live Fast Motorsports, sponsored by e.l.f. Cosmetics
July 26: Indianapolis Motor Speedway, NASCAR Xfinity Series with Jordan Anderson Racing Bommarito Autosport, sponsored by Droplight, Sherfick Companies, and Desnuda Tequila
August 10: Watkins Glen International, NASCAR Cup Series with Live Fast Motorsports, sponsored by Droplight, Sherfick Companies, and Desnuda Tequila
August 17: Richmond Raceway, NASCAR Cup Series with Live Fast Motorsports
Four weeks removed from Christopher Bell winning his third consecutive race, his Joe Gibbs Racing teammate Denny Hamlin has a chance to accomplish the same feat at Bristol Motor Speedway (3 p.m. ET, FS1, PRN Radio, Sirius XM NASCAR Radio).
Hamlin already has etched his name as a legend within the sport with 56 career Cup wins and sole possession of 11th place on the all-time wins list. On Sunday, he will make his 400th consecutive Cup Series start. He will do so at a track where he enters as the defending race winner. In 35 career starts at the “Last Great Colosseum,” Hamlin has established himself as one of the best gladiators to conquer the high banks, with five consecutive top-10 finishes at Bristol, including two wins in the last three races there.
Another victory at Bristol would not only give Joe Gibbs Racing its sixth win in nine races, but it would also make Hamlin the organization’s all-time wins leader, surpassing Kyle Busch. Additionally, it would mark the 30th occurrence in the modern era of a driver winning three consecutive races, with 12 of those instances resulting in a series title that season — and it’s no secret how much the Bill France Cup has eluded Hamlin throughout his illustrious career.
But to get there, Hamlin may need to go through Hendrick Motorsports’ Kyle Larson. Read on for the projection.
OTHER DRIVERS TO WATCH
KYLE LARSON: Racing Insights forecasts another close battle between Hamlin and Larson. The No. 5 driver comes in as the most recent Bristol winner; he has 1,351 laps led, five stage wins and seven top fives at Bristol in his career. His car looked to be the fastest during Saturday’s practice.
CHRISTOPHER BELL: JGR as a whole has been superb at Bristol, leading 957 of 2,000 laps at the short track since 2022. Bell is one of four drivers to finish every Bristol race in the Next Gen car in the top 10, with three of those four races resulting in finishes of fifth or better.
TY GIBBS: Gibbs netted his first top 10 since Kansas last fall at Darlington last week. While it’s been a slow start to the season, a top-15 finish the week prior at Martinsville signals a turnaround for the No. 54 team. A strong qualifying effort (sixth) jumped Gibbs into the top 10 of the projections.
CARSON HOCEVAR: Hocevar was one of the biggest movers in the projection after practice and qualifying. He jumped six spots to a projected finish of 16th.
RACING INSIGHTS’ PROJECTIONS FOR THE FOOD CITY 500
Racing Insights’ advanced statistical formula includes current track, current track type, recent performance, team data and pit-crew data to arrive at a projected winner and full race results. Updated on race day with practice and qualifying factored in.
In honor of hockey’s goal-scoring record being broken, we look at the racing records that may — or may not — be unbreakable.
It’s been a good time to chase major sports records recently. In just the past few years, Tom Brady broke the NFL’s all-time record for passing yards, LeBron James passed Kareem Abdul-Jabbar as the highest-scoring player in NBA history and Novak Djokovic set a new mark for men’s tennis grand slams. Caitlin Clark became the all-time leading scorer — among women or men — in NCAA Division I basketball last February. And just this past Sunday, Alexander Ovechkin broke Wayne Gretzky’s NHL career record for goals, a mark that many had considered for the longest time to be unbreakable.
With all of that in mind, we thought it would be fun to look at NASCAR Cup Series records that may also get the same treatment sooner or later — and which ones are so impressive that they probably have no prayer of being broken in the future. In each category, we’ll look at both the all-time and modern (since 1972) marks, and sort them from most to least unbreakable. To help guide us on career records, we’ll also rely on a simplified version of what Bill James called the “Favorite Toy” career projection system, estimating how many years an active driver has left in his or her career*, and projecting where he or she would end up if they continued over their previous career pace.
Let’s get started with …
Career wins
All-time record: Richard Petty, 200 Modern record: Jeff Gordon, 93 Active leader: Kyle Busch, 63
It’s safe to say that nobody has a prayer of touching King Richard’s 200 career wins in the Cup Series, seeing as how it’s nearly double that of anyone else (David Pearson is No. 2 at 105) and nobody in the modern era is any higher than Jeff Gordon at 93. Even Gordon’s mark will be tough to top: If 40-year-old Kyle Busch has an estimated six more seasons left, he would only get to 81 at his career pace of wins per year — and that may be overstating his case, as Rowdy hasn’t won since 2023. Among younger drivers, 32-year-old Kyle Larson has the best shot, but with 30 career wins and around 11 seasons remaining, he’d need to average 5.8 wins per year to pass Gordon, a tall task that would require him to essentially replicate last season’s 6-win effort every year for over a decade.
Breakability: Impossible (for all-time record) to Low (for modern record)
Sean Gardner | Getty Images
Most wins in a season
All-time record: Richard Petty, 27 (1967) Modern record: Richard Petty (1975) and Jeff Gordon (1998), tied at 13 Active best: Kyle Larson (2021), 10
Along the same lines, Petty’s single-season record of 27 wins is essentially impossible to break in today’s version of the sport — it would require a driver to win 75% of all races on the schedule, when the best drivers have only recorded top 10s (much less wins) at that frequency in a season just nine times this century. The modern-era co-record of 13 is theoretically more doable, and Larson had a double-digit win tally just a few years ago. But in the Next Gen era, nobody has more than six victories in a season (accomplished by William Byron in 2023 and Kyle Larson in 2024). Unless the cream is starting to rise higher in this, the fourth year of Next Gen, it’s hard to imagine someone will get to double digits again anytime soon, much less 13 wins in a season.
Breakability: Very Low
Career poles
All-time record: Richard Petty, 123 Modern record: Jeff Gordon, 89 Active leader: Denny Hamlin, 43
While not quite as unreachable as Petty’s 200 wins, the King’s 123 career poles probably isn’t being challenged anytime soon, either. And at least part of that is due to greater parity in car performance during the Next Gen era. While we saw double-digit pole seasons every few years during the 1970s through the mid-1980s, and it happened again three times during the 2000s — plus, Kyle Larson had a 12-pole season in 2021, the Gen 6 car’s swan song — we’ve never seen a Next Gen season with more front-of-the-field starts than Christopher Bell’s seven-pole season in 2023. That helps explain why Larson, who leads the active career projection at 69.8 poles, doesn’t figure to even come close to either Petty or Gordon.
Breakability: Very Low
Career championships
All-time record: Jimmie Johnson, Dale Earnhardt and Richard Petty, tied at 7
Nobody has ever won more than seven Cup Series championships — and it took a trio of all-time greats to even reach that mark, in the form of The King, The Intimidator and ol’ Seven-Time himself. Since Johnson earned his seventh crown in 2016, Busch added a second title in 2019 — but none since — and Joey Logano won three, making him probably the only active driver with a realistic shot at joining the club here. At 35 years old, Logano projects to have around nine more seasons left, meaning he’d need to average one title every 2.3 seasons from here on out just to tie the record. That’s an incredibly high bar, especially with how wide-open the playoff format tends to be. But if anyone has the combination of skill, team support and favorable track selection late in the playoffs to make a run at it, it’s Logano. Even in the best-case scenario, though, it would require extending one of the best late-career surges in NASCAR history.
Breakability: Low
Consecutive years with at least 1 win
All-time record: Kyle Busch, 19 (2005-2023)
This one is interesting because it was broken recently, when Busch passed Petty’s record of 18 straight seasons with a victory (set from 1960-1977). Rowdy is a special talent, and he proved it by extending this streak across three different teams (!), when he moved from Hendrick to Gibbs and then to Childress, with an uninterrupted string of winning seasons at each stop. The consistency needed to maintain a streak that long is rare, though it’s worth noting that Logano (13 straight) and Brad Keselowski (11) have active streaks going as we speak. The way Brad K. has started the 2025 season, his run doesn’t figure to continue without a big turnaround this year; however, Logano has driven well enough (90.0 average Driver Rating) to be a winner, and no one would be surprised if he extends the streak to 14. Adding five more years after that will be difficult, but Logano is at least capable of it.
Breakability: Low to Moderate (but active)
Oldest race winner
All-time record: Harry Gant (1992), 52 years, 7 months and 6 days
“Handsome Harry” cemented his place in NASCAR history when he won the 1992 Champion Spark Plug 400 at Michigan at the ripe old age of 52, breaking Bobby Allison’s record for oldest race winner (set at age 50 in the 1988 Daytona 500). For Gant, it was his second win of the ‘92 season, a remarkable accomplishment for his age, and he would remain a regular Cup driver for each of the next two seasons as well. No 50-year-old has won a Cup race since Mark Martin in 2009 at Loudon (at 50 years, 8 months and 11 days), so this one would seem unlikely to fall anytime soon. However, the success of 44-year-old Hamlin in 2025 is emblematic of just how much veteran talent is in the sport right now; combine it with improved fitness for older athletes in general, and it’s not completely outside the realm of possibility for someone to give Gant a chase.
Breakability: Low to Moderate
Win a race while leading every lap
Modern record: Cale Yarborough (1973 Southeastern 500 and 1978 Music City USA 420) and Jeff Burton (2000 Dura Lube 300 Sponsored by Kmart), tied at 100% laps led
In the modern era (since 1972), this feat has only happened three times: twice by Cale Yarborough in the 1970s and then by The Mayor, Jeff Burton, more than two decades later … but also more than two decades ago. The fact that it’s been 25 years and counting since we’ve seen someone win wire-to-wire might seem to indicate that this record would be difficult to match — but we think this one might be closer to falling than it appears. As recently as late last season, we saw Larson lead 92.4% of laps (462 of 500) at Bristol, with most of the missing laps led coming at the beginning of the race because teammate Alex Bowman was on pole. And then, just this past weekend at Darlington, William Byron led each of the first 243 laps before coming out behind in the shuffle on pit strategy and never getting the lead back. If a driver has the perfect combination of starting on pole with a dominant car and good luck on strategy, this club could potentially get a new member.
Breakability: Surprisingly moderate
Career top 10s
All-time record: Richard Petty, 712 Modern record: Jeff Gordon, 477 Active leader: Kyle Busch, 386
Like many of the other all-time records on this list, Petty set the overall bar so high as to be almost impossible for a present-day driver to reach. However, Gordon’s modern record of 477 top-10 finishes is a lot more doable for a handful of active drivers. Busch, for instance, is already within 91 of that mark; if he drives another six seasons, he’d need to average 15.2 top 10s a year, a level he’s matched in nine of the previous 10 years. (Granted, 2024 was an exception.) And if Rowdy can’t do it, three other drivers project to finish their careers within striking distance of Gordon: Joey Logano, Denny Hamlin and Chase Elliott, each of whom is on track to break 400 career top 10s and could get a shot at the modern record with a little good fortune.
Breakability: Moderate (for modern record)
Jonathan Bachman | Getty Images
Career race starts
All-time record: Richard Petty, 1,184 Modern record: Ricky Rudd, 906 Active leader: Kyle Busch, 722
While Petty will (once again) be tough to catch here, Ricky Rudd’s modern record of 906 races is a lot more feasible to reach. At the current 36-race Cup Series schedule length, Busch would need to run just 5.1 more full seasons, which would leave him at age 45 when he was nearing the record — a year older than Denny Hamlin is now, as the oldest regular driver in the Cup Series, but younger than Kevin Harvick was just a few years ago. So Rowdy could break this one if he just keeps driving … and so could the 35-year-old Logano. Because he started out so young, Joey is already at 587 career starts, meaning he would need 8.9 more full seasons to catch Rudd, something he could do before he even hits his mid-40s. As a driver who is still very much in his championship prime, don’t count out Logano for this record.
Breakability: Moderate to High (for modern record)
Career road-course wins
All-time record: Jeff Gordon, 9 Active leader: Chase Elliott, 7
Of all the records that might be broken soon, the career mark for road-course victories has to be near the top of the list. For one thing, Elliott is only a pair of wins away from tying Gordon’s all-time mark of nine — a much closer gap between the all-time and active leaders than other categories. And while Elliott hasn’t been as dominant a road-racer in the Next Gen era (he hasn’t won at a road course since the 2021 Road America race), he still has an average Driver Rating of 99.0 at road courses in the Next Gen, so he remains a threat here. That’s also true of Larson, Bell and Tyler Reddick, each of whom finishes their careers ahead of Gordon according to our simple projection. And that’s not even considering the fact that Shane Van Gisbergen (who already has one win and five top 10s in seven road/street starts) is an automatic favorite for every track of that type on the schedule, nor the sky-high potential of young road-racing phenom Connor Zilisch. Add in the increased number of road courses on the schedule, and this one feels destined to fall sooner rather than later.
Breakability: High
Career wins across all national series
All-time record: Kyle Busch, 232
OK, so this one is a little bit of a fake-out. But it’s the rare example of a total wins record that has actually fallen in recent memory: Kyle Busch grabbed overall career win No. 201 in March 2019 at the Martinsville Trucks race, passing Petty for the most career wins across all NASCAR national series. Yes, it’s a little bit of a silly record, accomplished as much through cleaning up in the Xfinity and Truck Series as at the Cup level — while all 200 wins by Petty were in Cup, nearly three-quarters of Busch’s wins were in series other than Cup:
Wins are wins, though. And while Busch has proven the breakability of this mark for active drivers by doing it himself, it’s unlikely that anyone else will ever make a run at his mark. In recent years, NASCAR has cut down on so-called “Buschwhacking” by Cup drivers in lower series — which is a good thing for developmental drivers hoping to move up the stock-car ladder, but bad for veterans hoping to accrue extra laps behind the wheel, and a few extra wins in the process.
Breakability: Already broken! But probably won’t be ever again.
* For those interested, the formula for remaining career seasons that seems to work best for NASCAR Cup Series drivers is calculated by: (29.5 – 0.6*(age)), with the stipulation that a regular driver can never have fewer than 1.5 remaining seasons, regardless of their age.
CONCORD, N.C. — “He is the reason why I’m sitting here today,” Austin Hill shared about Shigeaki Hattori during his media availability on Wednesday at NASCAR’s Production Facility.
Before Hill made a name for himself winning races and forging a home in the NASCAR Xfinity Series under the Richard Childress Racing banner, he was a young, up-and-coming driver looking for a new opportunity to stay in the Craftsman Truck Series.
It wasn’t until Hattori helped support Hill’s full-time gig with his team, Hattori Racing Enterprises (HRE), six years ago, that Hill started to get solid footing in the national series.
“The reason I say that is in 2019 when I came over to HRE, I didn’t have the full funding,” Hill said. “We had some funding, but we didn’t have, like, ‘Just write a check for 2.5 million and let’s go race.’ We had a million dollars, he had to help with the rest. He did a lot of work there to get a lot of different sponsorships from over in Japan. And he was able to bring in that extra funding for us to do what we did.”
In his three years driving for HRE, Hill wheeled the No. 16 Truck to eight wins, 26 top fives and three rankings of ninth or better in the final season standings. However, the impact Hattori, or “Shige” as he was referred to in the garage, made on the team was always more than just as an owner.
“All he wanted was what was best for his team, for his group of guys,” Hill said. “He always wanted us to have a good time, have fun. I think if you ask any of the employees that worked for him and the team that I raced for in the 16 truck, they would say the same thing. He was just such a genuine person, he had a passion for the sport. He wanted to win races, win championships and I was glad that I was able to at least get him eight wins in the Truck Series.
“The only thing that I ever regret about racing for him is not getting him that championship. He was able to get it in 2018 and we were oh-so-close for all three years that I was there. We missed making the final four by two points, three or four points, and that championship always eluded us. But just those three years of racing for him was such a fun time, and a lot of memories from that deal.”
Hill found out about Hattori’s death after the Xfinity race last Saturday at Darlington Raceway and is in talks with his former crew at HRE to work out a tribute in Hattori’s honor.
“I reached out to everyone that was on the 16 team when I was racing there. We’re still trying to work out all the details on what we’re going to do,” Hill said. “But, bare minimum, we’re at least going to get all the entire 16 bunch back together one more time, have a toast for Shige and sit out by the bonfire to tell stories. There’s so many fun stories about him that I could share.
“Just what he meant to me in my career. It’s up there at the very top because without him going out on a limb and giving me that opportunity in the 16 truck, I really don’t think I’m sitting here today talking to you guys.”
1. Eight races down — which contenders are in must-win mode already?
Many of the studs we expected to be strong in 2025 have gotten off to hot starts, but there are some surprising names currently outside the playoff picture. With the regular season about a third of the way through and the halfway point nearing, what’s the urgency level?
The 2025 NASCAR Playoffs feel quite a ways away, but September’s postseason picture is already beginning to take shape — with several big names slated to potentially miss.
We talked last week about Brad Keselowski potentially being the next driver to score on Father Time, or at least stabilize a bit in the coming weeks, and early on at Darlington it appeared that would happen — No. 6 placed sixth in the opening stage … only to eventually land P33 at race end.
The 2012 champion currently sits outside the top 30 in the standings and is one of just a handful of full-timers still without a top 10 in 2025. Keselowski has 36 Cup Series wins on his resume, and the other seven drivers still without a top 10 combine for 10 total, so he’s the clear outlier of the group.
But you don’t make the playoffs based on how many wins you’ve collected in the past. Sure, all of those drivers (and then some) could technically point their way into the playoffs, but these standings deficits are approaching and, in some cases, already surpassing the triple-digit mark, which is a pretty big hole to dig out of even with months to do it.
Keselowski is still in the midst of a strong stretch of tracks for him and could find a lifeline with a win in short order.
The four drivers just above Keselowski (-66 to the playoff elimination line) are separated by just 10 points and there have been some minor bright spots for Austin Dillon (-49), Erik Jones (-49), Justin Haley (-50) and Carson Hocevar (-59), but all of their deficits are close to being almost two full race’s worth of points and trending in the wrong direction. Probably fair to assume the most likely path to the postseason for any of them at this point, Keselowski included, probably comes with a winner’s sticker.
Which leaves, of course, everyone below Keselowski in the standings also likely in consideration for “must-win mode” starting this weekend at Bristol.
And there’s one rather large name below No. 6 in the standings — rookie Shane van Gisbergen.
A seasoned champion in his own right, the 35-year-old New Zealander was a bit of a wild card entering the year after just one full season of stock-car racing under his belt in the Xfinity Series, but he was expected to be at least a dark horse playoff contender. With a road course in the Round of 12, some even had him pegged to potentially make the Round of *8.*
Currently 33rd in points, 80 points shy of a playoff spot, that doesn’t appear likely to happen this year, but here’s the thing — out of any driver mentioned, he still arguably has the best shot to make it happen with a victory. Four road-course races remain in the regular season, including the Chicago Street Race, and he won that event in his first NASCAR start in any series. He’s only gotten better, and certainly will be even further along by then.
That’s … not a guy I’m going to count out, even if his passing, defense, speed and restarts all rank 30th or lower so far, according to NASCAR Insights. If we get through all four of those races and SVG remains winless and outside the playoff picture, there’s no way he and Trackhouse Racing don’t look at this season as a disappointment.
Again, we’re not “technically” at the point where any of these drivers can’t make the playoffs without winning but more than likely, based on what we’ve seen so far, winning is the only path to the postseason.
And if that’s the case, Keselowski and SVG are the names you look to who could make it happen.
Brittney Wilbur | NASCAR Digital Media
2. Clash of titans coming in Hamlin/Larson Bristol battle
Denny Hamlin is going for three straight wins while Kyle Larson looks to rebound from a race at Darlington that essentially ended for him on Lap 4. The friendly rivals just happen to be the best at Bristol, too, and an epic battle between them may be around the corner.
The “Last Great Colosseum” is set to play host to the “Next Great Denny Hamlin/Kyle Larson” battle Sunday afternoon.
The Cup Series dominators appear to be on a collision course this weekend in the Tennessee mountains, lining up as two of the best ever at the track — while also being two of 2025’s hottest drivers.
The pair has claimed five of the last eight races there, including Larson’s mesmerizing stomping of the field in last year’s playoffs to the tune of 462 laps led — with three of the veteran Hamlin’s four wins there coming in that span. Hamlin enters as the race’s defending winner after his impressive display of tire management as teams had to adjust on the fly to high falloff last spring.
Hamlin and Larson also tied for the longest active top-10 streaks there with five apiece, but Larson’s streak was almost doubly impressive, as No. 5 has finished outside the top 10 only once in the last 11 Bristol races. Perhaps even more impressive, Larson has never finished outside the top five at Bristol in his time with Hendrick Motorsports.
Hamlin’s got momentum on his side, though.
Darlington, sure, maybe he got a little lucky there. But a win’s a win, and the good vibes from Victory Lane can carry a team through a week of prep and they’ll be walking into Bristol with their heads held high. And don’t forget about his masterpiece at Martinsville a week prior; now, Hamlin has a chance to make Joe Gibbs Racing the first team in history to have a pair of drivers win three straight races in the same season.
But it’s not just Bristol. We’re going to continue to see front-of-the-field battles between the two of them. Of the entire field, they’re the two who have earned the most points on short tracks since the start of last season, and they’re only separated by a single point there (Larson 341, Hamlin 340).
We know there’s history here, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see them go tit-for-tat starting this weekend and over the coming months. And we can’t wait.
NASCAR Cup Series Managing Director Brad Moran discusses the addition of PJ1 and the expectations for tire wear at Bristol after last spring’s high tire wear led to a thrilling race.
4. If Denny finally wins it all, he’ll be among the oldest to ever do it
We’re getting way ahead of ourselves, of course, but when a guy wins back-to-back races and enters as a favorite to win a third … you start to wonder what his championship chances might be. Hamlin — who turns 45 on Nov. 18 — has been close before as we all know, but if it happens, it will be the stuff of legend. (Credit: Racing Insights)
Year
Champion
Age
1983
Bobby Allison
45y : 11m : 17d
1959
Lee Petty
45y : 07m : 11d
1958
Lee Petty
44y : 07m : 12d
1994
Dale Earnhardt
43y : 06m : 15d
5. Catch the pack — news and notes from around the garage
Short-track practice and qualifying procedure is in effect, meaning trucks are split into two groups for a 50-minute practice session (25 minutes for each group), followed by qualifying. Qualifying is two laps, one round.
The qualifying order below is determined via metric that combines the previous race finish by owner (70%) and current owner points position (30%).
The race itself is at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, April 11. Watch the race on FS1 or listen on NRN Radio or SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.
# denotes series rookie
(i) denotes ineligible for driver points
Short-track practice and qualifying procedure is in effect, meaning cars are split into two groups for a 50-minute practice session (25 minutes for each group), followed by qualifying. Qualifying is two laps, one round.
The qualifying order below is determined via metric that combines the previous race finish by owner (70%) and current owner points position (30%).
The race itself is at 5 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 12. Watch the race on The CW or listen on PRN Radio or SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.
# denotes series rookie
(i) denotes ineligible for driver points
Short-track practice and qualifying procedure is in effect, meaning cars are split into two groups for a 50-minute practice session (25 minutes for each group), followed by qualifying. Qualifying is two laps, one round.
The qualifying order below is determined via metric that combines the previous race finish by owner (70%) and current owner points position (30%).
The race itself is at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, April 13. Watch the race on FS1 or listen on PRN Radio or SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.
# denotes series rookie
(i) denotes ineligible for driver points