Based on the spring race at Martinsville Speedway, track position is going to be at a premium in Sunday’s Xfinity 500 (2 p.m. ET, NBC, NBC Sports App, MRN, SiriusXM NASCAR Radio).
Many teams put themselves in traffic during practice on Saturday to get a sense of feeling in dirty air. Of the playoff cars needing to win, Chase Briscoe had the best Saturday and will start the race in third, as Ryan Blaney, likely needing to win, will start in fourth and had the best long-run speed. William Byron will start worst of the championship-eligible drivers in 25th, and his closest nemesis Denny Hamlin was the first driver to miss the final round of qualifying.
Dustin Albino’s race-day lineup:
Starter 1: Denny Hamlin
Starter 2: Chase Elliott
Starter 3: Ryan Blaney
Starter 4: William Byron
Starter 5: Chase Briscoe
Garage pick: Brad Keselowski
NEXT IN LINE: Martin Truex Jr., Kyle Busch, Ross Chastain, Joey Logano.
RELATED: Fantasy Fastlane | Betting odds for Martinsville
RISING: Stewart-Haas Racing hasn’t won at Martinsville since Clint Bowyer dominated the spring race in 2018. Before that, it was Kurt Busch in 2014. Kevin Harvick has struggled adequately over the last handful of races at the track. But the SHR camp put three of its four entries inside the top 10 in qualifying, with Chase Briscoe leading the charge in third — and Kyle Larson thought the No. 14 car was the best car in practice. In fifth, Cole Custer has his best qualifying effort since winning the pole at the Bristol dirt race on Easter. Harvick was eighth on the board.
Admittedly, Larson has struggled at Martinsville. After scoring the pole, he says his No. 5 Chevrolet is better than he is at Martinsville. But he did win his first career pole at the paperclip for Sunday’s 500-lap event and is coming off a dominant performance at Homestead last weekend.
FALLING: Byron put together the most dominant performance of his Cup career in the spring at Martinsville, leading 212 of 403 laps. The No. 24 team brought speed in practice, ranking seventh on single-lap speed and second on 10-lap averages. Unfortunately for him, he had a slip up in qualifying and will take the green flag from 25th — his worst qualifying effort since Road America. With track position being premium, Saturday was a net loss for Byron.
Compared to recent years, Truex and Toyota have struggled on short tracks in 2022. The No. 19 car ranked 22nd in single lap and long-run speed, but qualified 27th (worst of the Toyota drivers). Given his track record at Martinsville over the past six races, Truex should still get the benefit of the doubt and be considered for your lineup.
FEATURED MATCHUPS
Kyle Larson vs. Martin Truex Jr.: Based on Saturday, all signs would point to Larson. But he often out qualifies where he finishes at Martinsville. With his pole run, this will be the ninth time Larson has qualified inside the top 10 in 16 Martinsville starts. He has a trio of top 10s. Stick with consistency and select Truex.
William Byron vs. Denny Hamlin: This got more interesting with Byron being buried in traffic to start the race. Hamlin was the best of the Toyota bunch in qualifying and will start 11th. Based on track position and ability of scoring stage points (something that’s admittedly hindered the No. 11 team in the playoffs), Hamlin should have a slight advantage heading into the race. Don’t be surprised, however, if the No. 24 moves through the field early.
Ross Chastain vs. Chase Elliott: In seven Martinsville starts, Chastain has one top-15 finish — a fifth-place outing in the spring. Elliott has a knack for finding his way at the front of the field at Martinsville, so fully believe he will be a factor for the win. The No. 9 car will start from the front row with Chastain lining up ninth.
Christopher Bell vs. Ryan Blaney: Despite qualifying 20th, Bell said he liked the handling of his Toyota. But Blaney will have the early advantage starting fourth. Blaney is always competitive at the famed short track, and it seems like he’s due for some good fortune after driver errors in the first two races in the Round of 8. Blaney should be the layup choice, though Bell had a walk-off win in the last round.

